Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Hopes Get a Brutal Reality Check

Live updates

1. 1h ago

   Donald Trump Faces Disappointment Over Nobel Peace Prize Hopes

   Donald Trump will not win this year's Nobel Peace Prize as experts and prediction markets point toward other contenders, including Canadian figure Mark Carney. Trump launched an aggressive lobbying campaign for the honor last year but ultimately lost to Venezuelan opposition politician Maria Corina Machado. Machado subsequently handed her gold medal to Trump, sparking ongoing discussions regarding how the five-person adjudication panel will handle future considerations. Analysts note that Trump's current military actions, including a conflict with Iran, rule out any chance of him receiving the award from the Oslo committee.

   Why it matters

   The Nobel Peace Prize committee faces heightened scrutiny following the unprecedented events of the previous year, when the recipient gifted her medal directly to Trump. Experts suggest this unusual stunt will shape the jury's deliberations moving forward as they tread carefully through political pressures. While Trump remains out of the running, analysts state his past campaign and ongoing global actions still cast a shadow over the selection process.

   What is confirmed

   • Donald Trump will not win this year's Nobel Peace Prize.
   • Last year's Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to Venezuelan opposition politician Maria Corina Machado.
   • Maria Corina Machado gave her gold Nobel medal to Trump after winning the prize.
   • Haakon Gjerloew serves as the acting director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo.

   Still unconfirmed

   • Mark Carney is set to snatch the Nobel Peace Prize from Trump.
   • Mark Carney is a contender for the Nobel Peace Prize alongside Donald Trump.

   What to watch next

   • The official announcement of the Nobel Peace Prize laureate by the adjudication panel.
   • Any further public lobbying or commentary from Donald Trump regarding the award.
   Sources used for this update (21)

   1. The Independent — Canada could steal the one prize Trump wants most
   2. The Guardian — Forget the famous names. Here is who actually deserves this year’s Nobel peace prize | Haakon Gjerløw
   3. National Post — Is Carney a Nobel Peace Prize contender? Here's what one prediction market says
   4. The Independent — Mark Carney set to snatch Nobel Peace Prize from Trump
   5. AP News — Mark Carney's stand against Trump leads to Nobel Peace Prize and Time Person of the Year buzz
   6. Reuters — Trump will not win this year's Nobel Peace Prize, but he may influence who does, say experts
   7. Yahoo — Nobel Peace Prize jury treads carefully after Trump campaign
   8. thedailybeast.com — Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Hopes Get a Brutal Reality Check
   9. Toronto Star — Mark Carney must be more than anti-Trump for a real shot at the Nobel Peace Prize
   10. www.thedailybeast.com — Trump's Nobel Peace Prize Hopes Get a Brutal Reality Check
   11. SBS — Trump, Carney and a galactic entity: This year's Nobel Peace Prize contenders
   12. WKRC — Out-of-this-world beer joins ISS Nobel Peace Prize buzz in Dean Regas’ space roundup
   confidence 95%