Senior NATO commander warns Putin is becoming more cavalier and open to risk as Ukraine war drags on

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1. 49m ago

   NATO Commander Warns of Increased Russian Risk Appetite

   A senior NATO commander warns that Vladimir Putin is becoming more cavalier and open to risk as the war in Ukraine continues. This shift coincides with warnings from European spy chiefs that Moscow is planning more decisive actions against NATO. European nations are reporting a rise in brazen grey-zone and hybrid attacks, while Denmark warns of an increasing risk of a Russian attack on a NATO member state. Some analysts argue that the EU and NATO currently lack the capacity to defend against these multi-sided threats.

   Why it matters

   The shift in Russian behavior suggests a potential transition from indirect hybrid warfare to direct military confrontation. This creates a volatile security environment for Baltic states and other NATO allies. Europe is currently adjusting its defense postures to prepare for a wider conflict beyond Ukraine.

   What is confirmed

   • European spy chiefs warn that Moscow is planning more decisive action against NATO.
   • Russia is conducting grey-zone and hybrid attacks against Europe.

   Still unconfirmed

   • Nathalie Tocci claims the EU and NATO are unfit to defend Europe from attacks on three sides.
   Sources used for this update (9)

   1. The Guardian — European spy chiefs warn Moscow is planning more decisive action against Nato | Russia
   2. The Economist — Russia’s grey-zone attacks on Europe are growing more brazen
   3. Institute for the Study of War — What a Limited Russian Incursion Into Estonia Might Look Like: A Narva Scenario
   4. CNN — Beyond Ukraine: Why Europe is preparing for a wider conflict
   5. The Guardian — Europe is under attack from three sides – but the EU and Nato are unfit to defend us | Nathalie Tocci
   6. AP News — Senior NATO commander warns Putin is becoming more cavalier and open to risk as Ukraine war drags on
   7. The Guardian — Russia strikes Ukraine hours after Zelenskyy’s UN speech – Europe live
   8. Bloomberg.com — Denmark Warns of Rising Risk of Russian Attack on a NATO State
   9. The New York Times — Europe Warns of Russia’s Hybrid Attacks but Struggles to Counter Them
   confidence 85%