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● TRACKER Updated 3d ago · 38 sources tracked

Sweden exit poll: Left on course for election win in blow to far right

A new poll shows Sweden's right-wing bloc holding a clear lead nearly four percentage points higher than their left-wing rivals, following strong gains for the Moderate Party and the Sweden Democrats. This shifts the political momentum away from the center-left red-green alliance that previously secured a narrow seat majority in the September general election. Meanwhile, exit polls previously indicated a center-left victory with the Social Democrats leading at 51.3% and the Sweden Democrats dropping to 17.2%. Advocates for migrants and Muslims remain concerned about the far-right party's influence on public sentiment and policy.

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  • ✓ A new poll has the right-wing side nearly four percentage points higher than their left-wing rivals following strong gains for the Moderate Party and the Sweden Democrats.
  • ✓ Sweden's far-right Sweden Democrats have shifted the country's political conversation rightward during their time supporting the ruling coalition.
🛡️ Source Corroboration: 38 independent reporting domains (90% confidence) ⏱ Read time: ~2 min

What changed

A new poll shows the right-wing bloc taking a clear lead nearly four percentage points above the left-wing rivals, contrasting with earlier exit polls.

Live updates

  1. Right Wing Takes Clear Lead Over Left Wing in New Poll

    A new poll shows Sweden's right-wing bloc holding a clear lead nearly four percentage points higher than their left-wing rivals, following strong gains for the Moderate Party and the Sweden Democrats. This shifts the political momentum away from the center-left red-green alliance that previously secured a narrow seat majority in the September general election. Meanwhile, exit polls previously indicated a center-left victory with the Social Democrats leading at 51.3% and the Sweden Democrats dropping to 17.2%. Advocates for migrants and Muslims remain concerned about the far-right party's influence on public sentiment and policy.

    Why it matters

    The Sweden Democrats have shifted the national political conversation rightward while supporting the ruling coalition. This policy influence persists despite fluctuating electoral fortunes and previous exit poll projections that had favored the center-left bloc.

    What is confirmed

    • A new poll has the right-wing side nearly four percentage points higher than their left-wing rivals following strong gains for the Moderate Party and the Sweden Democrats.
    • Sweden's far-right Sweden Democrats have shifted the country's political conversation rightward during their time supporting the ruling coalition.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Exit polls showed the Social Democrats leading at 51.3% and the far-right Sweden Democrats dropping to 17.2%.

    What to watch next

    • Further polling data tracking the gap between the right-wing and left-wing blocs.
    • Official responses from the center-left alliance regarding the new right-wing poll lead.
    Sources used for this update (3)
    1. rocketnews.com — ‘They poison the population’: how the far right changed ...
    2. en.parapolitika.gr — Sweden Election Results: Exit Polls Show Center-Left Win as ...
    3. www.thelocal.se — Sweden's right wing takes clear lead over left wing in new poll
    confidence 90%
  2. Sweden's Red-Green Bloc Secures Narrow Election Win

    The centre-left red-green alliance secured 176 seats in the Riksdag against 173 seats for the governing right during the 13 September 2026 general election, according to election results with a record turnout of 84.9%. This narrow-margin victory reverses the 2022 outcome, though the Sweden Democrats lost ground for the first time since entering parliament. Centre-left leader Magdalena Andersson raced to form a government before the 28 September deadline, a race she lost amid a barely visible gap between the two political blocs.

    Why it matters

    The 2026 election outcome shifts the balance of power after a knife-edge race that defeated the governing coalition backed by the far right. Analysts argue the razor-thin majority signals how completely the far-right policy agenda has already won despite the Sweden Democrats losing ground. The central challenge for the incoming centre-left administration is converting this fragile majority into a functional political course.

    What is confirmed

    • The centre-left red-green alliance took 176 seats in the Riksdag against 173 for the governing right.
    • The 13 September 2026 general election saw a record turnout of 84.9%.
    • The election result represents the exact reverse of the 2022 outcome.
    • The Sweden Democrats lost ground for the first time since entering parliament.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The narrow-margin win signals not so much a retreat of the far right as how completely its policy agenda has already won.

    What to watch next

    • Resolution of government formation efforts following the 28 September deadline
    • Actions by the centre-left to govern with a razor-thin majority of 176 to 173 seats
    Sources used for this update (2)
    1. www.europesays.com — In Sweden, the Radical Right Lost, but the Country Has Not ...
    2. novus.se — Svensk Väljaropinion - Novus - Kunskap och undersökningar
    confidence 90%
  3. Swedish PM Kristersson Resigns Following Election Defeat

    Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has resigned after the centre-left opposition secured 176 seats against 173 seats for his bloc in the general election. The political situation previously involved parliamentary deadlock when Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson abandoned attempts to form a government because the Center Party blocked Left Party ministers. The latest result shifts the balance after a knife-edge race that previously gave Andersson 175 seats to Kristersson's 174 seats, defeating a governing coalition backed by the far right.

    Why it matters

    Sweden faces potential political strain following the September parliamentary election. Parliamentary norms have faced severe pressure, raising the possibility of a snap election for the first time since 1958 if a stable administration cannot be established.

    What is confirmed

    • Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has resigned following the general election.
    • The centre-left opposition won 176 seats in the election.
    • The bloc led by Ulf Kristersson won 173 seats in the election.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Sweden may face a snap election similar to the last one held in 1958 due to ongoing political strain and lack of a government in sight.

    What to watch next

    • Formation of a new government administration
    • Potential announcement of a snap election
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. www.wionews.com — Sweden PM Kristersson resigns after centre-left bloc narrowly ...
    2. www.nbcnews.com — The race for Congress: 2026 midterms
    3. jen.jiji.com — Di Benedetto (Codau): "Give relevance to all universities, regardless of their size"
    4. jen.jiji.com — Flight cancelled? Refunds within 7 or 14 days, even with online agencies: the new EU rules
    5. www.theconservative.online — Looming snap election in Sweden: No government in sight ...
    confidence 95%
  4. Sweden Faces Political Deadlock After Andersson Halts Government Bid

    Sweden faces a political deadlock after Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson abandoned attempts to form a new government. Despite winning a narrow majority in the September parliamentary election, Andersson stated she was currently unable to secure sufficient support. The Center Party is blocking the formation of a new administration because it opposes the inclusion of Left Party ministers. The center-left bloc previously won the election following a knife-edge race that gave Andersson 175 seats against Kristersson's 174, defeating a governing coalition backed by the far right.

    Why it matters

    Swedish voters unseated a right-wing bloc in September, but the delicate arithmetic of the Riksdag has complicated the transition of power. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson previously resigned following the defeat, which blocked the far right from entering government. The current impasse leaves the nation in a government crisis more than a month after the general election.

    What is confirmed

    • Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson stated on Monday that she was unable to secure enough support to form a government.
    • The Center Party is blocking a new government because it wants to keep Left Party ministers out of power.
    • Sweden faces a political deadlock and government crisis more than a month after the September parliamentary election.

    What to watch next

    • Formal talks initiated by the speaker of parliament with party leaders.
    • Potential compromise negotiations involving the Center Party and the Left Party.
    Sources used for this update (7)
    1. en.parapolitika.gr — Sweden election 2026: Knife-edge race — Andersson 175 ...
    2. cde.news — Sweden faces political deadlock after Andersson gives up ...
    3. www.cbssports.com — 2026 MLB playoff bracket: Schedule, scores as Brewers win NLCS Game 1 over Dodgers
    4. www.yahoo.com — Sweden’s Left Faces a Political Deadlock - Yahoo
    5. jen.jiji.com — Migrant tragedy in Greece, 12 dead in two incidents off Lesbos and Samos
    6. jen.jiji.com — Australia, MP seriously injured in attack outside electoral office: suspect arrested
    7. www.europesays.com — Sweden’s Social Democrats try to form government after worst ...
    confidence 100%
  5. Sweden Left Block Wins Election

    Sweden's left-leaning opposition has secured a slim majority in the general election, defeating the right-wing bloc by a narrow margin of three seats. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has officially resigned following the defeat, clearing the way for the speaker of parliament to initiate formal talks with party leaders. The election outcome successfully blocked the far right from entering government after a tense campaign period. While preliminary returns earlier pointed to a dead heat, final tallies confirmed the left-wing bloc's victory in the Riksdag.

    Why it matters

    The general election outcome determines the formation of Sweden's next government and decides whether right-wing or left-wing political blocs control the Riksdag. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's resignation initiates the standard parliamentary process where the speaker meets with party leaders to form a new administration. This election cycle featured intense campaigning focused heavily on preventing the far right from entering government.

    What is confirmed

    • Sweden's left-leaning opposition secured a slim majority in the general election, defeating the right-wing bloc by a narrow margin of three seats.
    • Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson officially resigned following the defeat.
    • The election outcome blocked the far right from entering government after a tense campaign period.
    • Final tallies confirmed the left-wing bloc's victory in the Riksdag after preliminary returns earlier pointed to a dead heat.

    What to watch next

    • Formal talks initiated by the speaker of parliament with party leaders to form a new government
    Sources used for this update (12)
    1. github.com — nocache/README at master · Feh/nocache · GitHub
    2. classic.yarnpkg.com — nocache - Yarn
    3. directory.fsf.org — Nocache - Free Software Directory
    4. www.tek-tips.com — What does NOCACHE do? - Tek-Tips
    5. github.com — GitHub - helmetjs/nocache: Middleware to disable client-side...
    6. www.cdc.gov — This is a TEST | State and Local Readiness | CDC
    7. www.cdc.gov — Think. Test. Treat TB | Think. Test. Treat TB. | CDC
    8. jen.jiji.com — Ex Ilva Strike: Occupation of State Roads 100 and 106 Continues in Taranto - Video
    9. jen.jiji.com — Art, in Catania the Presti Foundation inaugurates 'Pegasus - The Winged Horse'
    10. cen.acs.org — Poll: Who will win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?
    11. jen.jiji.com — Serie A, today Frosinone-Sassuolo: time, probable lineups and where to watch it on TV
    12. jen.jiji.com — Local trade: risks from bureaucracy and lack of generational renewal
    confidence 100%
  6. Sweden Left Bloc Wins Election

    Sweden's left-leaning opposition has secured a slim majority in the general election, defeating the right-wing bloc by a narrow margin of three seats. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has officially resigned following the defeat, clearing the way for the speaker of parliament to initiate formal talks with party leaders. The election outcome successfully blocked the far right from entering government after a tense campaign period. While preliminary returns earlier pointed to a dead heat, final tallies confirmed the left-wing bloc's victory in the Riksdag.

    Why it matters

    The Swedish parliamentary election determined the control of government amid intense debate over welfare policies, regional security, and the rising influence of hard-right factions. The far right previously served as the power behind the right-wing administration led by Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson. Magdalena Andersson, leader of the Social Democrats, had previously engaged in government formation talks before the final vote tally concluded.

    What is confirmed

    • Sweden's left-leaning opposition won a narrow majority in the general election.
    • The ruling and opposition blocs were separated by three seats according to the election authority.
    • Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson resigned following the election defeat.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Allegations of electoral fraud have intensified concerns over voting safeguards, organized crime, and immigrant integration following the parliamentary election.

    What to watch next

    • Formal government formation talks initiated by the speaker of parliament with party leaders.
    • Updates from the election authority regarding regional and municipal results.
    Sources used for this update (13)
    1. www.thedailystar.net — Sweden's PM Kristersson resigns following election defeat
    2. www.wfmz.com — Swedish election ends in tight finale. Preliminary results ...
    3. www.irishtimes.com — Sweden’s Andersson ends talks to form centre-left government
    4. www.thedailystar.net — Sweden's centre-left bloc leads close election against right ...
    5. www.yahoo.com — Swedish opposition leader gets second chance to form government
    6. www.ipsnews.net — Sweden’s Far Right Falters - Inter Press Service
    7. jen.jiji.com — Sustainability: Impact Award 2026, here are the winners (3)
    8. www.nationalreview.com — Swedish Election: Allegations of Electoral Fraud May Trigger ...
    9. www.val.se — Election results 2026 – Riksdag, regional and municipal ...
    10. www.val.se — Valresultat riksdag, region och kommun 2026 | Valmyndigheten
    11. www.infosites.eu — Sweden’s centre-left win election as right wing bloc suffers ...
    12. jen.jiji.com — Serie A, today Sassuolo-Milan: time, probable lineups and where to watch it
    confidence 100%
  7. Sweden's Left Leads Exit Polls

    Exit polls from the Swedish general election indicate that left-wing and centre-left opposition blocs are leading the vote, potentially blocking the far right from entering government. While certain forecasts suggest the race remains too close to call, multiple reports point to a decline in support for hard-right candidates. This election determines the composition of the new parliament and whether the left can retake power, with key issues centering on welfare, Russia, and the influence of Donald Trump.

    Why it matters

    The Swedish general election decides the future parliamentary majority and the potential return of the left to government leadership. Voters weighed critical national and international issues, including domestic welfare policies, regional security regarding Russia, and foreign political influences.

    What is confirmed

    • Exit polls indicate the left-wing and centre-left opposition blocs are leading in the Swedish general election.
    • Multiple reports indicate a loss of support for hard-right candidates in the election.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Some forecasts suggest the electoral race remains too close to call.

    What to watch next

    • Final official election results determining the exact composition of the new parliament
    • Official confirmation of whether the left-wing block successfully retakes power
    Sources used for this update (12)
    1. jen.jiji.com — Formenti (Confindustria Nautica): "Important numbers for the 66th Genoa Boat Show"
    2. jen.jiji.com — Non-small cell lung cancer, new efficacy data for trastuzumab deruxtecan (3)
    3. jen.jiji.com — Food, Anir Confindustria: "Design the future and become an increasingly integral part of Italian industry"
    4. jen.jiji.com — Shooting in Rome, woman hit in Prati: the weapon could be a rifle, shots from over ten meters
    5. jen.jiji.com — Fashion, Di Monte (Accademia del Lusso): "‘Fashion & Talent' in a place that has hosted great designers"
    6. jen.jiji.com — Heist in Cardinal Ernest Simoni's apartment in Florence, wall broken through and 30 thousand euro loot
    7. jen.jiji.com — TV ratings, Rai1 with 'Giovannino Guareschi' wins prime time with 16% share
    8. jen.jiji.com — Beppe Grillo: "I don't have the power and faculty to form a party. My son Ciro is studying to shout his innocence"
    9. en.wikipedia.org — 2026 Swedish general election - Wikipedia
    10. portside.org — The Left That Has Not Won, the Far-Right Has Lost: Centrist ...
    11. jen.jiji.com — Garlasco crime, what changes for Alberto Stasi after the closure of the Sempio investigation: the expert answers
    12. www.dw.com — Sweden's center-left bloc fails to form government - dw.com
    confidence 90%
  8. Exit polls show Swedish left on course for election win

    Exit polls indicate the left-wing and centre-left opposition blocs are leading in the Swedish general election, potentially blocking the far right from entering government. While some forecasts suggest the race remains too close to call, multiple reports indicate a loss of support for hard-right candidates. The election determines the composition of the new parliament and whether the left will retake power. Key issues influencing the vote include welfare, Russia, and the influence of Donald Trump.

    Why it matters

    The election represents a struggle for control of the Swedish government between left-wing forces and the hard right. A victory for the far right would mark a significant shift in the country's political alignment. Voters are choosing a new parliament amid intense debate over social services and international relations.

    What is confirmed

    • Swedish voters are casting ballots to choose a new parliament.
    • Exit polls indicate the left-wing or centre-left opposition bloc is leading the vote.
    • The election results could determine if the far right enters the government.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The election forecast is too close to call.
    • The left-wing bloc is leading specifically because the far right lost support.

    What to watch next

    • Official vote count and seat allocation for the new parliament
    • Confirmation of whether the far right secures a role in government
    Sources used for this update (11)
    1. CNBC — Russia, Trump and a battle over welfare loom over Sweden’s election
    2. Reuters — Swedes vote in election that could usher far right into government
    3. Al Jazeera — Voting under way in Sweden election that could see far right enter gov’t
    4. The Guardian — Sweden general election: close race as far right eyes role in government – Europe live
    5. politico.eu — Sweden exit poll: Left on course for election win in blow to far right
    6. PBS — Swedish voters go to polls to choose a new parliament as hard right bids for role in government
    7. Al Jazeera — Centre-left opposition bloc leads in Swedish vote, poll shows
    8. Le Monde.fr — 'When you're that sick, you reflect on the values that matter most': Sweden's Birgitta Ohlsson returns to fight the far right
    9. politico.eu — Sweden election forecast says vote too close to call
    10. BBC — Left-wing bloc leads Swedish vote after far-right lose support, exit polls say
    11. Financial Times — Sweden’s left on course to retake power
    confidence 80%
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