https://www.live-feeds.com/feed/how-accurate-were-kalshi-and-polymarket-at-picking-midterm-winnersContinuously updated, source-cited coverage. https://www.live-feeds.com/feed/how-accurate-were-kalshi-and-polymarket-at-picking-midterm-winnershttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/how-accurate-were-kalshi-and-polymarket-at-picking-midterm-winners#u187786Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:37:23 +0000Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket claim a 98% accuracy rate in forecasting midterm winners, sparking widespread debate and large payouts, including one trader who won more than $350,000. While users on platforms like Kalshi anticipated major upsets and historic victories, the high-profile results have intensified scrutiny from political figures. Democrats are planning to crack down on these prediction platforms, raising concerns regarding insider trading and wagering on sensitive events such as elections, war, and terrorism.Why it mattersPrediction markets have increasingly challenged t