Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2026
Current reports indicate ongoing military developments involving Russian offensive operations and broader geopolitical shifts. While prior tracking established Ukrainian territorial gains and ongoing resource constraints, newer documentation points toward strategic discussions in separate geopolitical theaters, including the Middle East and international climate governance. Observers continue to monitor how allied support, weapon deliveries, and technological restrictions influence active conflict zones. The interplay between foreign policy adjustments and ongoing military campaigns remains central to assessing strategic trajectories across multiple regions.
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- ✓ Current reports indicate ongoing military developments involving Russian offensive operations and broader geopolitical shifts.
- ✓ While prior tracking established Ukrainian territorial gains and ongoing resource constraints, newer documentation points toward strategic discussions in separate geopolitical theaters, including the Middle East and international climate governance.
- ✓ Observers continue to monitor how allied support, weapon deliveries, and technological restrictions influence active conflict zones.
What changed
New source material expands coverage to include regional political analyses concerning Egypt and ongoing geopolitical commentary on Middle Eastern conflicts alongside existing military assessments.
Live updates
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Russian Offensive Campaign and Regional Updates
Current reports indicate ongoing military developments involving Russian offensive operations and broader geopolitical shifts. While prior tracking established Ukrainian territorial gains and ongoing resource constraints, newer documentation points toward strategic discussions in separate geopolitical theaters, including the Middle East and international climate governance. Observers continue to monitor how allied support, weapon deliveries, and technological restrictions influence active conflict zones. The interplay between foreign policy adjustments and ongoing military campaigns remains central to assessing strategic trajectories across multiple regions.
Why it matters
Military analysts closely track the pacing of territorial control as personnel losses climb and equipment delivery timelines fluctuate. Broader international developments, such as political shifts in Washington and regional conflicts involving Iran and Egypt, shape the diplomatic backdrop against which military operations unfold. Understanding these parallel tracks is vital for evaluating the long-term stability of front-line positions.
Still unconfirmed
- Samir Ragheb, President of the Arab Foundation for Development and Strategic Studies, stated that El-Sayed carries weight across the Arab and Muslim worlds and that Cairo heard criticism regarding remarks about the Egyptian government.
What to watch next
- Updates on critical interceptor deliveries for countering ballistic missiles
- Shifts in United States congressional constraints regarding foreign policy and regional conflicts
- Further assessments of territorial control and personnel losses in the Ukrainian theater
confidence 20%Sources used for this update (7)
- michaelharrison.org.uk — Iran – US/Zionist aggression – 2026 – updated September 25
- www.kyivpost.com — Get the Latest Ukraine News Today - Kyiv Post
- www.breitbart.com — Israel / Middle East - Latest News
- www.orcarouter.ai — Anthropic's September 2026 Threat Report, Explained
- carnegieendowment.org — Planetary Power: Geoengineering and the New Geopolitics of Climate Intervention | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- elderofziyon.blogspot.com — 11/05 Links Pt1: Danny Danon: Do Not Mistake Israeli Democracy for Weakness; Will Congress Constrain Trump on Iran?; NPR Mimics UN....
- www.wysl1040.com — The Media Line: Why El-Sayed Victory May Not Alter Washington’s Relationship With Egypt - WYSL NewsPower 1040
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Ukraine Reclaims Territory as Drone Strikes Hit Record Highs
Ukrainian forces have reclaimed over 800 square kilometers during the 2026 offensives, while the Unmanned Systems Forces struck an enemy target every 41 seconds in October. According to the Institute for the Study of War, Russia has lost a net 241 square kilometers since September as Ukrainian forces regain territory and Russian personnel losses climb. Meanwhile, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported that Starlink and Starshield speed restrictions remain in place, and critical interceptor deliveries for countering Russian ballistic missiles continue to experience delays.
Why it matters
The 2026 campaign highlights a significant shift in territorial control as Ukrainian counter-offensives break through Russian defensive lines. Technological adaptation plays a central role in these operations, demonstrated by massive drone deployment rates alongside friction regarding commercial communication infrastructure. These battlefield dynamics unfold while broader international concerns persist over missile defense capabilities and the operational limits placed on Ukrainian forces.
What is confirmed
- Ukraine's 2026 offensives reclaimed over 800 square kilometers, broke Russian defenses, and included a 15-kilometer underground assault, Zelenskyy announced.
- ISW reports Russia has lost a net 241 square kilometers since September, as Ukrainian forces regain territory and Russian personnel losses rise.
- Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces struck an enemy target every 41 seconds in October, inflicting a record 16,796 Russian casualties across 255,000 missions.
- Zelensky says Starlink and Starshield speed restrictions are still in place and interceptor deliveries needed against Russian ballistic missiles remain delayed.
Still unconfirmed
- Elon Musk ordered the slowdown of a military-grade version of Starlink relied on by Ukraine, sparking panic in Kyiv and confusion inside the Trump administration.
What to watch next
- Delivery status of interceptor systems against Russian ballistic missiles
- Potential changes to Starlink and Starshield speed restrictions for Ukrainian forces
- Further battlefield assessments by the Institute for the Study of War regarding territorial shifts
confidence 100%Sources used for this update (15)
- note.com — Grokニュース 10月7日版｜おーさん
- www.dailykos.com — Ukraine Invasion Day 1,703: Starlink/Starshield still not at full speed - Daily Kos
- www.criticalthreats.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 24, 2026
- uatv.ua — Russia's 2026 Offensive Campaign Has Failed: Why Putin's ...
- www.iranintl.com — Iran sends conflicting signals on US deal as Trump raises prospect of strikes
- united24media.com — Russia Has Lost 241 More Square Kilometers Than It Captured ...
- trailmix.cc — Punkin Chunkin – Trail Mix
- united24media.com — 800+ Km² Retaken, Russian Plans Broken, 15 Km Underground ...
- www.kyivpost.com — ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 27, 2026
- www.lucianne.com — Lucianne.com News Forum - Defund Elon Musk
- transcripts.cnn.com — CNN International: Israelis Vote In First Election Since October 7 Hamas Attack; Trump Speaks In Mississippi On Final leg Of Red S....
- jamestown.org — Lessons Learned From Russia’s War Against Ukraine: Russian Military Adaptation and Defense Implications for Baltic States
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Russia's Ukraine campaign faces rising troop losses, disciplinary issues
Russia's military is experiencing high troop casualties and disciplinary problems, with 1,541 daily losses in September contributing to over 350,000 total losses this year. The Russian military claims to have captured 6,500 square kilometers and 310 settlements, but Institute for the Study of War data suggests actual gains are much lower, at 144.5 square kilometers.
Why it matters
These developments occur amid a disputed territorial situation in Ukraine, where Russia's progress is being closely watched by international observers. The Institute for the Study of War provides daily updates on the situation, including interactive maps of the conflict.
What is confirmed
- Russian troop casualties reached a peak of 1,541 per day in September 2026.
- Over 350,000 total losses have been recorded for the year.
- Institute for the Study of War estimates Russian territorial gains at 144.5 square kilometers.
- Russian leadership claims of capturing 6,500 square kilometers and 310 settlements contrast with ISW data.
What to watch next
- Further updates on Russian troop deployments and casualties
- Assessment of Ukraine's military response and territorial control
- International reactions to the ongoing conflict
confidence 80%Sources used for this update (2)
- timesofindia.indiatimes.com — US Iran War Live Updates: Hegseth says US troops in Israel ready to ensure Iran 'never has a nuclear weapon'
- www.europesays.com — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 21, 2026
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Russian Military Losses Accelerate in September 2026
Russian troop casualties reached a peak of 1,541 per day in September 2026, contributing to over 350,000 total losses for the year. These record casualties coincide with escalating disciplinary issues within the Russian military. This attrition occurs against a backdrop of disputed territorial gains, where Russian leadership claims of capturing 6,500 square kilometers and 310 settlements contrast sharply with Institute for the Study of War data estimating actual gains at 144.5 square kilometers.
Why it matters
The discrepancy between official Russian reports and independent assessments suggests a strategy of exaggerated success to mask high attrition. Persistent losses and internal instability may impact the sustainability of the current offensive.
Still unconfirmed
- Russian military losses peaked at 1,541 per day in September 2026.
- Russia lost over 350,000 troops in 2026.
- Russian forces are experiencing escalating disciplinary issues.
What to watch next
- Verification of territorial gains by the Institute for the Study of War for October 2026
- Official Russian military casualty reports for the fourth quarter of 2026
confidence 60%Sources used for this update (7)
- www.unitedforpeace.org — The Ukraine crisis: commentary, responses, and background - United For Peace and Justice
- united24media.com — Russia Loses Over 350,000 Troops in 2026 as Battlefield ...
- aaronparnas.substack.com — NEWS: Trump Eyes White House Purge as Epstein Probes Loom, Press Secretary Exposed, Oregon Elementary School Shooting, and More
- www.kyivpost.com — ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 16, 2026
- elderofziyon.blogspot.com — 10/18 Links: Trump endorses ‘great warrior’ Netanyahu; Collier: Inside Occupied Territory at the Green Party Conference; Synag....
- www.atalayar.com — Gustavo de Arístegui: Geopolitical Analysis for October 20
- muslimmirror.com — West Asia: The People Refuse to Submit — How Popular Resistance Challenges US Imperialism
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ISW Data Contradicts Putin Claims of 6,500 Square Kilometre Gains
Vladimir Putin claims Russian forces captured approximately 6,500 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory and 310 settlements. However, data from the Institute for the Study of War indicates actual gains are roughly 144.5 square kilometers, making the Russian claim 45 times larger than the estimated reality. This discrepancy suggests a pattern of exaggerated reporting from the Russian leadership to create an impression of large-scale military success that does not align with the actual situation on the front lines.
Why it matters
The accuracy of territorial claims is critical for assessing the momentum of the Russian offensive. Previous reports noted Russian claims of 1,301 square kilometers seized in September. Current disputes over these figures highlight the information war accompanying the physical battlefield.
What is confirmed
- Vladimir Putin claimed Russian forces captured approximately 6,500 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory and 310 settlements.
- ISW data estimates actual Russian gains are around 144.5 square kilometers.
Still unconfirmed
- The Russian leadership is intentionally disseminating exaggerated information to create a false impression of military success.
What to watch next
- Updates to ISW territorial assessments for late October 2026.
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (10)
- www.aljazeera.com — Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
- www.yahoo.com — Yahoo
- www.criticalthreats.org — Analysis - Critical Threats
- elderofziyon.blogspot.com — 10/11 Links: Israel Is Clear-Eyed, Not Traumatized by Oct. 7; The lone wolf illusion: Alone in action, no....
- help.naver.com — Futures Flat As Oil Rebounds After Trump's "Energy Ceasefire" Unravels, Memory Stocks Slide | ZeroHedge
- jacobin.com — Turkey Risks Being Drawn Into Saudi Arabia’s War in Yemen - Jacobin
- news.inbox.eu — 6500 km² versus 100: ISW analysts reveal the scale of Putin's exaggerations about successes on the front
- united24media.com — Putin Claims 6,500 Square Kilometres Seized in Ukraine. The Reality Is 45 Times Smaller — UNITED24 Media
- www.europesays.com — Putin Claims 6,500 Square Kilometres Seized in Ukraine. The Reality Is 45 Times Smaller — UNITED24 Media
- www.breitbart.com — terror threat Articles - Breitbart
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Ukraine Counteroffensive Success
Ukraine's military has achieved a significant recent success, learning to maneuver on a drone-filled battlefield. This development comes as Russian President Vladimir Putin claims Moscow has captured 1301 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in September. The Ukrainian counteroffensive's success may indicate a shift in the war's dynamics.
Why it matters
The war between Russia and Ukraine continues, with both sides engaging in cognitive warfare and military operations. Putin's claims contradict independent monitoring data, and the situation remains fluid. The Ukrainian counteroffensive's success is a notable development in this context.
What is confirmed
- Ukraine's military has scored a significant recent success.
- Russia's President Vladimir Putin claimed 1301 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory was captured in September.
What to watch next
- Further Ukrainian counteroffensive successes
- Russian military responses
- International reactions to Putin's claims
confidence 80%Sources used for this update (5)
- classic.yarnpkg.com — nocache - Yarn
- github.com — GitHub - helmetjs/nocache: Middleware to disable client-side...
- github.com — nocache (Glenn Tweedie) · GitHub
- theconversation.com — Operation Vivaldi: success of Ukraine’s counteroffensive shows it has learned to manoeuvre on a drone‑filled battlefield
- geekflare.com — How To Disable Cache in Chrome, Firefox, Safari, and Other...
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Putin Claims Ground Gains Amid Cognitive Warfare Campaign
Russian President Vladimir Putin asserted that Russian forces captured 1,301 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in September, contradicting independent monitoring data. Speaking at the Valdai International Discussion Forum, Putin advanced an ongoing cognitive warfare strategy by claiming Moscow threatens no one and that European leaders responding to security threats are the actual aggressors. He also warned that any European attack on Kaliningrad Oblast or Russian territory would trigger an immediate nuclear response. Meanwhile, border security incidents continue, highlighted by a recent Russian drone strike on a Ukrainian-Moldovan border crossing.
Why it matters
Moscow continues to pair kinetic military operations in Ukraine with psychological messaging intended to deflect blame for regional escalation onto European nations. These claims emerge as Russian forces deploy inexpensive quasi-cruise missiles that strain Ukrainian air defenses. Analysts track these developments to evaluate how strategic communications support broader offensive aims.
What is confirmed
- Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed that Russian troops seized 1,301 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in September.
- Putin stated at the Valdai International Discussion Forum that Russia is not threatening anyone and has no plans to attack anyone in 2029, 2030, or 2050.
- Putin asserted that the Russian military has never launched a first strike on targets not directly related to military infrastructure.
- Putin emphasized that the use of nuclear weapons will inevitably and immediately appear on the Russian agenda if Europe attacks Kaliningrad Oblast or other parts of Russia.
- A Russian drone struck a Ukrainian-Moldovan border crossing on the morning of October 5, injuring a Moldovan citizen.
What to watch next
- Further European diplomatic or military responses to Russian nuclear threats against Kaliningrad Oblast.
- Verification of territorial change claims in Ukraine compared to independent monitoring data.
confidence 100%Sources used for this update (23)
- www.state.gov — Press Releases - United States Department of State
- en.wikipedia.org — Russia - Wikipedia
- en.wikipedia.org — Russian language - Wikipedia
- www.russianlessons.net — Russian Language Lessons - Learn Russian For Free
- www.omniglot.com — Russian language and alphabet - Omniglot
- www.russianforfree.com — Learn Russian for Free - Russian language lessons, texts & more
- www.newsweek.com — Map Shows Ukraine’s September Gains as Russian Casualties Hit 2026 High
- www.europesays.com — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Oct. 2, 2026
- www.kyivpost.com — ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 2, 2026
- understandingwar.org — Russian Inexpensive Quasi-Cruise Missiles: An Emerging Threat for Ukraine’s Air Defenses - ISW
- understandingwar.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 5, 2026 | ISW
- transcripts.cnn.com — U.S. Bombers Brought Back Home. Yemeni Government Announces Major Offensive Against Houthis. Less Than a ....
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Russia Expands Cognitive Warfare Against European Leaders
Russia is utilizing cognitive warfare to frame European leaders who react to Russian threats as the actual aggressors. This psychological operation coincides with broader military campaigns and recent incidents of Russian munitions entering neighboring territories. While the Institute for the Study of War tracks these strategic shifts, the effort aims to manipulate international perception regarding the responsibility for regional instability and the escalation of the conflict.
Why it matters
The campaign follows a pattern of strategic positioning and military operations across the region. Recent spillover events, such as drones crashing in Moldova, highlight the risk to non-combatant states. These efforts suggest a dual-track strategy of physical aggression and information warfare.
Still unconfirmed
- Russia has advanced its cognitive warfare efforts to persuade the world that European leaders who respond to its threats are the aggressors.
What to watch next
- Official European Union responses to Russian cognitive warfare tactics
- Further reports on the trajectory of Russian loitering munitions near Moldovan borders
confidence 60%Sources used for this update (7)
- www.dailykos.com — Ukraine Invasion Day 1,678: more civilian targets struck in Kyiv - Daily Kos
- understandingwar.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 2, 2026 - ISW
- atos.net — Atos Cyber shield blogs | Advanced threat intelligence from Atos TRC
- www.gatestoneinstitute.org — France: A Sick Country on a Sick Continent :: Gatestone Institute
- economictimes.indiatimes.com — Breaking News Live Updates: FSSAI orders intensified festive food safety checks, inspections and on-the-spot testing
- www.wsws.org — The Investigation Whose Name Dare Not Be Mentioned - World Socialist Web Site
- www.worldhistory.org — Joseph II, Holy Roman Emperor: The Great Enlightened Despot - World History Encyclopedia
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Russian Drones Crash in Moldova Amid Ongoing Regional Tensions
Five Russian drones, including Banderol loitering munitions, crashed inside Moldova on the morning of October 3, 2026. This development occurs while Russian forces continue their broader military campaigns and strategic positioning in the region. The Institute for the Study of War tracked the latest operational updates concerning these movements through late September and early October. The unauthorized entry of Russian munitions into Moldovan territory raises immediate concerns regarding regional security and the potential spillover effects of the ongoing conflict into neighboring states.
Why it matters
Moldova remains geographically vulnerable to stray munitions and airborne threats as the war in Ukraine persists. The incident highlights the persistent risk that aerial weapons pose to non-belligerent neighboring nations. Monitoring military operations through organizations like the Institute for the Study of War provides crucial transparency on how tactical actions expand beyond immediate frontlines.
What is confirmed
- Five Russian drones, including Banderol loitering munitions, crashed in Moldova on the morning of October 3, 2026.
What to watch next
- Official Moldovan government responses and forensic investigations into the crashed drones.
- Further reports from the Institute for the Study of War regarding drone trajectories and launch points.
confidence 100%Sources used for this update (2)
- www.kyivpost.com — ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 30, 2026
- understandingwar.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 3, 2026 | ISW
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Russia Escalates Winter Offensive and NATO Rhetoric
Russian forces are pressing the eastern front and launching a winter energy offensive, while President Vladimir Putin intends to compel Ukrainian capitulation by spring 2027 through intensified strikes. Moscow faces friction on the battlefield as Russian military bloggers express concern that Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction could disrupt assaults against Slovyansk from the east. Meanwhile, diplomatic tensions rise as the Russian Embassy in Belgium issues warnings to NATO regarding the security of Kaliningrad. On the domestic front, Ukraine progresses toward producing Patriot missiles within its own borders and reclaims territory.
Why it matters
The escalation aligns with broader efforts by Moscow to exhaust Ukrainian infrastructure ahead of winter conditions. Simultaneously, heightened friction in the Baltic region underscores persistent friction between Russia and NATO member states regarding the isolation of the Kaliningrad exclave.
What is confirmed
- Russian forces continue to attack along the eastern front and have opened a winter energy offensive.
- Russian military bloggers expressed concern that Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction will hinder Russian attempts to assault Slovyansk from the east.
- The Russian Embassy in Belgium released a statement on September 28 accusing NATO member states of conducting aggressive military activities in the Baltic region.
Still unconfirmed
- President Vladimir Putin aims to force Ukraine capitulation by spring 2027 through escalating winter strikes.
- Ukraine comes closer to making Patriot missiles domestically and has reclaimed more territory.
What to watch next
- Progression of Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction and its effect on Slovyansk
- Further developments regarding the Russian winter energy offensive against Ukraine
- NATO responses to Russian statements concerning Kaliningrad
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (7)
- kesq.com — Vladimir Putin Fast Facts
- www.dailykos.com — Ukraine Invasion Day 1,675: UKR data centers now targeted - Daily Kos
- georgiatoday.ge — Ukraine Latest: Ukraine Regains Ground as Russia Opens New Winter Energy Offensive
- defence24.com — Russia warns NATO about Kaliningrad. Threatening to use 'the entire arsenal'
- understandingwar.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2026 | ISW
- understandingwar.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 28, 2026 - ISW
- united24media.com — Putin Wants Ukraine to Capitulate by Spring 2027 Through Intensified Strikes, ISW Says — UNITED24 Media
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Russia Steps Up Attacks as Western Officials Warn of Kinetic Activity
Russia and Ukraine are ramping up attacks as winter approaches and peace efforts falter. Western officials warn of intensified Russian kinetic activity against Europe, linking recent drone incursions and sabotage acts to Moscow. Other incidents in Poland and Germany fit this provocation pattern against defense and logistical infrastructure, though authorities have not officially blamed Russia yet. Meanwhile, the Russian Ministry of Defense claims an encirclement of Dobropillya as part of cognitive warfare to exaggerate battlefield gains. Ukrainian reports and battlefield evidence refute these claims, showing no significant Russian advances.
Why it matters
The conflict enters a heavy phase of grinding frontline combat alongside heightened regional tensions. Western defense and intelligence sources continue issuing warnings regarding potential future Russian attacks across Europe. Despite ongoing military pressure, Ukraine and the United States remain committed to limited ceasefires and peace negotiations to resolve the war.
What is confirmed
- Recent incidents in Europe, including drone incursions and sabotage, were conducted by Russia or are likely attributable to Russia.
- Western officials are increasingly warning of intensified Russian kinetic activity against Europe.
- The Russian Ministry of Defense claims a Russian encirclement of Dobropillya as part of the Kremlin's cognitive warfare effort.
- Ukraine and the United States remain committed to limited ceasefires and peace negotiations to end the war.
Still unconfirmed
- Other recent incidents in Poland and Germany fit the Russian pattern of provocations against European defense and logistical infrastructure, though authorities have yet to officially attribute them to Russia.
What to watch next
- Official attribution by authorities regarding incidents in Poland and Germany
- Further developments in limited ceasefires and peace negotiations between Ukraine and the United States
- Shifts in frontline movements around Dobropillya
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (8)
- understandingwar.org — Home | Institute for the Study of War
- www.kyivpost.com — Latest from the Institute for the Study of War - KyivPost
- georgiatoday.ge — Ukraine Latest: Russia and Ukraine Step Up Attacks as Winter Looms and Peace Falters
- www.kyivpost.com — ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2026
- understandingwar.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2026 - ISW
- www.criticalthreats.org — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2026
- www.europesays.com — ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2026
- www.onet.pl — Rosjanie chwalą się rzekomym zamknięciem kolejnych "kotłów". W tle ukraińska kontrofensywa
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Russia Shifts Drone Attacks Toward Western Ukraine and EU Borders
Russian forces are targeting western Ukraine and moving drones closer to the European Union, according to the Institute for the Study of War. Recent strikes hit a high-rise residential building in Khmelnytskyi and damaged infrastructure in the Rivne region. In the east, Russian troops continue attacks in Sumy and Kharkiv without confirmed progress, while Ukrainian counter-actions near Lyman are disrupting Russian plans. Simultaneously, Ukrainian strikes have reportedly disabled Russia's seventh-largest refinery in the Ural Mountains, which previously processed 252,000 barrels of crude per day.
Why it matters
The expansion of strikes into western Ukraine signals a shift in Russian targeting toward areas previously less affected by drone warfare. These operations occur as Russia attempts to maintain offensive pressure in the east despite Ukrainian resistance near Lyman. The targeting of deep-interior Russian refineries aims to degrade the Kremlin's fuel supply and economic capacity.
What is confirmed
- A Russian drone struck a high-rise residential building in Khmelnytskyi.
- Russian attacks caused infrastructure damage in the Rivne region without reported injuries.
- The Institute for the Study of War warned of a trend of Russian drones moving closer to the EU.
Still unconfirmed
- Ukrainian counter-actions near Lyman are complicating Russian operational plans.
What to watch next
- Confirmation of the operational status of the Perm refinery
- Evidence of further Russian drone incursions near EU borders
- Confirmed territorial changes in the Sumy and Kharkiv sectors
confidence 85%Sources used for this update (11)
- Institute for the Study of War — Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 24, 2026
- ua.news — Russia is attacking western Ukraine and moving drones closer to the EU: ISW has warned of this trend
- АНТИКОР — A video of the explosion after the drone fell in Khmelnytskyi has appeared online
- Межа. Новини України. — Russian Attack Damages Infrastructure in Ukraine’s Rivne Region, No Injuries Reported
- Ukrinform — Russian drone hits high-rise residential building in Khmelnytskyi
- www.iranintl.com — Trump may be buying time on Iran until after the midterms
- www.kyivpost.com — Russia’s 7th-Largest Refinery in Perm Reportedly Offline After Friday Attack
- ca.sports.yahoo.com — Journalist reveals the chances of Trent Alexander-Arnold returning to Liverpool
- ca.sports.yahoo.com — Official: Kylian Mbappé's time out is now known!
- www.kyivpost.com — ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 25, 2026
- society.comments.ua — Кремль рапортует о новых успехах России сразу на нескольких направлениях: в США отреагировали
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