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US strikes Iran following attack on cargo ship in Strait of Hormuz

Iran targeted US military bases in Kuwait and the UAE on Thursday following a strike that killed civilians at a wedding. US-backed tankers are crossing the Strait of Hormuz at night with transponders turned off. President Donald Trump claims Washington controls the route, though independent trackers question those figures. Asian spot LNG prices have surged to their highest level since December 2022 as fighting compounds the loss of Qatari supplies through the waterway. South Korea is weighing the deployment of P-8A aircraft and naval support to reinforce maritime security.

RSS Source map (81)

What changed

Iran launched retaliatory attacks against US military bases in Kuwait and the UAE as tankers began transiting the Strait of Hormuz at night with their transponders switched off.

Live updates

  1. Iran Says It Hit US Bases as Tankers Run Dark in Hormuz

    Iran targeted US military bases in Kuwait and the UAE on Thursday following a strike that killed civilians at a wedding. US-backed tankers are crossing the Strait of Hormuz at night with transponders turned off. President Donald Trump claims Washington controls the route, though independent trackers question those figures. Asian spot LNG prices have surged to their highest level since December 2022 as fighting compounds the loss of Qatari supplies through the waterway. South Korea is weighing the deployment of P-8A aircraft and naval support to reinforce maritime security.

    Why it matters

    Renewed fighting between the US and Iran has severely disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, a critical trade artery for global oil and liquefied natural gas. The conflict escalated after a US military strike led Tehran to threaten tougher measures, while formal diplomatic efforts stalled as an interim memorandum of understanding expired. The resulting maritime threats have forced commercial operators to adopt covert transit methods while driving energy prices sharply higher across Asia.

    What is confirmed

    • The US military escorted 40 commercial vessels carrying 18 million barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday.
    • Asian spot LNG prices climbed to their highest level since December 2022 due to the conflict and the loss of Qatari supplies.
    • The memorandum of understanding signed between the US and Iran in mid-June has expired, leaving the conflict stalled.
    • Iran stated it hit US military bases in Kuwait and the UAE on Thursday.
    • US Vice President JD Vance stated that the strike resulting in civilian casualties at a wedding is being investigated.

    Still unconfirmed

    • US-backed tankers are crossing the Strait of Hormuz at night with transponders switched off, though independent trackers question administration numbers.
    • South Korea could deploy P-8A Poseidon aircraft and naval support to the Strait of Hormuz.
    • MV Baryon, a cargo ship carrying 23 Indian sailors on a Russia to Karachi route, was hit by a drone attack in its accommodation area.

    What to watch next

    • Results of the US investigation into the wedding strike announced by Vice President JD Vance
    • Official decisions from South Korea regarding the deployment of P-8A Poseidon aircraft and naval support
    • Movements in Asian spot LNG prices and global shipping insurance rates amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions
    Sources used for this update (7)
    1. www.yahoo.com — 60 targets struck, 18M barrels of oil protected: The US military’s record day in the Strait of Hormuz
    2. www.ynetnews.com — Crossing Hormuz in the dark: The secret oil operation testing Trump’s claims
    3. oilprice.com — Asian LNG Prices Surge to Highest Since 2022 as Iran War Escalates
    4. www.military.com — ‘We Are Stalled’: US-Iran Conflict Stuck With No End in Sight
    5. www.armyrecognition.com — South Korea Could Deploy P-8A Poseidon Aircraft to Strait of Hormuz as U.S. Confronts Iran.
    6. sg.news.yahoo.com — Iran hits US targets as Washington says probing wedding strike
    7. news.abplive.com — Drone Hits Cargo Ship With 23 Indian Sailors Onboard On Russia To Karachi Route
    confidence 90%
  2. US Military Hits Iranian Targets as Tehran Threatens Tougher Response

    The US military struck targets in Iran on Tuesday, leading Tehran to threaten a tougher strategy on Wednesday. These exchanges left at least 19 Iranians dead, including four people at a wedding. While the US escorted 40 commercial vessels carrying 18 million barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has expanded its blacklist of non-compliant ships to over 50 vessels. Global markets reacted with falling shipping stocks as analysts warn of a potential full shutdown of the waterway. President Donald Trump has vowed further action against Tehran's retaliation.

    Why it matters

    Hostilities flared after attacks on US personnel in Jordan and cargo ships in the Strait of Hormuz. The region remains unstable following a weekend of fire and the interception of an Iranian drone over UAE waters. This escalation threatens global oil supplies and critical maritime trade routes.

    What is confirmed

    • The US military hit targets in Iran on Tuesday.
    • At least 19 Iranians died in recent exchanges, including four at a wedding.
    • The US military escorted 40 commercial vessels carrying 18 million barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz.
    • Iran expanded its blacklist of non-compliant vessels to over 50.

    Still unconfirmed

    • President Donald Trump proposed renaming the Strait of Hormuz to Trump Strait.
    • ABG warns that escalation could lead to a full shutdown of the waterway.

    What to watch next

    • Iranian military implementation of its tougher strategy against US forces.
    • US response to Tehran's missile and drone strikes across the region.
    • Further fluctuations in Brent crude prices based on Hormuz waterway accessibility.
    Sources used for this update (6)
    1. www.afp.com — Iran threatens tougher strategy after US strikes kill 4 at wedding
    2. www.cnn.com — 60 targets struck, 18M barrels of oil protected: The US military’s record day in the Strait of Hormuz
    3. ca.news.yahoo.com — US military completes latest strikes against Iran, while Trump vows more for Tehran's retaliation
    4. www.tradewindsnews.com — Iran adds extra ships to blacklist in fight for control of Strait of Hormuz
    5. www.tradewindsnews.com — Shipping stocks fall with global markets after US attacks spark full Hormuz closure fears
    6. www.siasat.com — Trump proposes renaming Strait of Hormuz ‘Trump Strait’
    confidence 90%
  3. US Launches Second Wave of Strikes on Iran as Regional Tensions Rise

    The US military conducted a second wave of airstrikes against Iran on Tuesday following a weekend exchange of fire. President Donald Trump vowed to strike Iran "hard" in response to attacks on US personnel in Jordan. Regional escalation continued Monday when the United Arab Emirates intercepted an Iranian drone over its territorial waters. Two oil tankers were also attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude prices responded to the instability by surging to $91.87 as markets fear for global oil supplies.

    Why it matters

    This conflict has lasted more than six months and recently experienced a month-long lull. The current hostilities center on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route for global energy.

    What is confirmed

    • The United Arab Emirates intercepted an Iranian drone over its territorial waters on Monday.
    • The US military conducted airstrikes against Iran on Tuesday, marking a second wave of attacks in two days.
    • Brent crude surged to $91.87 amid the escalation.
    • President Donald Trump stated the US will respond to Iranian strikes on personnel in Jordan.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz.

    What to watch next

    • Further US military strikes as vowed by President Trump
    • Official confirmation of casualties from Tuesday airstrikes
    Sources used for this update (10)
    1. www.yahoo.com — US strikes Iran as generals warn of prolonging war
    2. www.wral.com — United Arab Emirates says it intercepted an Iranian drone over its territorial waters
    3. www.aljazeera.com — Iran war live: Trump vows to strike Iran ‘hard’ after first clash in month
    4. www.yahoo.com — Trump says more coming as U.S., Iran trade strikes for first time in weeks
    5. blockonomi.com — Crude Oil Surges Past $91 as U.S.-Iran Conflict Threatens Hormuz Shipping Routes
    6. www.reflector.com — United Arab Emirates says it intercepted an Iranian drone over its territorial waters
    7. www.newsday.com — United Arab Emirates intercepts an Iranian drone, and other news from the Middle East
    8. nypost.com — US strikes Iran for second time in two days in battle for Strait of Hormuz
    9. www.newsday.com — US military completes latest strikes against Iran, while Trump vows more for Tehran's retaliation
    10. www.bostonherald.com — US launches airstrikes on Iran
    confidence 90%
  4. US Strikes Iranian Launchers; Iran Retaliates with Missiles in Jordan

    US forces struck Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island on Sunday, ending a month-long lull in a conflict that has lasted over six months. The operation targeted launchers on the Strait of Hormuz to stop sea mines from entering the waterway. Iran responded by launching various missiles at US bases in Jordan, eight of which were intercepted. This escalation follows weeks of ceasefire and marks a new phase of military action between the two nations.

    Why it matters

    The Strait of Hormuz is a critical oil transit point where commercial traffic has plummeted. Most regional suppliers now sell oil for collection outside the strait due to persistent attacks on vessels.

    What is confirmed

    • US forces struck Iranian rocket launchers on the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday.
    • The US military targeted launchers on Larak Island.
    • Iran launched missiles at US bases in Jordan in retaliation for the Larak Island strikes.
    • The intermittent war between the US and Iran has lasted more than six months.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Eight Iranian missiles launched at Jordan were intercepted.
    • The US strikes were conducted to stop sea mines headed for the Strait of Hormuz.

    What to watch next

    • Further Iranian retaliation against US assets in the Gulf or Jordan
    • Updates on the status of commercial shipping routes negotiated between Iran and Oman
    Sources used for this update (9)
    1. www.yahoo.com — Trapped for 115 days, cargo ship captain recounts ordeal in Strait of Hormuz
    2. tass.com — Omsky-107 vessel runs ashore near Istanbul after being attacked by Ukraine — agency
    3. www.newsweek.com — US Forces Strike Iranian Military as Sea Mines Headed for Strait of Hormuz
    4. timesofindia.indiatimes.com — US-Iran War Live Updates: Iran hits back at US after Larak strike as Hormuz tensions soar
    5. www.local10.com — US strikes Iranian rocket launchers on the Strait of Hormuz in first military action in weeks
    6. www.yahoo.com — Iran fires missiles at US forces in Jordan, eight intercepted
    7. www.stltoday.com — US forces strike Iran's Larak Island, US official says
    8. asiatimes.com — US sanctions on Iran are right but wrongly sequenced
    9. www.wtvq.com — US forces strike Iranian rocket launchers on the Strait of Hormuz in first military action in weeks
    confidence 90%
  5. Shipping routes shift as US-Iran war enters sixth month

    Commercial traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has dropped from hundreds of vessels daily to a handful, driving oil prices higher. While President Donald Trump maintains the waterway is open, every major regional supplier except Iran now sells oil for collection outside the strait. Iran and Oman are currently negotiating a new shipping route as attacks on commercial vessels persist. These disruptions have contributed to a surge in Somali piracy, with 13 ships attacked since January.

    Why it matters

    The conflict began in late February when the US launched strikes on Iran. President Trump originally predicted the war would last four to five weeks. Six months later, the US has shifted toward economic pressure and sanctions.

    What is confirmed

    • The US launched strikes on Iran in late February.
    • Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen from hundreds of vessels a day to a handful.
    • The war with Iran has lasted six months.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Two ships were seized within four days last week off the coast of Somalia.

    What to watch next

    • The outcome of shipping route negotiations between Iran and Oman
    • Evidence of a diplomatic off-ramp or formal peace deal
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. www.businesstimes.com.sg — Hormuz oil flows rise as Gulf producers boost volumes, keeping prices in check
    2. english.elpais.com — The Strait of Hormuz after six months of war: Blockades, drones and the shadow fleet
    3. abc3340.com — White House says US has momentum with Strait of Hormuz
    4. www.ms.now — Trump says the Strait of Hormuz is open. But traffic is nowhere near what it used to be.
    5. www.timesleaderonline.com — US goals have shifted after 6 months of Iran war
    6. www.rfi.fr — Trapped for 115 days, cargo ship captain recounts ordeal in Strait of Hormuz
    7. jen.jiji.com — 5.1-magnitude earthquake strikes China
    8. www.aol.com — Somali piracy surges as the impact of the US-Iran war ripples outwards
    confidence 90%
  6. US Shifts to Economic Pressure as Iran War Reaches Six Month Mark

    The US has pivoted from military strikes to economic pressure against Iran after six months of conflict. While President Donald Trump has declared the Strait of Hormuz functional, shipping traffic has plunged 95 percent. Iran continues to target commercial vessels, with a second ship recently attacked. In response to a tightening US blockade, Iranians are facing record-low currency values and fuel shortages. Diplomatic efforts continue as Qatar's Prime Minister visited Tehran on Thursday to seek a resolution to the war.

    Why it matters

    President Trump launched the war in late February with an initial expectation it would last four to five weeks. A June memorandum of understanding intended to end the conflict has since failed. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical global artery for 80 percent of world trade.

    What is confirmed

    • President Donald Trump launched the war with Iran in late February.
    • Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has dropped 95 percent.
    • The US administration has pivoted to economic pressure rather than more strikes according to the Associated Press.
    • President Trump initially forecast the war would last four to five weeks.
    • Qatar's Prime Minister visited Tehran on Thursday.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Nearly 60 entities were added to the US sanctions list on Monday.
    • Crude oil prices hovered near $82 on Thursday.
    • Tehran and Oman are working on a deal to establish fees in the waterway.

    What to watch next

    • Outcome of Qatar's diplomatic meetings in Tehran
    • Implementation of new sanctions on the 60 identified entities
    • Changes in shipping traffic volume following the functional declaration
    Sources used for this update (12)
    1. alhurra.com — A Warning Shot
    2. english.aawsat.com — After Six Months of Iran War, US Goals Have Shifted. The Strait of Hormuz is Now a Top Concern
    3. apnews.com — After six months of Iran war, US goals have shifted. The Strait of Hormuz is now a top concern
    4. www.aljazeera.com — How a 95 percent drop in Hormuz traffic changed global shipping
    5. www.cnbctv18.com — US-Iran War Live Updates: Qatar’s PM arrives in Tehran to meet Iranian officials
    6. www.foxnews.com — Iran attacks another commercial ship in Strait of Hormuz as Trump sends new warship to Middle East
    7. www.retailgazette.co.uk — Trump has declared the Strait of Hormuz ‘functional’. But what changes do suppliers need to trust the shipping route again?
    8. www.aljazeera.com — Six months of the Iran war – as told through Trump’s social media posts
    9. norfolkdailynews.com — US goals shifted after 6 months of war as the Strait of Hormuz is a top concern
    10. www.newsday.com — US goals have shifted after 6 months of Iran war. The Strait of Hormuz is now a top concern
    11. www.timesnownews.com — Hormuz Tensions Remain: Another Tanker Hit as Shipping Traffic Plunges 95% Amid Iran War
    12. www.wandtv.com — Regional powers seek off-ramp from Iran war, and other Middle East developments
    confidence 90%
  7. US strikes Iran after cargo ship attack in Strait of Hormuz

    The US has launched strikes on Iran following an attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict has reduced shipping traffic in the strait, with Greek-owned tankers using a shuttle system under US military escort. Iran has established its own authority to manage the waterway. The US and Iran have reached a preliminary deal to end the conflict, but tensions escalated with US strikes on July 8.

    Why it matters

    The Strait of Hormuz is a critical waterway for global oil exports. The conflict between the US and Iran has been ongoing for six months, with significant economic impacts. The US has initiated Operation Economic Outcast, targeting Iranian economic sectors and oil networks. The Iranian rial has hit record lows, and thousands of sailors are stranded due to reduced shipping traffic.

    What is confirmed

    • Iran and Oman are negotiating a temporary shipping corridor and joint mine clearance in the Strait of Hormuz
    • The US will not launch new Iran strikes 'for time being'
    • India incurred an estimated USD 22.5 billion additional fossil fuel import cost between March and August 2026 due to the Strait of Hormuz energy price shock
    • The US has no planned talks with Iran

    Still unconfirmed

    • Trump threatened to bomb Oman because he's unhappy with country's deal with Iran

    What to watch next

    • US-Iran talks in Switzerland
    • Implementation of temporary shipping corridor in Strait of Hormuz
    • Further US sanctions on Iran
    Sources used for this update (7)
    1. www.nbcnews.com — Elections live updates: Darline Graham and Ralph Norman chase South Carolina GOP Senate primary win
    2. www.briefs.co — Iran and Oman Plan a Shared Shipping Corridor and Mine Clearance in Hormuz
    3. spectrumlocalnews.com — Trump threatened to bomb Oman because he's unhappy with country's deal with Iran, officials say
    4. economictimes.indiatimes.com — Breaking News LIVE Updates: 'Don't panic,' Indian Medical Association urges citizens as H1N1 cases rise
    5. dunyanews.tv — Iran must not be permitted to use Strait of Hormuz as leverage against global economy, US says
    6. www.freepressjournal.in — India Paid USD 22.5 Billion More For Fossil Fuel Imports Amid Strait Of Hormuz Energy Shock: CREA
    7. anewz.tv — U.S. holds off new Iran strikes for now
    confidence 85%
  8. US Launches Operation Economic Outcast as Hormuz Shipping Paralysis Persists

    The United States has initiated Operation Economic Outcast, targeting five key Iranian economic sectors and oil networks. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced new sanctions as the Iranian rial hits record lows. Six months into the conflict, shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is significantly reduced, leaving thousands of sailors stranded. To maintain oil exports, Greek-owned tankers are using a shuttle system, crossing the strait at night under US military escort before transferring crude to ships outside the conflict zone. Iran has established its own authority to manage the waterway.

    Why it matters

    The current hostilities follow American and Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, that killed Iran's Supreme Leader. A brief ceasefire on June 14 failed after a few weeks. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical global oil route, and its closure threatens global energy stability.

    What is confirmed

    • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced new sanctions against Iran.
    • The US launched Operation Economic Outcast to target five economic sectors and oil networks.
    • Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has decreased significantly six months into the war.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The Iranian rial is trading at record lows.

    What to watch next

    • Whether governments begin insuring tankers to resume standard traffic flows.
    • The impact of Operation Economic Outcast on Iranian oil export volumes.
    • Further movements by the new Iranian Hormuz authority regarding vessel fees.
    Sources used for this update (7)
    1. cyprus-mail.com — Dark crossings in Hormuz hide true scale of Gulf oil exports
    2. cimsec.org — The Silent Threat : Overlooked Radiological Risk in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz
    3. www.thetimes.com.au — When governments have to insure the tankers: Hormuz enters a new phase
    4. www.cnbctv18.com — US-Iran War Live Updates: US launches ‘Operation Economic Outcast’; Iranian Rial trades at record lows
    5. www.france24.com — Six months into Iran war, Hormuz traffic way down, sailors stranded
    6. www.newsday.com — Trump's 'economic D-Day' threats become warnings for countries to sever financial ties with Iran
    7. www.thetimes.com.au — Iran creates its own Hormuz authority — who now controls the world’s most important oil route?
    confidence 90%
  9. US Prepares Sweeping Sanctions as Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz

    The United States is preparing to unveil sweeping sanctions against Iran as military conflict persists. Iran's top security leader warned neighboring countries against joining US economic efforts, while the Iranian parliament advanced a draft law to charge service fees for ships permitted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Rezaei told state TV the waterway is closed and will remain so until the US changes its behavior. Meanwhile, the US has canceled a joint amphibious drill with South Korea to prioritize the conflict, and Pakistan is increasing mediation efforts.

    Why it matters

    The conflict began after US strikes followed an attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz. Tensions have spread across the region, including Houthi attacks in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and Israeli operations in southern Syria. The situation threatens global energy security and maritime trade.

    What is confirmed

    • The US is preparing to unveil sweeping sanctions on Iran.
    • Iran's security chief threatened neighboring countries against participating in US efforts to squeeze Tehran's economy.
    • The US canceled a joint amphibious drill with South Korea due to the war with Iran.
    • The Iranian parliament is advancing a draft law that would require ships permitted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz to pay for services.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Israel occupies territory in southwest Syria seized after the toppling of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024.

    What to watch next

    • The official announcement of US sanctions.
    • The outcome of mediation efforts by Pakistan.
    • Confirmation of whether the Strait of Hormuz is physically blocked to all traffic.
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. apnews.com — Iran security chief threatens neighbors against economic measures, and other Mideast developments
    2. www.ariananews.af — Israel strikes southern Syria; Damascus condemns attack
    3. www.aljazeera.com — Iran war live: Iranian parliament advances plans for Hormuz service fees
    4. timesofindia.indiatimes.com — US Iran War News Live Updates: US cancels South Korea joint drill after Iran war snub
    5. www.livemint.com — Pirates attack 13 vessels in 2026 so far: Here's why Somali piracy is making a comeback
    6. www.hotsr.com — Iran security chief threatens neighbors against economic measures, and other Mideast developments
    7. www.euronews.com — Trump claims Hormuz on Truth Social, Rezaei says 'shut until US changes'
    8. www.cnbctv18.com — US-Iran War Live Updates: US cancels joint amphibious drill with South Korea over Iran war
    confidence 90%
  10. US strikes Iran after cargo ship attack in Strait of Hormuz

    The US has launched strikes against Iran following an attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict has led to rising tensions and violence in the region, with Iranian-backed Houthi militants attacking a cargo ship in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. President Trump has described current US-Iran interactions as "semi-negotiating" and intends to increase economic pressure on Tehran. Iran demands war compensation from Washington and broader concessions before reopening the waterway.

    Why it matters

    The conflict in the Strait of Hormuz has significant implications for global trade and security. The waterway is a critical passage for oil tankers and cargo ships, and disruptions to shipping have already led to rising tensions and violence in the region. The US and Iran have been engaged in a tense standoff, with the US increasing economic pressure on Tehran and Iran responding with military actions.

    What is confirmed

    • At least 1,283 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza since the ceasefire took effect last October.
    • Iran has allowed several Iraqi oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz following repeated requests from Baghdad.
    • Iran's armed forces maintain comprehensive readiness across land, sea, air, air defense, space and cyberspace.

    Still unconfirmed

    • An international arrest warrant has been issued for Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu in relation to the attack on the Flotilla activists.

    What to watch next

    • US economic measures against Tehran
    • Iran's response to new US threats
    • Development in US-Iran negotiations
    Sources used for this update (6)
    1. en.ilsole24ore.com — War, latest news. Turkey, Flotilla: international arrest warrant issued for Netanyahu. The response: ‘Erdogan is an anti-Semitic dictator’
    2. www.ariananews.af — Gaza mediators say latest Israeli strikes undermine efforts to end conflict at critical stage
    3. www.newsx.com — RPG Fired, 21 Indians Trapped On Ship: Dramatic Video Of IRGC Confrontation In Strait Of Hormuz
    4. www.ariananews.af — Trump says Iran ‘Not Ready’ for the right deal as war nears six-month mark
    5. www.france24.com — Middle East live: Iran allows several Iraqi oil tankers to pass through Hormuz strait
    6. jen.jiji.com — Iran warns of ‘crushing’ response to new US threats
    confidence 85%
  11. US strikes Iran-bound ship as Tehran demands war compensation to reopen Hormuz

    US forces struck a cargo ship bound for Iran while President Donald Trump claimed total control over the Strait of Hormuz. Despite earlier reports of a near-deal with Oman, Iran now demands war compensation from Washington and broader concessions before reopening the waterway. The conflict has expanded to the Red Sea, where Iran-backed Houthi militants attacked a cargo ship in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. President Trump describes current US-Iran interactions as "semi-negotiating" and intends to increase economic pressure on Tehran.

    Why it matters

    The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for five months following a series of naval attacks. This chokepoint is critical for global oil supplies and shipping. Tensions have escalated as the US and Iran engage in a cycle of strikes and failed diplomatic overtures.

    What is confirmed

    • US forces struck a cargo ship bound for Iran.
    • Iran is in talks with Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
    • Iran-backed Houthi militants attacked a cargo ship in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
    • President Donald Trump stated on August 2 he agreed to cancel an attack on Iran subject to being able to rapidly make a deal.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Iran threatened to hit Gulf states if the US launches new strikes.

    What to watch next

    • Whether the US agrees to Iran's demand for war compensation
    • The outcome of the final stage of the Iran-Oman agreement draft
    • Further US economic sanctions against Tehran
    Sources used for this update (12)
    1. www.ariananews.af — Iran threatens to hit Gulf states if US launches new strikes
    2. www.bostonherald.com — Possible Strait of Hormuz deal, a large attack in Yemen and other Mideast news
    3. www.upstreamonline.com — Oil prices hold as Iran-Oman near Strait of Hormuz deal
    4. www.irishtimes.com — Iran says US must meet new conditions before Strait of Hormuz reopens
    5. themedialine.org — 5 Months Without Ships: What the Hormuz Closure Costs the Arab Side of the Strait
    6. www.omanobserver.om — The latest on where the Iran War stands
    7. www.cbsnews.com — Live Updates: Trump says U.S. only "semi-negotiating" with Iran after Tehran sets demands to reopen Strait of Hormuz
    8. www.tradewindsnews.com — Hard-line Iran dashes hopes of imminent Strait of Hormuz reopening
    9. www.wandtv.com — Iran's president says supreme leader urges 'unity' amid US sanctions, and other Mideast developments
    10. timesofindia.indiatimes.com — 4 killed in Houthi attack on Red Sea cargo ship; US strikes vessel bound for Iran
    11. www.cbsnews.com — Live Updates: Strait of Hormuz traffic falls to new low as Iran-backed Houthis kill 6 in Red Sea, authorities say
    12. english.mathrubhumi.com — ‘We own it’: Trump claims total control of Hormuz after US strikes Iran-bound ship
    confidence 85%
  12. Iran strikes US-escorted ships as Oman mediates peace talks

    Iran attacked two ships in the Strait of Hormuz, including an LNG carrier that is now damaged and not under command. These vessels were under US air escort according to the Revolutionary Guards. Despite the escalation, Oman and Iran are conducting positive talks to reopen the Strait and end the five-month war. Oil prices fell sharply on Sunday after President Donald Trump ordered US forces to hold off on launching new strikes against Iran, though he has previously announced halts to the campaign that were not sustained.

    Why it matters

    The conflict has expanded to include drone attacks in Kuwait and strikes in Egypt. A proposed Maritime Defense Alliance now has the support of 14 countries to protect global shipping.

    What is confirmed

    • An LNG carrier is damaged and not under command following Iranian strikes on two ships.
    • President Donald Trump ordered US forces to hold off on new strikes against Iran.
    • Oil prices fell sharply on Sunday following Trump's order to pause new strikes.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Iran and Oman are nearing a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war.

    What to watch next

    • Formal announcement of a deal between Iran and Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
    • Verification of the current operational status of the damaged LNG carrier
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. www.tradewindsnews.com — LNG carrier damaged and ‘not under command’ after Iran strikes two ships
    2. www.newsday.com — Trump frequently announces he's halting strikes in Iran. But they keep happening
    3. www.clickorlando.com — Oil prices drop after Trump orders US forces to hold off on new strikes against Iran
    4. www.ocregister.com — Cargo ship reports being struck in Strait of Hormuz as US, Iran claims about talks diverge
    5. consent.yahoo.com — US says deal on reopening Hormuz close as Iran, Oman hold ‘positive’ talks
    confidence 80%
  13. US continues Iran strikes as regional tensions expand

    The US military continues strikes against Iran in a conflict that has now lasted five months. President Trump stated that while Iran will "peter out," the fighting could persist through the November midterm elections. Regional escalation is evident as Kuwait reports destroying hostile Iranian drones targeting vital facilities and Egypt has been struck for the first time. Meanwhile, the Saudi defense ministry reports 14 countries now support a proposed Maritime Defense Alliance to secure global trade and shipping routes. US embassies in five Middle Eastern capitals issued security warnings to citizens on Saturday.

    Why it matters

    The current conflict follows an Iranian ballistic missile attack on July 28 and subsequent US-Saudi strikes in Iraq. The instability threatens the Strait of Hormuz, a critical corridor for global crude exports. This escalation coincides with US domestic political cycles and broader Middle Eastern volatility.

    What is confirmed

    • The Saudi defense ministry said 14 countries back a proposal for a Maritime Defense Alliance.
    • US embassies in Amman, Jerusalem, Muscat, Baghdad and Beirut issued security warnings to citizens on Saturday.
    • President Trump stated the conflict with Iran has lasted five months.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Egypt was struck for the first time as the US-Iran conflict expands.

    What to watch next

    • November midterm elections
    • Progress of the Maritime Defense Alliance proposal
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. www.cnn.com — July 30, 2026 — Egypt struck for first time as US-Iran conflict pulls in more countries
    2. timesofindia.indiatimes.com — US Iran War Live Updates: Medical warehouse near Gaza hospital hit in Israeli attack; 1 killed
    3. www.aol.com — Trump warns Iran fighting isn't over as he vows US will 'win' as talks fade
    4. consent.yahoo.com — Russian forces strike targets in Ukraine's Odesa, Mykolaiv ports
    5. www.france24.com — Middle East live: Kuwait says it destroyed hostile Iranian drones targeting vital facilities
    confidence 90%
  14. US and Saudi Forces Strike Iran-Aligned Targets After Missile Attack

    The US military and Saudi Arabia conducted joint strikes against Iran-aligned terrorists in Iraq. These actions followed an intercepted Iranian ballistic missile surprise attack on July 28. Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is increasing, though crude exports remain below normal levels.

    What's confirmed:

    • US and Saudi forces conducted joint strikes against Iran-aligned terrorists in Iraq.
    • The US military intercepted Iranian ballistic missiles during a surprise attack on July 28.
    • Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is recovering.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Iranian forces targeted military infrastructure at an air base in Kuwait.
    • Gulf crude exports remain well below normal due to supply disruptions.
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. Gulf Oil Exports Struggle to Recover Despite Higher Hormuz Traffic
    2. Hormuz shipping traffic picks up despite hostilities
    3. July 28, 2026 – US intercepts ‘surprise attack’ by Iran on US forces in the Middle East
    4. Middle East latest: Hamas says it agreed to give up arms but only when Israel upholds Gaza truce
    confidence 90%
  15. US launches strikes on Iran after intercepting Iranian attack

    The US military has launched fresh strikes against Iran. The attacks come after the US intercepted an Iranian missile barrage and worked with Saudi Arabia to strike sites in Iraq used by Tehran-backed militias. The US and Iran had previously ceased fire while working on a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The situation remains tense.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US military successfully intercepted an Iranian missile barrage.
    • The US worked with Saudi Arabia's forces to strike sites in Iraq used by Tehran-backed militias.
    • The US military launched fresh strikes against Iran described as "a powerful response to yesterday's attempted Iranian attacks".
    • The US and Iran had previously ceased fire while working on a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
    Sources used for this update (2)
    1. US thwarts an Iranian missile attack and launches strikes with Saudi Arabia against militias in Iraq
    2. US launches strikes on Iran after Trump said it’s ‘our turn’ following intercepted Iranian attack
    confidence 90%
  16. US and Iran hold fire as mediators push for negotiations

    The US and Iran have ceased fire while working on a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Trump administration is continuing a military buildup. Mediators report progress in efforts to prevent a full scale war.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US and Iran are currently holding fire.
    • The Trump administration is maintaining a military buildup.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • President Trump warned Iran there is "Not much time" for talks before "strong military action" occurs.
    • Mediators have made progress in bringing the two nations back to negotiations.
    Sources used for this update (3)
    1. Trump warns Iran on Strait of Hormuz: 'Not much time' for talks before 'strong military action'
    2. Iran War Live Updates: Trump says U.S. will "go back to doing what we were doing" if new talks stall
    3. Mediators see progress in efforts to halt Iran war as drone attacks rattle region
    confidence 80%
  17. US and Iran Exchange Strikes Following Cargo Ship Attack

    The US military conducted retaliatory strikes against Iranian targets after an Iranian drone hit a cargo vessel in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded by attacking US infrastructure in Kuwait and Bahrain. Both nations have since accused each other of violating a ceasefire agreement, though the US now says it has agreed to stand down.

    What's confirmed:

    • The US military carried out strikes against Iranian targets after a drone attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz.
    • The US and Iran both accused each other of violating a ceasefire agreement.
    • Iran launched retaliatory attacks against US infrastructure in Kuwait and Bahrain.
    • The US has agreed to stand down following the exchange of strikes.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • Trump described the Iran strike in the Strait of Hormuz as a "foolish violation" of an agreement.
    • Iran claims a right to control shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
    Sources used for this update (14)
    1. Iran insists on right to control shipping in Strait of Hormuz after ship hit near Oman
    2. Trump says Iran strike in Strait of Hormuz is a ‘foolish violation’ of agreement
    3. US military conducted strikes against Iran
    4. U.S. strikes Iran after Trump accuses Tehran of ceasefire violation in Strait of Hormuz
    5. U.S. strikes Iranian targets near strait after Iran fires at ships
    6. Live Updates: U.S. Strikes Iran in Response to Ship Attack in Strait of Hormuz
    7. Iranian drones target Bahrain after U.S. strikes Iran
    8. US strikes Iran after attack on cargo ship - BBC
    9. US strikes Iran after cargo ship attack in Strait of Hormuz
    10. US and Iran exchange strikes and accuse each other of violating ceasefire
    11. US says it has agreed to 'stand down' after exchange of strikes with Iran
    12. After as Ceasefire Tensions Escal...
    confidence 90%