12 jobs that are set to shrink over the next decade
The Bureau of Labor Statistics forecasts a decline in 12 specific job roles over the next ten years as the labor market shifts. This contraction occurs as technology leaders warn about artificial intelligence risks and industry discussions move toward how open source strategies and AI will alter work styles and societal learning. These shifts suggest a broader transition in workforce requirements and the political control of technological adoption.
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- ✓ The Bureau of Labor Statistics forecasts a decline in 12 specific job roles over the next ten years as the labor market shifts.
- ✓ This contraction occurs as technology leaders warn about artificial intelligence risks and industry discussions move toward how open source strategies and AI will alter work styles and societal learning.
- ✓ These shifts suggest a broader transition in workforce requirements and the political control of technological adoption.
What changed
Recent discussions emphasize that open source AI strategies represent a political choice regarding the speed of societal learning.
Live updates
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BLS Projects 12 Job Roles Will Shrink Over Next Decade
The Bureau of Labor Statistics forecasts a decline in 12 specific job roles over the next ten years as the labor market shifts. This contraction occurs as technology leaders warn about artificial intelligence risks and industry discussions move toward how open source strategies and AI will alter work styles and societal learning. These shifts suggest a broader transition in workforce requirements and the political control of technological adoption.
Why it matters
Labor market volatility often follows the introduction of disruptive technologies. The transition involves a mix of automated displacement and strategic shifts in how software is developed and distributed.
Still unconfirmed
- Open source strategy is a political choice concerning who controls the speed of societal learning
What to watch next
- Specific lists of the 12 shrinking job roles from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Further warnings from technology leaders regarding specific AI risks
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Labor Market Shifts and Projected Job Reductions
The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects that 12 specific job roles will shrink over the next decade amid ongoing shifts in the labor market. This workforce transition occurs alongside warnings from technology leaders regarding artificial intelligence risks. Meanwhile, new research links the Epstein-Barr virus to worsened symptoms of a devastating neurological disorder, and financial firm Blackstone reports that its strategic shift toward India has delivered top private equity returns as the region approaches a growth tipping point. Additional reporting examines state-level policies, educational challenges in districts like Houston, and the Nebraska gubernatorial race.
Why it matters
Labor market forecasts project declines across specific occupations as automation and technology alter employment demands. Financial institutions are simultaneously adapting their geographic strategies to capture growth in emerging regions. Broader public sector developments examine structural funding challenges in education and long-term economic shifts across various states.
What is confirmed
- The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects that 12 specific job roles will shrink over the next decade.
Still unconfirmed
- Academic improvements achieved under the Houston ISD takeover may lack long-term financial sustainability.
What to watch next
- Further updates from the Bureau of Labor Statistics regarding occupational outlooks
- Developments in state-level educational funding and policy adjustments
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Labor shifts, AI risks, and Epstein-Barr multiple sclerosis link
The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects that 12 specific job roles will shrink over the next decade amid ongoing shifts in the labor market. This workforce transition occurs alongside warnings from technology leaders regarding artificial intelligence risks. Meanwhile, new research links the Epstein-Barr virus to worsened symptoms of a devastating neurological disorder, and financial firm Blackstone reports that its strategic shift toward India has delivered top private equity returns as the region approaches a growth tipping point.
Why it matters
Labor projections highlight structural changes in the workforce as automation and technology evolve. Concurrently, investor concerns regarding the energy consumption and environmental footprint of data centers continue to mount. Medical researchers are also uncovering deeper ties between common viral infections and severe chronic conditions.
What is confirmed
- The Bureau of Labor statistics expects 12 specific job roles to decline over the next ten years.
Still unconfirmed
- Sixty percent of asset owners worry data centers will drive up energy costs, while twenty-five percent see the environmental footprint of AI as a threat.
- Blackstone credits a shift to majority stakes in IT, real estate and manufacturing as India nears a growth tipping point, delivering its top private equity returns by 2026.
What to watch next
- Further Bureau of Labor Statistics updates on job shrinkage sectors
- Updates on AI data center energy costs and environmental impact
- Additional findings on Epstein-Barr virus activity and multiple sclerosis
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BLS projects shrinkage of 12 job categories over next decade
The Bureau of Labor Statistics expects 12 specific job roles to decline over the next ten years. This labor transition coincides with warnings from AI leaders and investors regarding the technology's risks. Cohere CEO Aidan Gomez has called modern AI the "most potent cyber weapon" after security breaches hit Hugging Face and Anthropic. Additionally, a Morningstar survey of 500 asset owners shows 60% worry data centers will drive up energy costs, while 25% see the environmental footprint of AI as a threat.
Why it matters
The shift in employment reflects a broader tension between AI adoption and systemic risk. Concerns center on cybersecurity vulnerabilities and the massive energy requirements of infrastructure. These factors may influence how quickly certain industries automate roles.
What to watch next
- Specific list of the 12 shrinking job categories from the BLS
- Updated security audits from Anthropic and Hugging Face
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BLS Projects Job Losses as AI Safety and Cost Concerns Rise
The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects certain jobs will disappear from the economy within the next decade. This labor shift occurs as AI leadership and asset owners raise alarms over the technology. Cohere CEO Aidan Gomez describes modern AI as the "most potent cyber weapon" following breaches at Anthropic and Hugging Face. Simultaneously, a Morningstar survey of over 500 asset owners reveals that 60% fear data centers will increase energy prices, while 25% view the environmental impact of AI as a threat.
Why it matters
AI labs including OpenAI and DeepMind previously called for a coordinated pause on cutting-edge model development. These safety concerns led Sam Altman to delay OpenAI's public offering. Financial institutions have already begun implementing staff cuts linked to automation software.
What is confirmed
- The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects certain jobs will disappear from the economy within the next decade.
- A Morningstar survey of more than 500 asset owners found 60% fear data centers will raise energy prices.
- Twenty-five percent of asset owners surveyed by Morningstar view AI's environmental impact as a threat.
Still unconfirmed
- Cohere CEO Aidan Gomez claims modern AI is the most potent cyber weapon.
- Model breaches occurred at Hugging Face and Anthropic.
What to watch next
- Publication of the specific list of 9 to 12 dying jobs from the BLS
- Updates on the coordinated pause of cutting-edge AI models
- OpenAI's rescheduled public offering date
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AI Lab Chiefs Urge Slowdown as Safety Concerns Mount
Leaders from major artificial intelligence labs including Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI and DeepMind are calling for a coordinated pause on developing cutting-edge models. This shift toward caution coincides with OpenAI delaying its initial public offering to next year. Sam Altman pointed to severe artificial intelligence safety risks as the primary driver for prioritizing caution over a rushed public offering. These industry developments occur alongside broader labor shifts, where financial institutions implement staff cuts and new software requirements driven by automation.
Why it matters
The push by laboratory executives for independent on-site evaluators and tighter safety checks highlights growing anxiety regarding frontier technology capabilities. Financial firms are already altering their hiring practices and reducing analyst headcount due to artificial intelligence adoption. Meanwhile, demographic pressures such as falling birth rates compound labor market changes across specific sectors.
What is confirmed
- Leaders at Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI and DeepMind are urging a coordinated slowdown of cutting-edge artificial intelligence models.
- OpenAI has delayed its initial public offering to next year.
- Sam Altman cited severe artificial intelligence safety risks as the reason for pushing the public listing to prioritize caution.
What to watch next
- Implementation of independent on-site evaluators for frontier models
- Confirmation of OpenAI public listing timelines for next year
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AI and Demographics Drive Labor Market Contractions
Administrative support roles face the steepest projected declines over the next decade as artificial intelligence and falling birth rates shrink specific labor sectors. Financial institutions including JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have already cut analyst classes due to AI adoption. UBS now requires AI proficiency for all new junior hires. While software development and nurse practitioner roles grow, primary schools in London are seeing the impact of declining birth rates across the UK.
Why it matters
The shift toward technical and high-growth sectors is restructuring the workforce. This transition creates a divide between roles replaced by automation and those required to manage it.
What is confirmed
- UBS mandates AI proficiency for new junior hires.
- Administrative support roles have the steepest projected declines over the next decade.
- Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan reduced analyst classes as AI adoption grows.
What to watch next
- Updated labor statistics on administrative role declines
- New hiring mandates from other major financial firms
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AI Adoption and Demographic Shifts Pressure Traditional Job Markets
Artificial intelligence and falling birth rates are driving contractions in specific labor sectors. Financial firms like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have reduced analyst classes as AI adoption grows, while UBS now mandates AI proficiency for new junior hires. Administrative support roles face the steepest projected declines over the next decade. Simultaneously, falling birth rates across the UK are impacting primary schools in London. These trends contrast with growth in software development and nurse practitioner roles as the economy pivots toward technical and high-growth sectors.
Why it matters
Technological automation is replacing traditional office functions and entry-level banking tasks. Demographic declines in the UK create a separate pressure point for education employment. These shifts force a reallocation of labor toward specialized technical roles.
Still unconfirmed
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What to watch next
- Data on primary school closure rates in London
- Updated employment projections for administrative support roles
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UBS Demands AI Skills for Junior Bankers as Firms Cut Analysts
UBS requires new junior bankers to prove their proficiency in artificial intelligence before being hired. This shift coincides with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan shrinking their analyst classes due to AI adoption. Across the broader economy, technological advances and automation continue to reshape employment requirements. Administrative support roles face the steepest projected declines over the next decade as labor markets pivot toward technical and high-growth sectors. Conversely, specialized occupations such as nurse practitioners and software developers expect robust growth as traditional office functions contract.
Why it matters
The integration of artificial intelligence into financial institutions alters entry-level hiring practices on Wall Street. Firms are demanding higher technical capabilities from new employees while simultaneously reducing the size of incoming analyst classes. This trend mirrors broader structural changes across the workforce, where automation replaces traditional administrative support functions.
What is confirmed
- UBS now demands that new junior bankers prove their proficiency in artificial intelligence before they are hired.
- Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are shrinking their analyst classes due to artificial intelligence.
What to watch next
- Further announcements from major financial institutions regarding staffing levels and artificial intelligence competency requirements.
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Administrative support roles face steepest decline over next decade
Administrative support jobs are projected to shrink more than any other occupational group over the next ten years. This contraction stems from a national labor market shift toward technical and high-growth sectors. While 10 to 12 specific roles are forecast to decline, growth is expected for high-paying positions such as nurse practitioners and software developers. This transition indicates that specialized technical roles are replacing traditional office support functions.
Why it matters
The shift reflects a broader economic move away from general clerical work toward technical specialization. These trends highlight a structural change in the labor market where automation or technical skills are becoming primary requirements.
What to watch next
- Publication of the specific list of 10 to 12 declining roles
- Updated labor statistics on the growth rate of nurse practitioners and software developers
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Office and Administrative Support Roles Face Steepest Decade-Long Decline
Administrative support jobs are projected to shrink more than any other occupational group over the next ten years. This contraction occurs as the national labor market shifts toward technical and high-growth sectors. While specific roles forecast to decline number between 10 and 12, growth is expected for high-paying positions including software developers and nurse practitioners. This trend reflects a broader transition where specialized technical roles are replacing traditional office support functions.
Why it matters
The Labor Department and other analysts are tracking a structural shift in employment patterns. This transition highlights a growing divide between traditional administrative work and the demand for technical expertise.
What is confirmed
- Employment in office and administrative support jobs is expected to drop more than any other occupational group over the next decade.
- Software developers and nurse practitioners are projected to experience strong employment growth.
What to watch next
- Publication of the specific list of 12 shrinking roles
- Updated Labor Department employment statistics for the administrative sector
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Office and Administrative Support Roles Face Steepest Decline
Employment in office and administrative support jobs is expected to drop more than any other occupational group over the next decade. While various reports identify a set of 10 to 12 specific roles forecast to shrink, the administrative sector remains the hardest hit. This trend contrasts with rapid growth expected in IT professions and other specialized roles identified by the Labor Department and other analysts. The shift indicates a broader transition in the national labor market toward technical and high-growth sectors.
Why it matters
Labor forecasts help workers and policymakers anticipate shifts in employment demand. These projections often reflect the impact of automation and changing business operations. Understanding which roles are shrinking allows for targeted retraining efforts.
Still unconfirmed
- Office and administrative support jobs are expected to drop more than any other occupational group.
- Twelve specific jobs are set to shrink over the next decade.
- Ten specific jobs are set to shrink over the next decade.
What to watch next
- Release of the specific list of 12 shrinking jobs from Business Insider.
- Detailed Labor Department data on the 10 fastest-growing jobs.
- Quarterly employment statistics for administrative support roles.
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