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Mortgage Shock Sends US Pending Home Sales to Near 12-Year Low

US pending home sales have dropped to near a 12-year low due to high mortgage rates. The surge in rates has led to a significant decrease in home sales, with many buyers priced out of the market. This decline is a continuation of a trend that has seen residential lending fall for 11 of 12 quarters after reaching a peak during the refinance boom post-COVID-19 lockdowns.

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  • ✓ US pending home sales have dropped to near a 12-year low
  • ✓ Mortgage rates have risen significantly from the lows seen during the COVID-19 pandemic
  • ✓ Residential lending has fallen for 11 of 12 quarters after reaching a peak during the refinance boom post-COVID-19 lockdowns
  • ✓ Existing-home sales increased 1.5% in September
🛡️ Source Corroboration: 22 independent reporting domains (85% confidence) ⏱ Read time: ~2 min

What changed

Pending home sales have dropped to near a 12-year low, with mortgage rates near 7% contributing to the decline.

Live updates

  1. US Pending Home Sales Hit Near 12-Year Low Amid Mortgage Shock

    US pending home sales have dropped to near a 12-year low due to high mortgage rates. The surge in rates has led to a significant decrease in home sales, with many buyers priced out of the market. This decline is a continuation of a trend that has seen residential lending fall for 11 of 12 quarters after reaching a peak during the refinance boom post-COVID-19 lockdowns.

    Why it matters

    The US housing market is experiencing a slowdown due to high mortgage rates, which have risen significantly from the lows seen during the COVID-19 pandemic. The Federal Reserve's actions to normalize interest rates have contributed to this increase. As a result, home sales have been impacted, with many buyers finding it difficult to afford homes at current prices.

    What is confirmed

    • US pending home sales have dropped to near a 12-year low
    • Mortgage rates have risen significantly from the lows seen during the COVID-19 pandemic
    • Residential lending has fallen for 11 of 12 quarters after reaching a peak during the refinance boom post-COVID-19 lockdowns
    • Existing-home sales increased 1.5% in September

    Still unconfirmed

    • Zillow predicts major mortgage rate and housing market change

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming Federal Reserve meeting to discuss interest rates
    • Release of October US jobs report and its impact on mortgage rates
    • Housing market trends in major US cities, including Chicago, Maryland, and Rhode Island
    Sources used for this update (26)
    1. www.bankrate.com — Current Mortgage Rates: Compare Today's Rates | Bankrate
    2. www.mortgagecalculator.org — Mortgage Calculator
    3. www.bankrate.com — Mortgage calculator - Bankrate
    4. www.freedommortgage.com — Freedom Mortgage | A Top Mortgage Lender and Servicer
    5. TheStreet — Zillow predicts major mortgage rate, housing market change
    6. Bloomberg.com — Mortgage Shock Sends US Pending Home Sales to Near 12-Year Low
    7. Yahoo Finance — U.S. Pending Home Sales Sink Near 12-Year Low
    8. FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul — Mortgage rates near 7%, what should home buyers do?
    9. Patch — Chicago Housing Market Sees A Surprising Shift In Buyer Behavior
    10. The Independent — Home sales under contract plummet to 12-year low in US
    11. Patch — Maryland Housing Market Sees Surprising Shift In Buyer Behavior
    12. Yahoo Finance — Higher mortgage rates keep home sales stuck around year-to-date lows
    confidence 85%
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