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Two sides of a political chasm share one fear in Colombia’s presidential race: A return to the past

The presidential election centers on how to fight criminal violence. Voters are haunted by six decades of armed conflict. A right-wing win in the third-largest country in Latin America could affect the broader region.

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New data highlights the scale of violence and the potential regional impact of the election result.

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  1. Violence and History Shape Colombia's Presidential Race

    The presidential election centers on how to fight criminal violence. Voters are haunted by six decades of armed conflict. A right-wing win in the third-largest country in Latin America could affect the broader region.

    What's confirmed:

    • More than 10 million people are victims of the harshest acts of violence in Colombia's six decades of armed conflict.
    • Victims of the armed conflict represent more than one in five Colombians.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • A right-wing victory in Latin America's third-largest country could ripple across the region.
    confidence 90%
  2. Colombia Presidential Race Divided by Rival Visions and Fiscal Fears

    Colombia is facing a high-stakes presidential election where candidates present opposing visions for the country. Both sides share a fear of returning to the past while grappling with looming fiscal realities. The race features a mix of nationalist law-and-order platforms and social reform efforts.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • De La Espriella is running a nationalist law-and-order campaign.
    • De La Espriella is a Trump ally who has vowed death to cartels.
    • Social reformer, philosopher, and senator Cepeda is seeking the presidency.
    • The next president may face tax hikes and blackouts.
    • Some view the election as a battle for the future of the Amazon.
    • Candidates have deployed poll watchers for the election.
    confidence 70%