Researchers Identify Suspicious Activity on Kalshi and Polymarket Before Times/Siena Poll Release

Researchers Identify Suspicious Activity on Kalshi and Polymarket Before Times/Siena Poll Release — Live Feedhttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/researchers-identify-suspicious-activity-on-kalshi-and-polymarket-before-times-siena-poll-releaseContinuously updated, source-cited coverage. Researchers flag suspicious trades on Kalshi and Polymarket before NYT/Siena poll releasehttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/researchers-identify-suspicious-activity-on-kalshi-and-polymarket-before-times-siena-poll-releasehttps://www.live-feeds.com/feed/researchers-identify-suspicious-activity-on-kalshi-and-polymarket-before-times-siena-poll-release#u192412Tue, 10 Nov 2026 23:32:36 +0000Researchers have identified unusual betting activity on the prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket occurring hours before the release of a New York Times/Siena College poll. The activity included a $200,000 wager placed shortly before the survey data became public. Polymarket has confirmed it is investigating the bets for potential insider trading or market manipulation. The findings raise concerns about the integrity of election forecasting markets and whether non-public polling data is being exploited for profit.Why it mattersPrediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket allow users to bet