Europe frets as the Kremlin pushes the limits of its hybrid warfare
European intelligence agencies and Western allies warn that Moscow is expanding its covert campaign of sabotage, cyber operations, and intimidation against nations supporting Ukraine. Officials express deep concern that the Kremlin is systematically testing NATO limits through aggressive subversion that falls just short of open conflict. This covert pressure leaves European capitals struggling to mount an effective defense while domestic politics and international distractions further complicate the security environment on the continent.
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- ✓ Spain, France, and Italy were warned that Russia is developing plans to strike them with drones as part of an expanding hybrid war against NATO.
- ✓ An assessment by the Danish Defence Intelligence Service warned that Moscow will further intensify its hybrid warfare campaign in the coming months with greater consequences for targeted countries.
- ✓ Danish intelligence assessed a low but growing risk that Russia will launch a limited military attack against one or several NATO countries bordering Russia.
What changed
Danish intelligence released a nine-page assessment warning that Moscow will intensify its hybrid warfare campaign and faces a growing, though currently low, risk of launching a limited military attack against one or several NATO countries.
Live updates
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European Leaders Alarmed as Russia Escalates Hybrid Warfare
European intelligence agencies and Western allies warn that Moscow is expanding its covert campaign of sabotage, cyber operations, and intimidation against nations supporting Ukraine. Officials express deep concern that the Kremlin is systematically testing NATO limits through aggressive subversion that falls just short of open conflict. This covert pressure leaves European capitals struggling to mount an effective defense while domestic politics and international distractions further complicate the security environment on the continent.
Why it matters
Moscow has long deployed tactics designed to sow chaos within Western alliances without triggering a collective military response. The latest wave of covert friction coincides with broader anxieties over transatlantic stability and the long-term reliability of American defense commitments in the region. Analysts note that these subversions aim to intimidate Ukraine backers and exhaust democratic governments.
What is confirmed
- Spain, France, and Italy were warned that Russia is developing plans to strike them with drones as part of an expanding hybrid war against NATO.
- An assessment by the Danish Defence Intelligence Service warned that Moscow will further intensify its hybrid warfare campaign in the coming months with greater consequences for targeted countries.
- Danish intelligence assessed a low but growing risk that Russia will launch a limited military attack against one or several NATO countries bordering Russia.
Still unconfirmed
- Russia could directly attack a NATO country within a matter of months.
What to watch next
- Any physical drone strikes or major cyber incidents hitting NATO infrastructure in Spain, France, Italy or frontline eastern flank states.
- Official security policy shifts or force deployments announced by NATO in response to the Danish intelligence warning.
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (20)
- The New York Times — Europe Warns of Russia’s Hybrid Attacks but Struggles to Counter Them
- The Guardian — Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence says
- www.courthousenews.com — Anxiety looms over Europe as Russia steps up 'hybrid warfare'
- breakingdefense.com — Russian hybrid attacks likely to increase in coming months: Danish intel assessment
- CNBC — Russia could attack a NATO country within months, Danish intelligence warns
- Institute for the Study of War — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2026
- www.nbcnews.com — Putin’s party secures a record number of seats in Russia’s wartime election
- NBC News — Europe frets as the Kremlin pushes the limits of its hybrid warfare
- The Times — Is Russia planning to attack Nato? What defence chiefs truly think
- www.nbcnews.com — Europe frets as the Kremlin pushes the limits of its hybrid warfare
- dw.com — Russia expected to intensify hybrid war on Europe
- darkreading.com — Russia's Hybrid Cyber-Physical War in Europe Heats Up
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