Ukraine Knocks Out Over 45% of Russia’s Projected Refining Capacity
Ukrainian strikes have knocked out over 45 percent of Russia projected oil refining capacity, leading to severe fuel shortages and rising prices across the country. In the Leningrad region, fuel purchases are restricted to 30 liters per fill-up, while roughly one in five independent and small gas stations have halted operations. Exiled Russian economist Andrei Yakovlev noted that gasoline is unavailable in many areas or sold at prices two to three times higher than in major cities, prompting authorities to prepare crisis scenarios for a worsening fuel situation.
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- ✓ Ukraine has knocked out over 45% of Russia projected refining capacity.
- ✓ Russia Leningrad region will limit fuel purchases to 30 liters per fill-up.
- ✓ About one in five independent and small gas stations have stopped operating in the Leningrad region.
What changed
Ukraine's sustained attacks on critical infrastructure have successfully disabled nearly half of Russia's projected refining capacity, triggering immediate regional rationing and widespread station closures.
Live updates
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Ukraine Strikes Cripple Russian Refining
Ukrainian strikes have knocked out over 45 percent of Russia projected oil refining capacity, leading to severe fuel shortages and rising prices across the country. In the Leningrad region, fuel purchases are restricted to 30 liters per fill-up, while roughly one in five independent and small gas stations have halted operations. Exiled Russian economist Andrei Yakovlev noted that gasoline is unavailable in many areas or sold at prices two to three times higher than in major cities, prompting authorities to prepare crisis scenarios for a worsening fuel situation.
Why it matters
The targeted destruction of domestic refining infrastructure puts severe strain on the Russian economy and places renewed pressure on global diesel supply. Independent stations are disproportionately affected by the supply squeeze, forcing closures and strict rationing measures. As damages from Moscow strikes accumulate, Russian authorities face growing logistical hurdles to maintain domestic fuel distribution.
What is confirmed
- Ukraine has knocked out over 45% of Russia projected refining capacity.
- Russia Leningrad region will limit fuel purchases to 30 liters per fill-up.
- About one in five independent and small gas stations have stopped operating in the Leningrad region.
Still unconfirmed
- Congress and Zelensky are working together to push the price of diesel in the US for $8 to the elections.
What to watch next
- Further emergency restrictions on retail fuel sales in other Russian regions
- Additional Ukrainian drone strikes targeting remaining operational domestic refineries
- Global diesel market price reactions to ongoing Russian refining capacity losses
confidence 95%Sources used for this update (9)
- Meduza — Russia’s Leningrad region will limit fuel purchases to 30 liters (almost 8 gallons) per fill-up. About one in five independent and small gas stations have stopped operating.
- UNITED24 Media — Ukraine Knocks Out Over 45% of Russia’s Projected Refining Capacity
- kyivindependent.com — Ukraine war latest: Russia's oil refining capacity falls as damage from Moscow strikes sets in
- ChemAnalyst — Ukraine Strikes on Russian Refineries Put Global Diesel Supply Under Renewed Pressure
- Le Monde.fr — Andrei Yakovlev, Russian economist in exile: 'In many areas, gasoline is either unavailable or sold at prices two to three times higher than in major cities'
- Українські Національні Новини (УНН) — In Russia, a worsening fuel situation is expected, and crisis scenarios are already being prepared
- EADaily — Congress and Zelensky are working together to push the price of diesel in the US for $ 8 to the elections
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- jen.jiji.com — President Tokayev appoints 10 judges to Constitutional Court
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