https://www.live-feeds.com/feed/prediction-markets-keep-whiffing-on-elections-will-they-miss-on-the-midtermsContinuously updated, source-cited coverage. https://www.live-feeds.com/feed/prediction-markets-keep-whiffing-on-elections-will-they-miss-on-the-midtermshttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/prediction-markets-keep-whiffing-on-elections-will-they-miss-on-the-midterms#u173236Wed, 04 Nov 2026 06:20:39 +0000Prediction markets are facing a major accuracy test with the upcoming midterms, having previously struggled to predict election outcomes. These markets, including Kalshi and Polymarket, allow users to bet on election results, but their reliability has been questioned. Recent reports indicate that election betting odds became less accurate as primaries neared.Why it mattersThe performance of prediction markets in elections has significant implications for their use in forecasting and analysis. Their accuracy has been scrutinized, especially after they incorrectly predicted previous election out