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● TRACKER Updated 7d ago · 37 sources tracked

GM, Ford to see US market-share slide, forecaster predicts

General Motors and Ford face a forecasted drop in United States market share alongside intense competitive pressures and contrasting third-quarter earnings trends. Ford confronts third-quarter earnings pressure driven by falling sales, an eighty percent plunge in electric vehicle deliveries, and rising costs. While CEO Jim Farley promotes growth targets, Wall Street has responded with a significant stock collapse. Meanwhile, General Motors and Toyota display contrasting sales trajectories as legacy automakers navigate different strategies in the electric vehicle race and fight for dominance in the American truck market.

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  • ✓ Ford faces third-quarter earnings pressure from falling sales, an 80% plunge in EV deliveries, and rising costs.
  • ✓ General Motors holds a current stock price of $81.47 with an analyst target price of $111.68.
  • ✓ Ford trades at $13.51 with an analyst target of $15.00.
🛡️ Source Corroboration: 37 independent reporting domains (90% confidence) ⏱ Read time: ~2 min

What changed

A forecaster predicts a market-share slide for both General Motors and Ford as third-quarter results expose steep electric vehicle delivery drops and rising operational costs.

Live updates

  1. Forecaster Predicts Market Share Slide for GM and Ford

    General Motors and Ford face a forecasted drop in United States market share alongside intense competitive pressures and contrasting third-quarter earnings trends. Ford confronts third-quarter earnings pressure driven by falling sales, an eighty percent plunge in electric vehicle deliveries, and rising costs. While CEO Jim Farley promotes growth targets, Wall Street has responded with a significant stock collapse. Meanwhile, General Motors and Toyota display contrasting sales trajectories as legacy automakers navigate different strategies in the electric vehicle race and fight for dominance in the American truck market.

    Why it matters

    The two Detroit automakers are pursuing diverging paths in the electric vehicle sector while trying to protect their core truck businesses. General Motors currently leads the United States truck market, though Ford continues to narrow the gap. Upcoming vehicle launches, including the next-generation Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra, threaten to shift momentum between the competitors as investors scrutinize long-term demand.

    What is confirmed

    • Ford faces third-quarter earnings pressure from falling sales, an 80% plunge in EV deliveries, and rising costs.
    • General Motors holds a current stock price of $81.47 with an analyst target price of $111.68.
    • Ford trades at $13.51 with an analyst target of $15.00.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Jim Farley keeps pitching bold growth targets for Ford while Wall Street responds by punishing the stock harder than almost any major automaker.
    • General Motors and Ford are projected to see a United States market-share slide.
    • General Motors and Toyota show contrasting sales trends in the current automotive market.

    What to watch next

    • Performance of upcoming vehicle releases including the next-generation Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra
    • Future quarterly sales and electric vehicle delivery numbers for Ford and General Motors
    Sources used for this update (6)
    1. finance.yahoo.com — The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Ford, General Motors and Toyota
    2. businessquant.com — Ford Motor Co (F) Analyst Estimates - Revenue & EPS
    3. trendiview.com — Ford Motor Stock Forecast 2026–2030 | TrendiView
    4. 247wallst.com — Ford’s 20% Sales Forecasts Meets A 38% Stock Collapse
    5. finance.yahoo.com — Ford and GM Are Taking Different Roads, but 1 Stock Races Ahead
    6. www.jmagroup.com — Automotive Trends Report | Q3 2026 Results - JM&A Group
    confidence 90%
  2. GM and Ford Target Prices Update as Truck Competition Continues

    General Motors and Ford face shifting stock targets and intense competition in the American truck market. General Motors holds a current stock price of $81.47 with an analyst target price of $111.68, while Ford trades at $13.51 with an analyst target of $15.00. General Motors currently leads the United States truck market, though Ford is closing the gap. Upcoming vehicle releases, including the next-generation Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra, could alter market momentum between the two Detroit automakers as investors evaluate long-term demand and profitability concerns.

    Why it matters

    The two legacy automakers continue to balance shareholder return strategies against shifting electric vehicle demand and competitive pressures. General Motors previously experienced a 6.37 percent share drop following a third-quarter sales slide despite beating earnings estimates and launching a share buyback. Investors actively weigh General Motors total yield advantages against Ford and its lucrative dividend yields.

    What is confirmed

    • General Motors has a current stock price of $81.47 and a target price of $111.68.
    • Ford has a current stock price of $13.51 and a target price of $15.00.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Momentum in the truck market could swing back toward General Motors with the upcoming release of the next-generation Chevy Silverado and GMC Sierra.
    • General Motors and Ford are projected to see a United States market-share slide according to forecaster predictions.

    What to watch next

    • The release timing and market performance of the next-generation Chevy Silverado and GMC Sierra
    • Subsequent quarterly sales results and electric vehicle demand indicators for General Motors and Ford
    Sources used for this update (3)
    1. 247wallst.com — Ford Motor Company
    2. finance.yahoo.com — GM Rules America's Truck Market, But Ford Is Closing In
    3. 247wallst.com — GM Stock Price Prediction 2026-2027 | General Motors Forecast ...
    confidence 80%
  3. GM Stock Sinks Despite Earnings Beat and Share Buyback

    General Motors shares dropped 6.37 percent following a third-quarter sales slide and rising concerns about electric vehicle demand and profitability. The decline occurred even though General Motors beat earnings estimates and announced a massive new share buyback program. Wall Street reacted negatively to specific elements of the company guidance. Meanwhile, investors weighed the total yield advantages of General Motors against the lucrative dividend yields offered by competitor Ford, highlighting different approaches to shareholder returns between the two Detroit automakers.

    Why it matters

    The stock decline reflects broader market anxieties regarding slowing electric vehicle adoption and compressed profit margins for legacy automakers. General Motors and Ford face intense scrutiny over vehicle delivery volumes and domestic consumer financial health. Analysts continue to monitor how these traditional manufacturers manage capital allocation through share buybacks and dividends while navigating overseas threats.

    What is confirmed

    • General Motors stock traded down by 6.37 percent amid heightened concerns over slowing electric vehicle demand and profitability.
    • General Motors beat earnings estimates and unveiled a massive new buyback program.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Wall Street sold off General Motors stock because a specific part of the company guidance left investors wanting more.
    • Ford holds a dividend yield nearly five times higher than General Motors according to some analyses, while other sources note General Motors has a total yield roughly double that of Ford.

    What to watch next

    • Updates on how General Motors executes its new share buyback program
    • Further market reaction to forward guidance from legacy automakers on electric vehicle profitability
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. www.timothysykes.com — GM Stock Holds Up As Q3 Sales Slide And EV Risks Climb
    2. finance.yahoo.com — General Motors Sinks 6% Despite Earnings Beat and New Buyback ...
    3. www.fool.com — Forget Ford's Lucrative Dividend. GM Has a Different and ...
    4. finance.yahoo.com — GM Just Beat Earnings Estimates. Is Ford Still the Better ...
    confidence 90%
  4. GM, Ford Market Share Decline Projected by Forecaster

    General Motors and Ford face a projected slide in United States market share according to a forecaster prediction, arriving as the two automakers contend with previous quarterly vehicle delivery drops and growing overseas threats. General Motors seeks software-like margins to offset these sales declines. Meanwhile, General Motors and Ally Financial reported earnings on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, which indicate whether American car buyers can maintain vehicle payments. Analysts previously accelerated profit forecasts for General Motors ahead of that earnings release while the market monitors domestic consumer resilience.

    Why it matters

    Automakers face intensifying pressures to maintain profitability and protect domestic market positioning against foreign competitors. Financial health indicators, such as vehicle financing performance and consumer loan repayment capacity, dictate broader industry stability. Observers closely track these financial metrics and earnings reports to gauge the purchasing power and debt health of American car buyers.

    What is confirmed

    • General Motors and Ally Financial reported earnings on Tuesday, October 20, 2026.
    • GM Financial provides personal and commercial auto loan financing offers and lease programs to customers around the globe.

    Still unconfirmed

    • A forecaster predicts that General Motors and Ford will see a United States market-share slide.

    What to watch next

    • Actual United States market-share data confirming or refuting the forecaster prediction for General Motors and Ford.
    • Subsequent corporate earnings releases detailing vehicle delivery volumes and loan portfolio performance.
    Sources used for this update (2)
    1. www.gmfinancial.com — Auto Loans, Leases & Vehicle Financing Solutions | GM Financial
    2. accounts.google.com — Sign in - Google Accounts
    confidence 70%
  5. General Motors prepares for earnings reports amid shifting buyer demand

    General Motors and Ally Financial report earnings on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. These reports will indicate if American car buyers can maintain payments on vehicles. Analysts have accelerated profit forecasts for General Motors ahead of this release. This comes as the company faces a growing overseas threat and seeks software-like margins to offset recent sales declines. The market is monitoring these results to determine if the domestic consumer remains resilient despite previous quarterly drops in vehicle deliveries for both GM and Ford.

    Why it matters

    General Motors previously saw a 5.5% decline in vehicle deliveries, totaling 670,974 units. Ford experienced a 6.6% year-over-year sales drop in the third quarter. Both companies are navigating a transition toward software-driven revenue while competing with international manufacturers.

    What is confirmed

    • General Motors and Ally Financial report earnings on Tuesday, October 20, 2026.
    • Analysts have accelerated profit forecasts for General Motors.

    Still unconfirmed

    • General Motors is pursuing software-like margins.

    What to watch next

    • Tuesday earnings reports from General Motors and Ally Financial
    • Updated analyst ratings following the earnings calls
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. 247wallst.com — GM and Ally Earnings Preview: What Wall Street Will Learn About the American Car Buyer
    2. www.fool.com — 2 Revolutionary Developments That Should Change Your ...
    3. squawknews.com — GM - General Motors Company News & Market Headlines
    4. simplywall.st — U.S. Auto Industry Analysis - Simply Wall St
    5. www.cnbc.com — Capital One, General Motors are among the stocks reporting this week with momentum. Here are the others
    confidence 90%
  6. Ford and GM Shares Buck Market Decline as Investors Pivot

    Ford and General Motors shares rose in afternoon trading while the broader stock market slid and artificial intelligence darlings lost ground. General Motors holds a consensus rating of Moderate Buy based on 27 Wall Street analyst ratings issued over the last 12 months, which includes 1 sell rating, 6 hold ratings, 19 buy ratings, and 1 strong buy rating. Meanwhile, Ford faces renewed selling pressure with Elliott Wave analysis signalling a potential decline toward $6 ahead of a future bullish rally. Previously, Ford reported a 6.6% year-over-year sales drop in the third quarter, and General Motors delivered 670,974 vehicles representing a 5.5% decline.

    Why it matters

    Automakers face shifting consumer preferences toward hybrid and fuel-efficient models driven by high gasoline prices, which forecasters predict will drop the combined US market share for Ford and General Motors to approximately 36% in the third quarter. Asian brands like Toyota and Honda continue gaining traction as hybrids account for over half of their new vehicle sales. Investors are currently rotating capital into traditional automakers as market sentiment shifts away from technology sectors.

    What is confirmed

    • Ford and General Motors shares edged higher in afternoon trading while the broader stock market sold off.
    • General Motors holds a consensus rating of Moderate Buy from 27 Wall Street analysts over the last 12 months, comprising 1 sell rating, 6 hold ratings, 19 buy ratings, and 1 strong buy rating.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Ford faces renewed selling pressure as Elliott Wave analysis signals a potential decline toward $6 before the next major bullish rally.
    • Investors are rotating into Ford and General Motors because of where they think profits are hiding during the broader market slide.

    What to watch next

    • Whether Ford shares drop toward the $6 level indicated by Elliott Wave analysis.
    • The official release of final third-quarter US market share percentages for Ford and General Motors.
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. 247wallst.com — Ford Rises 2%, General Motors and Stellantis Edge Higher While the Stock Market Sells Off
    2. www.goodcarbadcar.net — 2026 U.S Auto Sales Figures – By Manufacturer (Automaker ...
    3. elliottwave-forecast.com — Ford (F) Warning: Could Shares Crash Toward $6 Before the ...
    4. stockanalysis.com — General Motors Company (GM) Stock Forecast & Price Targets
    5. www.marketbeat.com — General Motors (GM) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2026
    confidence 85%
  7. GM, Ford US market share to slide amid hybrid surge

    General Motors and Ford are expected to see their combined US market share drop to around 36% in Q3, driven by consumers shifting towards hybrid and fuel-efficient models due to high gasoline prices. Ford reported a 6.6% year-over-year sales decline in Q3, while GM delivered 670,974 vehicles, a 5.5% fall. Asian brands like Toyota and Honda are gaining traction, with hybrids accounting for over half of new vehicle sales.

    Why it matters

    The decline in market share for Detroit's Big Three automakers comes as consumers increasingly opt for fuel-efficient and hybrid vehicles. This shift is attributed to soaring gasoline prices, which have made hybrid-heavy Asian brands more competitive. The trend is expected to continue, potentially altering the US automotive landscape.

    What is confirmed

    • Ford reported a year-over-year sales decline of 6.6% in Q3 to 507,395 light-duty vehicles.
    • General Motors delivered 670,974 vehicles in Q3, a 5.5% fall.
    • The Big Three US automakers' combined market share is expected to drop to just over 36% in Q3.
    • GM is still America's largest automaker by quarterly sales.

    Still unconfirmed

    • High gasoline prices caused by the Iran war are pushing consumers toward hybrid and fuel-efficient models.

    What to watch next

    • Q4 sales figures for GM and Ford
    • US gasoline price trends
    • Market share data for Asian brands like Toyota and Honda
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. www.marketbeat.com — F News Today | Why did Ford Motor stock go down today?
    2. www.cnbc.com — Ford fends off Hyundai to retain No. 3 U.S. sales position in Q3
    3. finance.yahoo.com — These are the top selling US auto sellers - See who has the ...
    4. getcybertrucked.com — GM Sales Fall 5.5% as Toyota Closes the Gap and Detroit’s ...
    5. stockanalysis.com — General Motors Company (GM) Stock Price & Overview
    6. cmsapi.theepochtimes.com — Detroit Three’s Auto Market Share Forecast to Be ‘Lowest in ...
    7. stockanalysis.com — Ford Motor Company (F) Stock Forecast & Analyst Price Targets
    8. finance.yahoo.com — What GM’s top selling and bottom selling Q3 vehicles tell us
    confidence 90%
  8. Detroit Automakers Face Record Low Market Share in Third Quarter

    General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis are expected to see their combined U.S. market share drop to just over 36% in the third quarter, the lowest level on record. Cox Automotive and other experts attribute this slide to soaring gasoline prices caused by the Iran war, which have pushed consumers toward hybrid and fuel-efficient models. While Detroit firms struggle with competitive alternatives, hybrid-heavy Asian brands such as Toyota and Honda are forecast to account for more than half of new vehicle sales.

    Why it matters

    GM and Ford have lost more U.S. market share this year than any other tracked automakers. This shift reflects a broader consumer pivot toward efficiency as fuel costs rise. The Detroit Three now face intense competition from Asian rivals with more established hybrid lineups.

    What is confirmed

    • General Motors and Ford have lost more U.S. market share this year than any other automakers.
    • The Detroit Three are expected to lose market share to Asian rivals in the third quarter.
    • High gasoline prices linked to the Iran war are driving buyer demand for hybrids and fuel-efficient vehicles.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Combined market share for GM, Ford, and Stellantis could dip to around 36% in the third quarter.
    • Toyota and Honda are expected to account for more than half of new vehicle sales.

    What to watch next

    • Official third-quarter U.S. sales reports from GM, Ford, and Stellantis this week.
    • Updated fuel efficiency targets or hybrid vehicle launches from Detroit automakers.
    Sources used for this update (9)
    1. www.gmfinancial.com — MyAccount Login - GM Financial
    2. en.wikipedia.org — General Motors - Wikipedia
    3. daxstreet.com — GM and Ford Face Further U.S. Market-Share Pressure as Buyers ...
    4. www.bnnbloomberg.ca — Detroit automakers set to lose market share to Asian rivals
    5. worldautoforum.com — GM, Ford to see US market-share slide, forecaster predicts
    6. www.insideradio.com — Prospecting: General Motors, Ford Lose U.S. Market Share.
    7. newestcarsusa.com — Ford, GM Face Market Share Losses as Hybrid Demand Grows
    8. finance.yahoo.com — Detroit’s Share of U.S. Car Sales Is Headed for a Record Low ...
    9. finance.yahoo.com — Detroit Three automakers set to lose market share to Asian rivals
    confidence 90%
  9. GM, Ford US market-share slide forecast to continue

    General Motors and Ford Motor are expected to see their US market share decline further as buyers prioritize fuel efficiency amid high gas prices. Asian automakers like Toyota and Hyundai are gaining ground with their hybrid and fuel-efficient offerings. Ford's F-150 truck production was halted for nearly a week at a Detroit-area plant. The Detroit automakers are struggling with a lack of competitive hybrid alternatives.

    Why it matters

    The US auto market is shifting towards fuel efficiency, with consumers increasingly demanding hybrid and electric vehicles. This trend is impacting the market share of traditional automakers like General Motors and Ford, which have historically dominated the US market with their pickup trucks and large SUVs. The decline in market share is significant, with GM and Ford losing more share than any other automakers so far this year.

    What is confirmed

    • General Motors and Ford Motor have lost more market share in the United States than any other automakers so far this year as buyers prioritize fuel efficiency amid high gas prices.
    • Asian automakers like Toyota and Hyundai are gaining ground with their hybrid and fuel-efficient offerings.
    • Ford's F-150 truck production was halted for nearly a week at a Detroit-area plant.

    What to watch next

    • US market share numbers for Q3
    • GM and Ford's hybrid offerings announcement
    • Fuel economy standards through 2031
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. finance.yahoo.com — America’s Big Three Are Forecast to Hit a Record Low in U.S. Market Share
    2. www.bnnbloomberg.ca — Ford F-150 truck production down for nearly a week in Michigan: memo
    3. www.bnnbloomberg.ca — GM and Ford expected to see U.S. market-share slide
    4. www.marketscreener.com — From pickups to idle plants: automakers seek lifeline from defence boom
    5. ca.marketscreener.com — Trump says he approved fuel economy standards ending Biden EV mandate | MarketScreener Canada
    6. www.marketscreener.com — GM, Ford to see US market-share slide, forecaster predicts
    7. www.marketscreener.com — Analysts' Curious Optimism About General Motors
    8. y94.com — GM, Ford to see US market-share slide, forecaster predicts
    confidence 90%
  10. GM, Ford Face US Market-Share Slide as Hybrid Boom Reshapes Auto Sales

    General Motors and Ford are projected to experience a US market-share slide during the third quarter. Forecasters and analysts expect other carmakers to post US sales growth while the Detroit automakers face a lack of hybrid offerings. Hyundai is positioned to outsell Ford in the third quarter, driven by soaring gas prices and a broader hybrid boom reshaping the US auto market. While Detroit companies continue to benefit from pick-ups and large SUVs, analysts note a distinct absence of competitive hybrid alternatives as consumer demand shifts.

    Why it matters

    The broader United States auto market is shifting as a hybrid boom challenges traditional Detroit legacy portfolios. Automakers without competitive hybrid models are losing ground as rising gas prices alter consumer purchasing behavior. This structural shift highlights vulnerabilities for legacy manufacturers who focused heavily on electric vehicle strategies while demand for hybrids surged.

    What is confirmed

    • GM and Ford are projected to see a US market-share slide.
    • Hyundai is expected to outsell Ford in the third quarter.
    • Detroit automakers lack hybrids amid a changing US auto market.

    What to watch next

    • Official third-quarter US sales volume reports from General Motors and Ford
    • Further data on how soaring gas prices impact consumer adoption of hybrids versus traditional combustion and electric vehicles
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. Detroit Free Press — Analysts expect Q3 U.S. sales growth for some carmakers. Not Detroit 3
    2. CNBC — Hyundai expected to outsell Ford in third quarter as Detroit automakers lack hybrids
    3. Bloomberg.com — Ford Poised to Be Overtaken by Surging Hyundai in US Sales
    4. Reuters — GM, Ford to see US market-share slide, forecaster predicts
    5. Investor's Business Daily — Soaring Gas Prices Could Put Korean Automaker's Sales Ahead Of Ford
    6. autoweek.com — Hyundai Overtakes Ford as Hybrid Boom Reshapes US Auto Market
    7. note.com — EV失速ではない。本当に起きているのは「HEV復権」だった
    8. www.finanznachrichten.de — General Motors fehlt plötzlich die passende Antwort
    confidence 90%
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