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Can US-Iran peace ‘deal’ survive Israeli bombing of Lebanon?

The US-Iran peace agreement is stalling as Israel expands its military campaign in southern Lebanon. These operations have delayed talks and put the fragile truce at risk. Lebanon remains vulnerable to the actions of its larger neighbors.

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What changed

Reports now indicate that Israeli aggression has delayed talks and that US intelligence warns Netanyahu may sabotage the deal.

Live updates

  1. Israeli Military Action in Lebanon Threatens US-Iran Peace Deal

    The US-Iran peace agreement is stalling as Israel expands its military campaign in southern Lebanon. These operations have delayed talks and put the fragile truce at risk. Lebanon remains vulnerable to the actions of its larger neighbors.

    What's confirmed:

    • Israel has intensified its military campaign in southern Lebanon.
    • The US-Iran peace deal is stalling or facing threats of derailment due to Israeli actions in Lebanon.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Israeli aggression in Lebanon has killed at least 18 people.
    confidence 80%

  2. US and Iran Establish Roadmap for Final Deal Amid Lebanon Tension

    The US and Iran have agreed on a roadmap for a final deal following a memorandum of understanding. This agreement extended a tenuous ceasefire by 60 days. However, analysts suggest Israeli escalation in Lebanon could still undermine the pact.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US and Iran agreed on a roadmap for a final deal.
    • A memorandum of understanding signed last week extended a tenuous ceasefire by 60 days.
    • Naim Qassem described the Iran deal as a "great victory."

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Spain closed its airspace to US aircraft involved in the Iran war.
    • Israeli escalation in Lebanon threatens to undermine the agreement between Tehran and Washington.
    • Naim Qassem claims talks with Israel must be limited to "mutual security" and that disarmament is an internal matter.
    confidence 90%

  3. US-Iran Peace Deal Threatened by Israeli Campaign in Lebanon

    A fragile peace agreement between the US and Iran is at risk as Israel intensifies military operations in southern Lebanon. President Donald Trump has called for a complete ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. However, Israeli attacks continue to defy the peace agreement.

    What's confirmed:

    • President Donald Trump announced major combat operations against Iran on Feb. 28 involving joint U.S.-Israeli strikes.
    • Trump has expressed expectations for a complete ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel.
    • Israeli military actions in Lebanon are occurring despite the US-Iran peace agreement.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Trump may request a new peace deal from Iran following the midterm elections.
    • Trump has proposed that Syrian forces fight Hezbollah.
    • Trump is playing out a 60-day ceasefire.
    • Negotiations in Switzerland were cancelled due to Israel-Hezbollah clashes.
    confidence 80%