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● LIVE Updated 1h ago · 19 sources tracked

Gold Set for Weekly Loss as Rate-Hike Expectations Pressure Prices

Gold prices fell 1.23% to $4,295, hitting its weakest level since August 7. This decline follows a surge in oil prices and hot inflation data, which have increased market expectations for a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike. A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has pushed the implied probability of a 25bp hike on 16 September to between 86.5% and 90%. Simultaneously, 10-year Treasury yields have breached 5%, further pressuring the precious metal as investors pivot toward higher-yielding assets.

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What changed

Gold hit a specific low of $4,295 and market-implied odds for a September 16 Fed hike reached nearly 90%.

Live updates

  1. Gold Sinks to $4,295 as Fed Rate Hike Odds Reach 90%

    Gold prices fell 1.23% to $4,295, hitting its weakest level since August 7. This decline follows a surge in oil prices and hot inflation data, which have increased market expectations for a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike. A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has pushed the implied probability of a 25bp hike on 16 September to between 86.5% and 90%. Simultaneously, 10-year Treasury yields have breached 5%, further pressuring the precious metal as investors pivot toward higher-yielding assets.

    Why it matters

    Gold typically faces headwinds when interest rates rise because it provides no yield. Rising energy costs, including diesel crossing $6 a gallon, fuel inflation and increase the likelihood that central banks will maintain restrictive policies. This trend is mirrored in the UK, where strong GDP growth has intensified debates over Bank of England rate hikes.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices fell 1.23% to $4,295, with an intraday low of $4,278.
    • The market-implied probability of a 25bp Federal Reserve hike on 16 September is between 86.5% and 90%.
    • Brent crude prices have topped $108.15.
    • The 10-year Treasury yield has breached 5%.

    Still unconfirmed

    • A 0.3% monthly core CPI print drove the current Fed hike probabilities.

    What to watch next

    • The Federal Reserve interest rate decision on 16 September
    • UK inflation data releases
    • The outcome of GCC-Iran talks postponed by Oman
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. www.share-talk.com — Share Talk Weekly Stock Market News Review, Sunday 13th September 2026
    2. www.briefs.co — AI leaders urge a slower pace, and markets eye chip names first
    3. www.cmcmarkets.com — The Week Ahead: US Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, UK inflation
    4. 247wallst.com — Diesel Just Passed $6 a Gallon for the First Time Ever. Bond Investors Should Be Paying Attention.
    5. www.cnbc.com — Gold falls on growing Fed rate hike bets ahead of policy meeting
    6. www.mitrade.com — Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500
    7. www.tradingnews.com — Gold Sinks To $4,295 With Brent Above $109 — Why A Regional War Is Now Bearish For Gold
    8. www.tradingnews.com — Crude Rips To 4-Month Highs As The Bypass Line Stays Dark — 10M Barrels A Day Still Shut In
    confidence 95%

  2. Gold Faces Third Weekly Loss Amid Global Inflation and Rate Pressures

    Gold prices are trending toward a third consecutive weekly decline as sticky U.S. inflation and rising oil prices increase the likelihood of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. The market faces headwinds from a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields. Simultaneously, global economic pressures are mounting; Brent crude has topped $109, and the UK saw 0.4% GDP growth in July. This growth in Britain, driven by AI services, has strengthened sterling and raised the risk of further Bank of England rate hikes due to inflation concerns.

    Why it matters

    Gold typically moves inversely to interest rates and the U.S. dollar. When central banks raise rates to fight inflation, non-yielding assets like bullion become less attractive to investors. Current volatility reflects a broader struggle to balance economic growth with price stability.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices are on track for a third straight weekly decline.
    • Brent crude prices have topped $109.
    • Britain's GDP grew 0.4% in July.

    Still unconfirmed

    • AI-focused services in Britain are boosting output and increasing the risk of more Bank of England rate hikes.
    • The Sensex plunged 1,734 points to 74,781.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming U.S. consumer price index releases
    • Bank of England monetary policy decisions
    • Federal Reserve interest rate announcements
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. hdfcsky.com — Sensex Plunges 1,734 Points to 74,781 as Brent Tops $109, Nifty Falls 2.09% in Fifth Straight Weekly Loss
    2. www.briefs.co — Britain's July GDP Pops 0.4% as AI-Fueled Services Lead the Charge
    3. jen.jiji.com — XDS Astana's Matteo Malucelli 2nd on Stage 1 at Tour of Taihu Lake
    4. www.thehindubusinessline.com — ‘It is important to allow markets togive their natural signal’
    confidence 90%

  3. Gold Sets for Third Weekly Loss Amid US Inflation Data

    Gold prices are on track for a third straight weekly decline as sticky U.S. inflation data and surging oil prices bolster expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Markets experienced choppy trading sessions and whipsawing prices as investors digested the latest consumer price readings and evaluated potential monetary policy moves. While some spot indices noted a climb ahead of or immediately following specific economic data releases, the broader bullion market faced strong headwinds from a stronger U.S. dollar, rising Treasury yields, and persistent inflation concerns.

    Why it matters

    Bullion prices are highly sensitive to shifting monetary policy expectations and interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve. Hot inflation readings and robust crude oil prices routinely strengthen bets on higher borrowing costs, which reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. These macroeconomic forces drive broader volatility across precious metals, including silver.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices are heading for their third consecutive weekly decline.
    • U.S. consumer prices increased by 0.4% in August.
    • High oil prices and inflation data bolstered bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes.
    • U.S. stocks rose sharply on Friday following the inflation report, with the Dow gaining 1.23%, the S&P 500 up 1.05%, and the Nasdaq climbing 1.08%.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming Federal Reserve policy meetings and interest rate decisions.
    • Further developments in global crude oil prices and energy markets.
    Sources used for this update (10)
    1. WSJ — Gold Rises Ahead of U.S. CPI Data
    2. Bloomberg.com — Gold Wavers as High Oil Prices, Inflation Bolster Rate-Hike Bets
    3. FOREX.com — Gold weathers violent rates move ahead of US CPI
    4. CNBC — Gold on track for third weekly loss as U.S. inflation data looms​‌
    5. KITCO — Gold, silver prices whipsaw as core CPI keeps Fed hike in play - Kitco AM Report
    6. economictimes.indiatimes.com — Dow Jones| Nasdaq | S&P 500 | US Stock Market Today |Live Updates: US stocks climb as inflation data, falling oil lift sentiment
    7. www.econotimes.com — America’s Roundup: Dollar edges higher against euro after US inflation data, Wall Street ends higher, Gold climbs, Oil falls
    8. www.etnownews.com — Gold prices head for 3rd straight weekly decline - key reasons behind bullion’s fall
    9. finance.yahoo.com — Hot Inflation Revives Fed Hike Bets as Gold Eyes Third Weekly Loss
    10. www.thehindubusinessline.com — Gold on track for third weekly loss as US inflation data looms ‌
    confidence 90%