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Saudi Response to Houthis’ Attacks on Ships May Be a New War

The US and Iran have engaged in a direct exchange of fire in the Strait of Hormuz, with the US striking targets on Larak Island and Iran firing missiles at two US air bases in Jordan. The conflict escalates tensions in the region, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for oil exports. The US military reported a "limited, precise" strike against Iranian minelaying forces.

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What changed

The US and Iran have engaged in their first direct exchange of fire in about a month, marking an escalation of tensions in the region.

Live updates

  1. US and Iran Exchange Strikes in Strait of Hormuz

    The US and Iran have engaged in a direct exchange of fire in the Strait of Hormuz, with the US striking targets on Larak Island and Iran firing missiles at two US air bases in Jordan. The conflict escalates tensions in the region, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for oil exports. The US military reported a "limited, precise" strike against Iranian minelaying forces.

    Why it matters

    The conflict between the US and Iran has been intensifying, with recent Houthi attacks on Saudi-linked vessels in the Red Sea prompting Saudi efforts to secure oil exports. The Trump administration has refused to lead a new military campaign against Yemen's Houthis but will support a Saudi-led operation.

    What is confirmed

    • The US carried out a "limited, precise" strike against minelaying forces of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in the Strait of Hormuz.
    • Iran fired missiles at two US air bases in Jordan in response to the US strike on Larak Island.
    • The Strait of Hormuz remains a central point of tension in the conflict between the US and Iran.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed a supertanker was hit by two naval mines in the southern part of the Strait of Hormuz, causing a fire and bringing the vessel to a halt.

    What to watch next

    • Further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran
    • Saudi-led operation against Yemen's Houthis
    • US response to Iranian actions in the Strait of Hormuz
    Sources used for this update (6)
    1. alhurra.com — Hormuz Under Fire
    2. jen.jiji.com — U.S., Iran exchange strikes as tensions rise around Strait of Hormuz
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    5. www.foxnews.com — Iran's president offers to return to memorandum of understanding if US does
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    confidence 90%

  2. US Rejects Saudi Request to Command Military Campaign Against Houthis

    The Trump administration has refused a request from Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to lead a new military campaign against Yemen's Houthis. While US officials are prepared to support a Saudi-led operation, they will not command it to avoid placing US forces in the line of fire. This decision follows Saudi efforts to secure oil exports by rerouting shipments and increasing loading in the Persian Gulf as Houthi attacks continue to target Saudi-linked vessels in the Red Sea.

    Why it matters

    Houthi militants have targeted ships in the Red Sea, threatening the stability of regional oil exports. Saudi Arabia has previously taken defensive measures to protect its economic interests. The US refusal to lead the fight shifts the operational burden and risk entirely onto Riyadh.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Israel's Kan broadcaster reports that US officials will support but not command a Saudi-led operation because Houthi attacks focus on Saudi-linked vessels rather than American ships.

    What to watch next

    • Saudi Arabia's decision on whether to launch a unilateral military campaign
    • Changes in Houthi targeting patterns toward US assets
    • Official US statements regarding the level of support for Saudi-led operations
    Sources used for this update (10)
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    7. timesofindia.indiatimes.com — Trump Rejects Saudi Request to Command Houthi War; US Says Riyadh Must Lead the Fight
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    confidence 70%

  3. Saudi Arabia Prepares for Potential New War with Houthis

    Saudi Arabia is loading more oil in the Persian Gulf and rerouting oil exports due to Houthi threats, potentially preparing for a new war. The Houthis have been attacking ships in the Red Sea, prompting Saudi Arabia to take measures to secure its oil exports. This development has raised concerns about the stability of the region and the potential for a new conflict.

    Why it matters

    The conflict between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis has been ongoing for several years, with the Houthis launching attacks on Saudi Arabian targets. The Houthis have also been involved in attacks on ships in the Red Sea, which has led to concerns about the security of oil exports from the region. Saudi Arabia has been working to secure its oil exports and prevent further Houthi attacks.

    What is confirmed

    • Saudi Arabia is loading more oil in the Persian Gulf.
    • The Houthis have been attacking ships in the Red Sea.
    • Saudi Arabia has rerouted oil exports due to Houthi threats.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Saudi Arabia is considering restarting war with the Houthis.

    What to watch next

    • Further Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea
    • Saudi Arabia's response to Houthi threats
    • Developments in the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis
    Sources used for this update (10)
    1. Bloomberg.com — Satellites Show Saudi Arabia Loading More Oil in Persian Gulf
    2. thecradle.co — Yemen turns Riyadh's Red Sea lifeline into a front line
    3. Chosunbiz — Houthi threats force Saudi to reroute oil, extend Asia transit and costs - CHOSUNBIZ
    4. The New York Times — Saudi Arabia Appears to Be Preparing for a New War With the Houthis
    5. The Seattle Times — Under threat, Saudi Arabia reroutes oil exports yet again
    6. Breakingthenews.net — S. Arabia said to consider restarting war with Houthis
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    10. tass.com — Seventy ships attacked in Strait of Hormuz in six months, 19 seafarers killed — IMO
    confidence 85%