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Wall Street's fear gauge tumbles as traders bid up SpaceX shares

The VIX volatility index dropped below its long-term average as SpaceX shares climbed 13% to $182.7 in Monday trading, extending a post-IPO rally that has pushed its valuation near $2.75 trillion. Analysts remain divided over SpaceX’s valuation, while smaller aerospace stocks slumped. The Fed’s upcoming meeting and Iran tensions are now drawing attention away from SpaceX’s record debut.

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What changed

SpaceX shares surged 13% in Monday premarket trading, nearing a $2.75 trillion market cap, while market focus shifted to Fed policy and geopolitical risks.

Live updates

  1. SpaceX rally eases VIX as Fed and Iran overshadow IPO frenzy

    The VIX volatility index dropped below its long-term average as SpaceX shares climbed 13% to $182.7 in Monday trading, extending a post-IPO rally that has pushed its valuation near $2.75 trillion. Analysts remain divided over SpaceX’s valuation, while smaller aerospace stocks slumped. The Fed’s upcoming meeting and Iran tensions are now drawing attention away from SpaceX’s record debut.

    What's confirmed:

    • SpaceX shares rose 13% to $182.7 in Monday premarket trading, extending a post-IPO rally that has lifted its valuation toward $2.75 trillion.
    • The VIX volatility index has fallen below its long-term average amid SpaceX’s strong debut and stabilizing market conditions.
    • Smaller aerospace stocks declined while SpaceX soared, creating a sharp divide in sector performance.
    • Market attention has shifted from SpaceX’s IPO to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting and Iran-related developments.
    • Analysts remain split on whether SpaceX’s valuation reflects its true worth under Elon Musk’s leadership.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • SpaceX could surpass Amazon’s market cap in the coming days, according to projections.
    • A $10,000 investment in SpaceX on IPO day could be worth over $100,000 in a year, based on historical IPO performance comparisons.
    confidence 92%
  2. Wall Street fear gauge drops as SpaceX rally quiets volatility after record IPO

    The VIX volatility index has fallen below its long-term average as SpaceX shares surged on their first full day of trading, easing market jitters following the largest-ever IPO. Traders bid up SpaceX stock by 6% after its debut, stabilizing shaky markets. The Fed’s upcoming meeting may test investor appetite for high-risk assets like SpaceX. Options traders are preparing for heightened activity with June triple witching and new SpaceX contracts.

    What's confirmed:

    • SpaceX shares rose 6% on their first full day of trading after a record-breaking IPO.
    • The VIX volatility index has fallen below its long-term average, indicating lower market fear.
    • Traders are positioning for a busy week in options markets, including June triple witching and the launch of new SpaceX-related contracts.
    • SpaceX’s retail-driven debut has helped steady markets that were previously described as shaky.
    • The SpaceX IPO was digested without major disruptions, contrasting with earlier concerns of a market meltdown.
    • Perpetual market traders’ early access to SpaceX shares aligned closely with later public trading prices.

    Still unconfirmed:

    • The Fed’s policy decisions this week may test investor confidence in high-risk assets like SpaceX.
    • SpaceX’s IPO could signal a broader shift in Wall Street’s approach to blockchain-linked or disruptive technology stocks.
    confidence 95%