Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence says
Danish intelligence reports a low but increasing risk that Russia may launch a limited military attack against NATO countries bordering Russia in the coming months. This warning coincides with expectations that Russia will escalate hybrid warfare. Simultaneously, NATO is increasing intelligence-sharing to counter a Russian leadership that a senior commander describes as more cavalier and open to risk as the war in Ukraine continues. Europe currently struggles to counter these hybrid attacks, which are viewed as a test of NATO restraint.
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- ✓ Danish intelligence warns Russia could attack a NATO country within months.
- ✓ Denmark expects Russia to escalate hybrid warfare in the coming months.
- ✓ NATO has increased intelligence-sharing to address the Russian threat.
- ✓ Russia has attacked Ukrainian ISPs and data centers.
What changed
Danish intelligence has specifically quantified the timeline for a potential limited military strike as occurring within months.
Live updates
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Danish Intelligence Warns Russia Could Attack NATO Member Within Months
Danish intelligence reports a low but increasing risk that Russia may launch a limited military attack against NATO countries bordering Russia in the coming months. This warning coincides with expectations that Russia will escalate hybrid warfare. Simultaneously, NATO is increasing intelligence-sharing to counter a Russian leadership that a senior commander describes as more cavalier and open to risk as the war in Ukraine continues. Europe currently struggles to counter these hybrid attacks, which are viewed as a test of NATO restraint.
Why it matters
Russia has recently targeted Ukraine's digital economy by attacking data centers and ISPs. This pattern of aggression extends to the borders of NATO, where Russian aircraft continue to test alliance boundaries.
What is confirmed
- Danish intelligence warns Russia could attack a NATO country within months.
- Denmark expects Russia to escalate hybrid warfare in the coming months.
- NATO has increased intelligence-sharing to address the Russian threat.
- Russia has attacked Ukrainian ISPs and data centers.
Still unconfirmed
- The Czech president says US allies should shoot down Russian aircraft testing NATO boundaries.
What to watch next
- Official NATO response to the Danish intelligence warning
- Evidence of increased Russian military troop movements near NATO borders
- Further reports on the effectiveness of NATO's increased intelligence-sharing
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (12)
- AP News — Senior NATO commander warns Putin is becoming more cavalier and open to risk as Ukraine war drags on
- The New York Times — Europe Warns of Russia’s Hybrid Attacks but Struggles to Counter Them
- Financial Times — Russia could attack Nato country within months, Denmark warns
- Reuters — Denmark expects Russia to escalate hybrid warfare in coming months, intelligence service says
- The Guardian — Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence says
- Fox News — US allies need to shoot down Russian aircraft testing NATO boundaries, Czech president warns
- Reuters — NATO steps up intelligence-sharing over Russia threat, top commander says
- Bloomberg.com — Putin’s Shadow War Is Testing NATO’s Restraint
- CNBC — Russia could attack a NATO country within months, Danish intelligence warns
- www.theguardian.com — Russia strikes at heart of Ukraine’s digital economy with attacks on ISPs and datacentres
- ukdefencejournal.org.uk — Danish intelligence warns Russia could attack NATO
- www.ahmedabadmirror.com — Denmark warns of limited Russian attack
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