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Bank of England holds interest rates at 3.75% amid Iran war peace prospects

The Bank of England kept its key interest rate at 3.75% for the fourth meeting in a row. Officials cited persistent inflation and global uncertainty following the U.S.-Iran conflict. The decision comes as labor market cooling continues without a sharp decline.

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What changed

New data indicates the labor market is cooling and the rate hold was decided by a 7-2 vote.

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  1. Bank of England maintains interest rates at 3.75%

    The Bank of England kept its key interest rate at 3.75% for the fourth meeting in a row. Officials cited persistent inflation and global uncertainty following the U.S.-Iran conflict. The decision comes as labor market cooling continues without a sharp decline.

    What's confirmed:

    • The Bank of England held its main interest rate at 3.75%.
    • This is the fourth consecutive meeting where rates remained unchanged.
    • Inflationary pressures persist following the U.S.-Iran conflict.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • The Bank of England voted 7-2 to keep rates at 3.75%.
    • The cost of living is set to rise this year due to the fallout from the Iran war.
    • Labor market cooling is occurring without a sharp deterioration.
    confidence 90%
  2. Bank of England Maintains Interest Rates at 3.75%

    The Bank of England kept its main interest rate at 3.75%. This marks the fourth single hold since December 2025. Governor Andrew Bailey warned of ongoing inflationary pressure despite a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran.

    What's confirmed:

    • The Bank of England held its main interest rate at 3.75%.
    • This is the fourth consecutive time rates have been held since December 2025.
    • The U.S. and Iran signed an initial peace deal.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Oil and gas price hikes following the start of the Iran war influenced the decision.
    • The Monetary Policy Committee reached this decision via a 7-2 vote.
    • The Bank of England lowered its inflation forecast.
    confidence 90%
  3. Bank of England maintains interest rates at 3.75%

    The Bank of England kept its main interest rate at 3.75% following a 7-2 vote by the Monetary Policy Committee. This decision comes as the U.S. and Iran signed a deal to end their war. Officials lowered their inflation forecast but warned that pressure remains in the pipeline.

    What's confirmed:

    • The Bank of England held its main interest rate at 3.75%.
    • The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to keep rates on hold.
    • The U.S. and Iran signed a deal to end their war.
    • The Bank of England lowered its inflation forecast.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Economists believe rate-setters will avoid hiking rates in coming months if energy price drops are sustained.
    • The Bank of England signaled caution regarding the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
    • Half of U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers may support a rate hike later this year.
    • The European Central Bank hiked rates last week.
    confidence 95%