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● LIVE Updated 2h ago · 25 sources tracked

Warsh Says the Fed May Not Be Done Fighting Inflation

Global bond yields reached major new highs on Tuesday as renewed Middle East fighting drove up oil prices and fueled inflation concerns. This follows Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's warning that the Fed may raise rates because underlying inflation trends lack meaningful improvement. While Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent maintains the U.S. bond market is the most resilient in the world, euro-area inflation jumped to 3.3% in August, increasing the likelihood of a European Central Bank rate hike next week. In contrast, the Bank of Israel cut rates for a third straight time.

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What changed

Global bond yields hit new highs on Tuesday due to oil price spikes from Middle East conflict and rising euro-area inflation.

Live updates

  1. Global Bond Yields Hit Highs Amid Inflation Fears and Fed Hawkishness

    Global bond yields reached major new highs on Tuesday as renewed Middle East fighting drove up oil prices and fueled inflation concerns. This follows Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's warning that the Fed may raise rates because underlying inflation trends lack meaningful improvement. While Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent maintains the U.S. bond market is the most resilient in the world, euro-area inflation jumped to 3.3% in August, increasing the likelihood of a European Central Bank rate hike next week. In contrast, the Bank of Israel cut rates for a third straight time.

    Why it matters

    Central banks are struggling to balance geopolitical instability with price stability. Higher yields typically increase borrowing costs for governments and corporations. The divergent paths of the ECB, Fed, and Bank of Israel highlight varying regional inflation pressures.

    What is confirmed

    • Global bond yields reached major new highs on Tuesday.
    • August euro-area inflation rose to 3.3%.
    • The Bank of Israel reduced interest rates for the third consecutive time.
    • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on August 31, 2026, that the U.S. bond market is the most resilient in the world.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Renewed fighting in the Middle East lifted oil prices and raised inflation concerns.
    • An ECB rate hike is likely next week.

    What to watch next

    • European Central Bank interest rate decision next week
    • Further Federal Reserve commentary on underlying inflation trends
    • Oil price movements linked to Middle East stability
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. www.aol.com — Scott Bessent Says U.S. Bonds Are Beating the Rest of the World Despite Wall Street’s Warnings
    2. finance.yahoo.com — Bitcoin holds steady as yields climb, major exchanges go 24/7
    3. jen.jiji.com — USA, Bank of America Vice President is the woman stabbed to death in Times Square
    4. www.aol.com — The Latest: SCOTUS allows Trump’s White House ballroom construction to continue
    5. www.briefs.co — Euro-Area Inflation Jumps to 3.3%, Putting an ECB Hike Next Week Firmly in Play
    6. www.marinij.com — Why bond yields are rising and why everyone should care
    7. www.marketscreener.com — Bond selloff deepens: Here's why it matters to you
    8. www.calcalistech.com — Bank of Israel cuts rates for third straight time as Yaron keeps door open to more easing
    confidence 95%
  2. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Signals Potential Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation

    Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh suggested the central bank may raise interest rates in coming months because inflation remains too high. Speaking at the Jackson Hole conference on Friday, Warsh stated that while some reports show inflation cooled slightly, underlying trends have not meaningfully improved. This hawkish stance triggered a Wall Street retreat over the weekend and a projected slide for the ASX. Warsh emphasized that the Fed must be confident underlying inflation is moving toward its objective clearly and at sufficient speed or it has more work to do.

    Why it matters

    Warsh is the new Fed Chair and his current signals contradict the preferences of Donald Trump, who sought zero interest rate policy. Economists suggest Warsh is using this position to strengthen his anti-inflation credentials. The shift comes as markets adjust expectations for the central bank's economic outlook.

    What is confirmed

    • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh suggested the central bank may raise interest rates in the coming months to lower inflation.
    • Warsh stated at the Jackson Hole conference that reports showing inflation cooled slightly do not indicate underlying trends have meaningfully improved.
    • Warsh said the Fed must be confident that underlying inflation is moving to its objective clearly and at sufficient speed.
    • Wall Street retreated and the ASX was set to slide following Warsh's speech.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Warsh's Jackson Hole speech was focused on strengthening his anti-inflation credentials.
    • Warsh will do the opposite of what Donald Trump wanted by raising interest rates.

    What to watch next

    • Confirmation of a September US rate hike decision.
    • New US inflation reports to determine if underlying trends have improved.
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. www.jezebel.com — Trump Loses His War to Make ZIRP Great Again
    2. www.rockymounttelegram.com — Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes might be needed with inflation worry
    3. www.europesays.com — Fed chair signals rate hikes might be needed with US inflation still elevated
    4. www.smh.com.au — ASX set to slide as Wall Street retreats; Fed chief talks up inflation fight
    5. www.cnbc.com — What caused Nvidia's nasty reversal Friday? Look to the Fed for clues
    6. www.morningstar.com.au — Warsh sounds hawkish, but will there be a September US rate hike?
    7. www.ksat.com — US futures fall and oil prices surge after US hits Iranian sites in the Strait of Hormuz
    8. www.europesays.com — Markets today: Wall Street retreats, ASX set to slide; Fed chief talks up inflation fight
    confidence 95%
  3. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Signals Possible Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation

    Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh suggested the central bank may raise interest rates in the coming months because inflation remains too high. Speaking at the annual Jackson Hole conference on Friday, Warsh identified persistent inflation as the Fed's top concern. While he acknowledged that recent reports show inflation has cooled slightly, he stated these reports do not indicate that underlying trends have meaningfully improved. This hawkish shift has led markets to prepare for potential rate increases if prices do not fall.

    Why it matters

    The Federal Reserve manages US monetary policy to maintain price stability. Warsh's warnings at Jackson Hole represent a clearer signal of his economic outlook than previous communications. This stance persists despite current economic strength and growth potential from artificial intelligence.

    What is confirmed

    • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated that inflation is still too high.
    • Warsh suggested the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates in the coming months to lower inflation.
    • Warsh spoke at the Fed's annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday.
    • Warsh identified persistent inflation as the top concern for the Federal Reserve.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Warsh's message regarding credit was more significant than his comments on rates.
    • Policymakers may have no choice but to act due to forces building in the economy.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming US inflation reports to see if underlying trends improve
    • Official Federal Reserve policy meetings regarding interest rate adjustments
    Sources used for this update (12)
    1. WSJ — Warsh Says the Fed May Not Be Done Fighting Inflation
    2. CNBC — Analysis: Kevin Warsh sharpens inflation warning at Jackson Hole, signaling possible rate hike
    3. 247wallst.com — Warsh Says Fed Has “Work to Do” If Prices Don’t Fall. They Won’t. Rate Hikes Are Coming
    4. Bloomberg.com — Watch Duppler: Warsh’s Credit Message Mattered More Than Rates
    5. WSJ — Markets Brace for Possible Rate Hike After Kevin Warsh’s Hawkish Turn
    6. Forbes — Here’s Why Fed Chair Warsh Is So Worried About Guiding Markets
    7. www.bostonherald.com — Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes may be needed with US inflation stubbornly elevated
    8. finance-commerce.com — Fed’s Warsh says inflation remains top concern
    9. techrights.org — Links 29/08/2026: Wave of Social Control Media Bans, Suno Data Breach Class Actions
    10. thecurrencyanalytics.com — Ninth Circuit Deal Blow to Kalshi’s CFTC Preemption Claim in Nevada Betting Dispute
    11. mainichi.jp — Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes may be needed with US inflation stubbornly elevated
    12. jamaica-gleaner.com — Fed Chair Warsh signals rate hikes may be needed as US inflation remains elevated
    confidence 95%