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● TRACKER Updated 4d ago Β· 30 sources tracked

Gold slips as oil rally fans rate-hike bets ahead of Fed meeting

Gold prices fell below the $4,000 threshold, hitting a three-month low and heading toward their steepest weekly decline in over four months. Rising oil prices intensified inflation fears and strengthened expectations for prolonged high interest rates from the Federal Reserve. Spot gold traded down to $3,998.35 an ounce, while US gold futures for December delivery settled lower at $4,007.90 per ounce. Market analyst Jim Wyckoff noted that the selloff in technology stocks also triggered margin calls, forcing investors to liquidate precious metals holdings.

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  • βœ“ Spot gold fell 0.6% to $3,998.35 an ounce by 11:20 a.m. EDT, slipping below the $4,000 mark for the first time since mid-July.
  • βœ“ US gold futures for December delivery settled 1.3% lower at $4,007.90 per ounce.
  • βœ“ Bullion fell 4% on the week, putting it on track for its worst week since June.
πŸ›‘οΈ Source Corroboration: 30 independent reporting domains (100% confidence) ⏱ Read time: ~2 min

What changed

Spot gold breached the $4,000 threshold for the first time since mid-July.

Live updates

  1. Gold Drops Below $4,000 as Oil Rally Fuels Rate-Hike Fears

    Gold prices fell below the $4,000 threshold, hitting a three-month low and heading toward their steepest weekly decline in over four months. Rising oil prices intensified inflation fears and strengthened expectations for prolonged high interest rates from the Federal Reserve. Spot gold traded down to $3,998.35 an ounce, while US gold futures for December delivery settled lower at $4,007.90 per ounce. Market analyst Jim Wyckoff noted that the selloff in technology stocks also triggered margin calls, forcing investors to liquidate precious metals holdings.

    Why it matters

    Elevated energy costs continue to drive inflation concerns and pressure central banks to maintain restrictive monetary policies. Saudi Arabia energy supply disruptions, stemming from Houthi attacks, pushed Brent crude to a more than five-month high. Traders are monitoring upcoming Federal Reserve policy meetings and economic data for signals regarding further monetary tightening.

    What is confirmed

    • Spot gold fell 0.6% to $3,998.35 an ounce by 11:20 a.m. EDT, slipping below the $4,000 mark for the first time since mid-July.
    • US gold futures for December delivery settled 1.3% lower at $4,007.90 per ounce.
    • Bullion fell 4% on the week, putting it on track for its worst week since June.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The selloff in technology stocks led to margin calls for equity traders, prompting them to sell gold and silver assets.

    What to watch next

    • The upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting
    • PCE price index data for monetary tightening clues
    Sources used for this update (3)
    1. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold drops over 1% as oil rally reinforces higher-for-longer ...
    2. finscans.com β€” Gold Slips Below $4,000 as Rising Oil Prices Fuel Fed Rate ...
    3. www.kitco.com β€” Gold set for steep weekly loss as rising oil prices bolster ...
    confidence 100%
  2. Gold Heads for Steep Weekly Loss on Fed Rate Worries

    Gold prices eased on Friday, moving toward their steepest weekly decline in over four months. Elevated oil prices continue to fuel inflation fears and market expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates. Traders are watching the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting and the PCE price index for signs of further monetary tightening. Physical gold traded near $4,124 following earlier sessions of losses driven by surging energy costs and rising yields.

    Why it matters

    Surging oil prices driven by Houthi attacks and vessel strikes in the Gulf have renewed inflation fears and pushed up yields. Higher interest rates diminish the attractiveness of non-yielding bullion relative to yield-bearing assets. Markets are closely tracking central bank signals regarding potential rate hikes.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold eased on Friday and headed for its steepest weekly decline in over four months.
    • Elevated oil prices bolstered expectations for higher-for-longer interest rates as investors awaited next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.
    • High oil prices stoked inflation concerns and pushed traders to watch the Federal Reserve and the PCE price index for signs of further tightening.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Physical gold spot prices stood at $4,123.60 with a 0.39% decline while silver reached $57.50 up 0.67% and physical demand held.

    What to watch next

    • Next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting
    • PCE price index releases
    • Developments regarding Gulf oil prices and Houthi vessel attacks
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold heads for steep weekly loss as oil prices fuel Fed rate concerns
    2. www.economies.com β€” Gold and silver plunge as oil rally fuels inflation fears and ...
    3. www.usagold.com β€” Physical Gold Slips to $4,124 as Oil-Driven Yields Revive Fed ...
    4. primexbt.com β€” Gold slips for a third session as oil prices stoke inflation ...
    confidence 95%
  3. Gold declines for fourth session as oil rally fuels rate hike bets

    Gold prices fell to $4,120 an ounce on Tuesday, marking a fourth consecutive session of losses. Rising oil prices, driven by Houthi attacks and vessel strikes in the Gulf, have renewed inflation fears and increased expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets now price in a more than 90% chance of a rate increase. While the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged at next week's meeting, investors are seeking guidance on a potential December hike. Higher rates reduce the appeal of non-yielding bullion compared to yield-bearing assets.

    Why it matters

    Gold traditionally acts as an inflation hedge, but its value drops when interest rates rise. Recent data shows September consumer inflation rose 0.6% monthly and 3.7% annually. Brent crude has reached a five-month high, adding pressure to the US monetary policy outlook.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices declined for four consecutive sessions as of Wednesday.
    • Spot gold fell to $4,120 an ounce on Tuesday.
    • Brent crude reached a five-month high due to Houthi attacks and vessel strikes in the Gulf.
    • The Federal Reserve holds a monetary policy meeting next week.
    • September consumer inflation rose 0.6% for the month and 3.7% annually.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Markets price in a more than 90% chance of a rate increase according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
    • The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave rates unchanged next week.

    What to watch next

    • The Federal Reserve policy meeting next week for forward guidance on December rates.
    • New data on US import and export prices.
    • Further developments regarding vessel strikes in the Gulf.
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold dips for fourth session as oil rally fans ... - CNBC
    2. tradingeconomics.com β€” Gold Slips as Rising Oil Prices Fuel Rate Hike Expectations
    3. www.economies.com β€” Gold slips as investors await Fed signals on interest rates
    4. www.kitco.com β€” Gold slips, silver gains as oil retreats and Fed-pause ...
    5. www.tekedia.com β€” Gold Slips as Rising Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Fears ...
    confidence 90%
  4. Gold Falls to $4,172 as Oil Rally Boosts Fed Rate-Hike Bets

    Spot gold declined 0.5 percent to $4,172.36 per ounce on Monday while US gold futures dropped 0.5 percent to $4,196.20, pulling back from a recent one-week high. The downward move followed an earlier 1 percent rebound driven by a softer dollar and lower Treasury yields. An ongoing oil price rally has lifted market expectations for additional interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve, pressuring bullion prices downward despite earlier support from central bank buying and inflation data.

    Why it matters

    Precious metal valuations remain sensitive to shifting energy markets and macroeconomic indicators that influence central bank policy. Traders are closely monitoring inflation figures and currency movements to gauge the timing of future monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.

    What is confirmed

    • Spot gold fell 0.5% to $4,172.36 per ounce on Monday.
    • US gold futures declined 0.5% to $4,196.20 on Monday.
    • Gold climbed more than 1% on Thursday, supported by a weaker dollar and lower U.S. Treasury yields.

    Still unconfirmed

    • An oil rally has lifted Federal Reserve rate-hike bets to 87 percent.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming Federal Reserve meeting decisions
    • Further movements in oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields
    • Subsequent United States consumer inflation reports
    Sources used for this update (3)
    1. economictimes.indiatimes.com β€” Business News Live, Share Market News - Read Latest Finance News, IPO ...
    2. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold rebounds on weaker dollar, yields; October Fed ... - CNBC
    3. www.gate.com β€” Gold Falls to $4,172 as Oil Rally Lifts Fed Rate-Hike Bets to ...
    confidence 90%
  5. Gold Slips 1.5% as Hot CPI Report and Oil Rally Boost Fed Rate-Hike Bets

    Spot gold dropped 1.5 percent on Wednesday as a stronger-than-anticipated United States consumer inflation report fueled market expectations for another Federal Reserve interest rate hike this year. The drop followed Federal Reserve minutes showing most policymakers favor further tightening. Meanwhile, the dollar strengthened, shorter-term United States Treasury yields rose, and oil prices settled higher during a volatile session. Underlying support for bullion remained intact due to ongoing central bank buying, even as traders reacted to the hotter inflation data and shifting energy markets.

    Why it matters

    Precious metals face heavy downward pressure when strong inflation data and rising oil prices force the central bank to maintain tight monetary policy. Federal Reserve officials weighed potential tightening while traders balanced supply disruptions in the Gulf of Mexico against recovering Middle Eastern crude supplies. These conflicting macroeconomic forces dictate the near-term trajectory of bullion prices as investors parse upcoming economic indicators.

    What is confirmed

    • Spot gold dropped 1.5 percent on Wednesday after a stronger-than-anticipated United States consumer inflation report.
    • Federal Reserve minutes showed most policymakers favor one more rate hike this year.
    • The dollar strengthened and shorter-term United States Treasury yields rose.
    • Oil prices settled higher in a volatile session, with Brent crude futures rising 81 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $101.39 a barrel by 0635 GMT.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Gold climbed to $4,206, marking its best level since October 2, driven by an unconfirmed oil ceasefire.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming consumer price index tests and inflation reports
    • Further central bank policy decisions regarding interest rate hikes
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. discoveryalert.com β€” Gold Price Climbs to $4,206 as Oil Slides and CPI Test Looms
    2. primexbt.com β€” Gold slips 1.3% as Fed minutes point to another rate hike ...
    3. www.tekedia.com β€” Oil Prices Rise, Gold Slips As Dollar Strengthens Ahead Of ...
    4. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold drops over 1% as hot U.S. inflation data boosts Fed hike ...
    5. finance.yahoo.com β€” Spot gold slips 1.5% as hot CPI report boosts Fed October ...
    confidence 95%
  6. Gold Holds Gains as Bond Yields Fall and Middle East Oil Supplies Rise

    Gold prices held onto recent gains after falling to a two-month low earlier in the week. The recovery follows a drop in bond yields and an increase in oil supplies from the Middle East, which together helped ease pressure on the United States Federal Reserve to implement further interest rate hikes this month. Precious metals had previously faced downward pressure from a surging dollar and meeting minutes that hinted at potential monetary tightening. Investors continue to monitor macroeconomic indicators and energy markets to evaluate future central bank policy decisions.

    Why it matters

    Precious metal valuations remain highly sensitive to incoming macroeconomic data and energy market fluctuations. Shifts in United States Treasury yields and the strength of the dollar directly influence the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Market participants closely analyze these economic signals to anticipate central bank rate paths ahead of upcoming policy meetings.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices edged up on Thursday after hitting a two-month low in the previous session.
    • Gold slipped on Wednesday as investors looked to Federal Reserve minutes for indications on the rate hike outlook.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Increasing oil supplies from the Middle East and a decline in bond yields eased pressure on the US Federal Reserve to hike interest rates this month, allowing gold to hold its gains.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming United States Federal Reserve policy decisions and meetings regarding interest rate adjustments.
    • Further macroeconomic indicators and energy market developments affecting Treasury yields and dollar strength.
    Sources used for this update (3)
    1. finance.yahoo.com β€” Gold Steady as More Oil and Falling Yields Ease Rate-Hike Bets
    2. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold prices recover from two-month low as dollar rally stalls
    3. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold down 1% as dollar gains; Fed minutes in focus - CNBC
    confidence 90%
  7. Gold Slips as Fed Minutes Hint at Rate Hikes

    Gold prices fell on Wednesday as recent Federal Reserve meeting minutes hinted at the possibility of more interest rate increases. At the same time, a stronger dollar and rising oil costs placed additional pressure on precious metals. This follows a period earlier in the week when gold had gained support from a weaker-than-expected United States jobs report that temporarily reduced Treasury yields. Investors are closely tracking macroeconomic indicators and energy markets to gauge the central bank's next policy moves.

    Why it matters

    Global financial markets remain sensitive to monetary policy signals and fluctuating energy expenses. Central bank deliberations on interest rates directly influence currency strength and sovereign bond yields, which in turn drive investor demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Meanwhile, rising oil prices continue to fuel broader inflation concerns across international markets.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold fell on Wednesday following the release of Federal Reserve minutes that hinted at more interest rate hikes.
    • Oil prices mostly rose in a choppy trading session.
    • Gold previously rose on Friday after a weaker-than-expected United States jobs report drove down Treasury yields.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Indian shares traded lower on Thursday, extending losses from the previous session after the central bank delivered a hawkish rate hike while rising oil prices added to inflation worries.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming United States payrolls data and employment reports
    • Further developments in oil prices and Middle East energy costs
    • Subsequent statements from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate policy
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold heads for weekly drop as strong dollar, elevated Treasury yields weigh
    2. economictimes.indiatimes.com β€” Sensex Today | Nifty 50 | Stock Market Live Updates: Sensex drops over 400 pts, Nifty below 22,500; Bajaj twins, Adani Ports top drags
    3. finance.yahoo.com β€” Gold slips as dollar firms on Fed minutes, oil prices rise in ...
    4. www.livemint.com β€” Gold gains as October Fed rate hike prospects fade
    confidence 90%
  8. Gold Slips as Dollar and Treasury Yields Offset Fading Fed Hike Bets

    Gold prices declined on Tuesday under pressure from a stronger United States dollar and elevated Treasury yields. This drop occurred despite fading expectations for another Federal Reserve interest rate increase following softer recent job and inflation data. Federal Reserve officials indicated they require additional time to evaluate their upcoming policy decisions. Meanwhile, investors are monitoring upcoming minutes from the central bank September meeting and elevated energy costs linked to potential developments in the Middle East.

    Why it matters

    Precious metals remain vulnerable to further selling pressure due to high bond yields and persistent monetary tightening risks. Market participants previously anticipated an October rate increase following an earlier quarter percentage point lift and a massive sell-off in American Treasury bonds. The ongoing shift in monetary policy expectations continues to dictate market direction for non-yielding assets.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices fell on Tuesday due to a stronger U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields.
    • Federal Reserve officials signaled they need more time to evaluate their next interest rate move.
    • Recent soft job and inflation data sharply lowered Federal Reserve rate hike bets for October.

    Still unconfirmed

    • A possible escalation in the Middle East is keeping energy costs elevated.

    What to watch next

    • Release of minutes from the Federal Reserve September meeting for policy clues
    • Upcoming United States employment figures determining monetary policy direction
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. www.businesstimes.com.sg β€” Gold steady as softer US inflation data tempers Fed rate-hike ...
    2. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold gains as October Fed rate hike prospects fade
    3. finance.yahoo.com β€” Gold Steadies as Easing US Bond Yields Reduce Rate-Hike Bets
    4. ca.finance.yahoo.com β€” Gold slips as dollar, Treasury yields offset fading Fed hike ...
    confidence 90%
  9. Gold holds steady as traders await US jobs data and eye Fed rate hike odds

    Gold prices remained flat as investors paused trading to await crucial United States employment figures that will help determine the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction. Market participants are pricing in a 70.3% probability of an upcoming interest rate increase by the central bank in October, following a quarter percentage point rate lift earlier this month. These shifting rate expectations continue to influence precious metals after a prior steep slide driven by climbing energy costs, a stronger dollar, and a massive sell-off in American Treasury bonds.

    Why it matters

    Investors closely track federal monetary policy and domestic employment indicators to assess inflation pressures and borrowing costs. Higher energy expenses and surging crude oil prices have fueled persistent inflation worries, pushing traders to anticipate aggressive central bank action. Bullion markets remain highly sensitive to these macroeconomic shifts, which also impact global equities and foreign capital flows.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold held steady on Thursday as markets awaited key United States jobs data to gauge the Federal Reserve's next policy move.
    • Traders see a 70.3% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
    • The United States central bank lifted rates by a quarter percentage point earlier this month.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming release of key United States jobs data
    • Federal Reserve policy decisions regarding interest rates in October
    Sources used for this update (3)
    1. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold holds steady with U.S. jobs data on radar
    2. www.khaleejtimes.com β€” Gold hits 7-week low as oil-driven inflation fears boost rate ...
    3. www.briefs.co β€” Novig Taps Sydney Sweeney to Spotlight 'Just Sports' - and the user numbers pop
    confidence 100%
  10. Gold Slides Below $4,200 as Crude Hits $107

    Gold prices tumbled nearly 4 percent below $4,200 per ounce on Monday, driven lower by a stronger dollar, a steep sell-off in United States Treasury bonds, and rising energy costs. Crude oil prices climbed to $107, stoking inflation concerns and reinforcing investor bets on further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. The sharp drop in bullion extended broader market declines, affecting global equities and contributing to a second consecutive day of losses for Indian stock markets amid foreign fund outflows.

    Why it matters

    Rising commodity costs and subsequent rate-hike expectations create severe pressure for non-yielding assets like bullion, which previously served as a standard inflation hedge. Equity markets in India reacted negatively to the surge in crude prices, reflecting broader macroeconomic strain. Investors are closely monitoring central bank signals as energy markets tighten financial conditions globally.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices slid nearly 4 percent on Monday to fall below $4,200.
    • Crude oil hit $107.
    • A rise in oil heightened inflation concerns and reinforced expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
    • Markets fell for a second day as high oil prices and foreign fund outflows weighed on Indian indexes.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve announcements regarding interest rate decisions
    • Further movements in crude oil prices and United States Treasury bond yields
    • Foreign fund flows and market performance on Indian stock exchanges
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. economictimes.indiatimes.com β€” Indian Rupee
    2. www.thehindubusinessline.com β€” Stock Market Today Live: Sensex down 655 pts, Nifty holds 22,575 as crude hits $107 - The HinduBusinessLi....
    3. www.thehindubusinessline.com β€” Sensex today | Stock Market Highlights: Markets fall for 2nd day as high oil prices, foreign fund outflows weigh
    4. www.cnbc.com β€” Gold drops more than 1% on U.S. rate-hike bets - CNBC
    5. finance.yahoo.com β€” Gold slips 4% to fall below $4,200 on firmer dollar, bond ...
    confidence 100%
  11. Gold slips as oil rally fans rate-hike bets ahead of Fed meeting

    Gold prices have fallen as rising oil prices and US Treasury yields increase expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Spot gold fell 0.6% to $4,261.79 per ounce. The metal's performance as an inflation hedge has faltered due to rising oil prices, which have strengthened bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

    Why it matters

    The decline in gold prices occurs as investors await the Federal Reserve's meeting, where a rate hike is anticipated to combat inflation. Rising oil prices and Treasury yields have added pressure on gold. This situation has implications for the global economy, as changes in interest rates can influence market trends and investment decisions.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices fell as traders anticipated a Federal Reserve interest rate hike to combat inflation.
    • Rising oil prices and a jump in Treasury yields added to the pressure on gold.
    • Gold slipped further, extending a sharp selloff, as traders priced in growing odds of more Federal Reserve interest rate hikes this year.
    • US 10-year Treasury yields hovered at a near two-decade high, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Roughly $1 trillion in value came off gold and silver in a single day

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve's meeting
    • US Treasury yields
    • Oil price trends
    Sources used for this update (7)
    1. www.thehindubusinessline.com β€” Stock Market Today Highlights, Sept 24: Dalal Street hit by crude fire, US yield surge, Nifty closes 1.64....
    2. finobird.com β€” Commodity Market Today: Gold, Silver Slide on Fed Bets 2026 ...
    3. primexbt.com β€” Gold slips as oil jumps and Fed rate-hike bets build | PrimeXBT
    4. walletinvestor.com β€” Gold and Silver Slide as Rising Oil Feeds Fed Rate-Hike Bets
    5. www.econotimes.com β€” Gold Slides Below $4,300 as Oil Surge Fuels Fed Rate Hike Bets
    6. guavy.com β€” Gold Tumbles on Rising Oil Prices as Fed Hike Bets Surge
    7. www.kitco.com β€” Gold slips as rising oil prices, Treasury yields dent appeal
    confidence 85%
  12. Indian stocks fall as oil and bond yields cool

    The Sensex and Nifty 50 closed lower on Tuesday, September 22, erasing early gains during the closing auction session. This downturn occurred despite a cooling of oil prices and bond yields. Previously, gold prices fell as traders anticipated a Federal Reserve interest rate hike to combat inflation. While the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq rose following the Fed's action on Wednesday, September 17, the Indian market faced a sharp decline during its final trading period.

    Why it matters

    Markets are reacting to the Federal Reserve's efforts to contain inflation through rate hikes. These decisions impact global asset prices, including gold and international equity indices.

    What is confirmed

    • The Sensex and Nifty closed lower on Tuesday, September 22, 2026.
    • The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday, September 17.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The Federal Reserve's rate hike offered relief to stock investors regarding inflation containment.
    • Sensex and Nifty fell sharply during the closing auction session.

    What to watch next

    • Further Federal Reserve policy announcements
    • Updates on gold spot prices following the rate hike
    Sources used for this update (2)
    1. finance.yahoo.com β€” Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as oil slips, Fed rate hike pacifies markets' inflation worries
    2. economictimes.indiatimes.com β€” Sensex Today | Nifty 50 | Stock Market Highlights: Sensex ends 330 pts lower, Nifty below 23,350; Bajaj Fin, Trent drop up to 2%
    confidence 90%
  13. Gold prices decline as oil rally fuels Fed rate hike bets

    Spot gold is trading at $4,327 after three straight weekly losses. Rising oil costs and high US inflation have led traders to price in an 87 percent chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its next meeting. This trend reflects a market shift where inflation drivers and fiscal debt trajectories are challenging the price floors for precious metals. While spot prices fall, Rio Grande reports high-grade gold discoveries at sites including Little Granite and the Paymaster Corridor.

    Why it matters

    Gold often loses appeal when interest rates rise because it provides no yield. The current correlation between oil prices and rate expectations creates a headwind for precious metals. Analysts are monitoring whether these macroeconomic pressures will outweigh long-term valuation drivers.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Rio Grande found 80.4 g/t gold at Little Granite, 66.2 g/t along the Paymaster Corridor, 46.3 g/t at Poverty Creek, and 46.1 g/t at Emporia.

    What to watch next

    • The Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates at the upcoming meeting
    • Further US inflation data releases
    Sources used for this update (2)
    1. www.finanznachrichten.de β€” 80,4 g/t Gold und 131 g/t Silber: Was, wenn die alten Minen erst der Anfang waren? Rio Grandes hochgradige Gold-Silber-Spur wird immer grâßer
    2. www.briefs.co β€” CATL Shares Slide as Speculation Swirls Around Output and Profit
    confidence 80%
  14. Gold Slips as Oil Rally and Inflation Fuel Rate-Hike Bets

    Spot gold sits at $4,327 following a third consecutive weekly decline as rising oil prices and hot US inflation reinforce market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike. Traders currently price in an 87 percent probability of a United States rate increase during the upcoming central bank meeting. This downward pressure comes alongside broader economic risks and questions surrounding future price floors for precious metals. Analysts continue to weigh whether macro inflation drivers or broader fiscal debt trajectories will dictate the longer-term valuation of gold bars and coins.

    Why it matters

    Precious metal valuations face mounting pressure as energy costs climb and domestic inflation figures exceed expectations. Market participants are recalibrating interest rate probabilities ahead of the Federal Reserve policy decision. These shifts highlight the sensitive interplay between commodity markets, central bank tightening cycles, and investor sentiment regarding safe-haven assets.

    What is confirmed

    • Spot gold trades at $4,327 following its third weekly fall.
    • Traders price an 87 percent chance of a US rate hike this week.
    • Hot US inflation and an oil rally bolster Federal Reserve rate-hike bets.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Gold prices could fall below $4,000 amid renewed economic risks.
    • The next trillion matters more for gold than the next Fed rate hike.

    What to watch next

    • The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate decision
    • Spot gold price movements relative to the $4,327 level
    • Oil price stability and subsequent impacts on US inflation data
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. CBS News β€” Thinking about investing in gold bars and coins? Here's where prices could be headed this fall.
    2. Yahoo Finance β€” Will Gold Price Fall Below $4,000 Amid Renewed Economic Risks?
    3. Reuters β€” Gold slips as oil rally fans rate-hike bets ahead of Fed meeting
    4. Bloomberg.com β€” Gold Edges Lower as Hot US Inflation Bolsters Fed Rate-Hike Bets
    5. KITCO β€” The next trillion matters more for gold than the next Fed rate hike
    6. www.thehindubusinessline.com β€” Gold slips as oil rally fans rate hike bets ahead of Fed meeting
    7. www.afr.com β€” ASX flat; FleetPartners surges 12pc
    8. www.marketscreener.com β€” Real, Bovespa slip as tight presidential polls halt rally
    confidence 90%
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