Stock Market Today: Dow, Nasdaq Open Lower; Bond Yields Jump as Oil Prices Climb
The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq declined on Monday as investors reacted to warnings from the CEOs of Anthropic and OpenAI regarding AI spending. Markets also faced pressure from climbing oil prices and increased bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes. While equities fell, they finished above their daily lows. Simultaneously, the 10-year Treasury yield reached 5%, reflecting a shift in sentiment following a brief recovery period last Friday. Traders are now focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision.
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- ✓ The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq fell on Monday.
- ✓ Oil prices rose in early Asian trade.
- ✓ The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5%.
What changed
US indices fell and the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5% following AI spending warnings and rising oil costs.
Live updates
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US Markets Fall as AI Warnings and Rising Oil Prices Push 10-Year Yield to 5%
The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq declined on Monday as investors reacted to warnings from the CEOs of Anthropic and OpenAI regarding AI spending. Markets also faced pressure from climbing oil prices and increased bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes. While equities fell, they finished above their daily lows. Simultaneously, the 10-year Treasury yield reached 5%, reflecting a shift in sentiment following a brief recovery period last Friday. Traders are now focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision.
Why it matters
This volatility follows a period of instability caused by Middle East conflict and inflation fears. Previous gains were driven by August data showing a 0.4% increase in consumer prices. The current dip reverses recent momentum where markets had recovered from a streak of losses.
What is confirmed
- The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq fell on Monday.
- Oil prices rose in early Asian trade.
- The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5%.
Still unconfirmed
- Markets fell due to a potential slowing in AI spending and increased Fed rate hike bets.
What to watch next
- The upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision
- Further movements in oil prices
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (4)
- www.smh.com.au — ASX edges higher, oil rises; Fed meeting in focus
- finance.yahoo.com — Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as Anthropic's AI warning spooks tech traders, 10-year yield hits 5%
- pro.thestreet.com — US Equity Markets Bend But Don’t Break
- www.briefs.co — Big Financial Firms Back Kaiko With Expanded $110 Million Round
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US Stocks Rise Friday as August Inflation Data and Falling Oil Lift Sentiment
The Dow gained 1.23%, the S&P 500 rose 1.05%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.08% on Friday. This sharp recovery follows a period of decline driven by escalating Middle East fighting and rising inflation fears. Market sentiment improved after August inflation data showed consumer prices increased 0.4% and oil prices began to fall. This shift comes after a streak of losses where Treasury yields surged and oil prices topped $101, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield above 4.9%, its highest level since 2023.
Why it matters
Investors are weighing sticky inflation against Federal Reserve rate expectations. Previous volatility was fueled by producer inflation data and a bond market selloff. The intersection of energy costs and government bond yields remains a primary driver of equity valuations.
What is confirmed
- The Dow gained 1.23%, the S&P 500 rose 1.05%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.08% on Friday.
- August inflation data showed consumer prices increased 0.4%.
- Oil prices previously topped $101.
- The 10-year Treasury yield topped 4.9%, the highest since 2023.
Still unconfirmed
- Oracle earnings are expected soon.
- The Federal Reserve may implement a specific method to calm the bond market.
What to watch next
- Federal Reserve commentary on sticky inflation
- Further movement in Middle East conflict affecting oil prices
- Oracle earnings report
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (19)
- Bruegel — What is driving the global rise in long-term interest rates?
- WSJ — Stock Market Today: Dow Futures Gain, What to Watch — Live Updates
- Yahoo Finance — Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures look to snap 3-day losing streak as oil pauses rally
- CNBC — Stock futures inch higher as traders brace for wholesale inflation report: Live updates
- wsj.com — Stock Futures Rise, Treasury Yields Hold Near Highs as Oil Tops $101
- The New York Times — Oil Prices Surge as Fighting in Middle East Escalates
- Reuters — Wall St set for lower open after hotter-than-expected producer inflation data
- CNBC — 10-year Treasury yield tops 4.9%, highest since 2023, as oil surge raises inflation fears
- WSJ — What Are Bond Yields ‘Saying’ About Stocks?
- The Guardian — Trouble in US bond market could mean higher prices are here to stay
- CNN — There’s a simple way the Fed could help calm the bond market
- MarketWatch — Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall as U.S. oil prices surge to $100 a barrel and Treasury yields jump; stocks on track for weekly losses; Oracle earnings on tap
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