Lula or Bolsonaro: Wall Street braces for two wildly different results in Brazil election — Live Feedhttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/lula-or-bolsonaro-wall-street-braces-for-two-wildly-different-results-in-brazil-electionContinuously updated, source-cited coverage. Wall Street predicts divergent market paths for Brazil presidential electionhttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/lula-or-bolsonaro-wall-street-braces-for-two-wildly-different-results-in-brazil-electionhttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/lula-or-bolsonaro-wall-street-braces-for-two-wildly-different-results-in-brazil-election#u103309Mon, 05 Oct 2026 17:12:27 +0000Financial markets are pricing two opposite outcomes for Brazil as voters head to the first round of the presidential election on Sunday. Investors view the race between President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro as a binary trade. A Bolsonaro victory is expected to drive gains in Brazilian stocks, bonds, and the currency. Conversely, a win for Lula is projected to move these markets in the opposite direction. Early polling indicates the candidates are tied heading into the vote.Why it mattersThe election serves as a test for the growing pro-Trump bloc in Lati