What is the Heat Dome Causing Europe’s Record Temperatures?
A super El Nino and rising carbon emissions are fueling record-breaking temperatures across Europe and the United States. Western Europe's average temperature for June and July surpassed the previous record set in 2022. In the U.S., July 2026 averaged 76.9 degrees Fahrenheit, the highest in a 132-year record. Global ocean surface temperatures also hit a July peak of 69.73 degrees Fahrenheit. These conditions coincide with a heat dome causing wildfires in France and Spain, while Environment and Climate Change Canada expects 2026 to be among the hottest years on record.
What changed
New data confirms July 2026 as the hottest on record for the contiguous U.S. and global oceans, linked to a super El Nino.
Live updates
-
Super El Nino and Carbon Emissions Drive Record European and Global Heat
A super El Nino and rising carbon emissions are fueling record-breaking temperatures across Europe and the United States. Western Europe's average temperature for June and July surpassed the previous record set in 2022. In the U.S., July 2026 averaged 76.9 degrees Fahrenheit, the highest in a 132-year record. Global ocean surface temperatures also hit a July peak of 69.73 degrees Fahrenheit. These conditions coincide with a heat dome causing wildfires in France and Spain, while Environment and Climate Change Canada expects 2026 to be among the hottest years on record.
Why it matters
The current heat patterns link extreme weather events, such as ferocious wildfires, to broader climatic shifts. Scientific evidence from the National Academy of Sciences attributes these patterns to human-driven climate change. This occurs during the second term of President Donald Trump, amid claims that news outlets are omitting the climate connection.
What is confirmed
- July 2026 was the hottest July on record for the contiguous United States and the world's oceans.
- The average July temperature in the U.S. was 76.9 degrees Fahrenheit, 3.3 degrees F above the 20th-century average.
- Western Europe's average temperature for June and July exceeded the record set in 2022.
- Average sea surface temperatures outside polar regions reached 69.73 degrees F in July, beating the 2023 record.
- Environment and Climate Change Canada forecasted in January 2026 that the year would likely be among the hottest on record.
Still unconfirmed
- Some commentators argue major news outlets have stopped mentioning the climate link since the start of President Donald Trump's second term.
What to watch next
- Data on whether the super El Nino continues to accelerate throughout the second half of 2026
- Updates on the containment of wildfires in Spain and France
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (4)
- globalnews.ca — Super El Niño growing ‘faster than we’ve ever recorded’ as wildfires burn
- eu.freep.com — Portland State University researchers define extreme 'heat domes'
- apnews.com — Western Europe sets new temperature record as heat waves pummel the region
- gizmodo.com — July Heat in the US Broke Records That Have Stood Since the Dust Bowl
-
Wildfires Rage in France and Spain Amid European Heat Dome
Ferocious wildfires continue to burn across parts of Spain and France with no sign of stopping. These events occur as a heat dome drives record temperatures across Europe. While scientific evidence from the National Academy of Sciences links these extreme weather patterns to human-driven climate change, some commentators argue that major news outlets have stopped mentioning the climate link since the start of President Donald Trump's second term.
Why it matters
The current heat dome created temperatures that were nearly impossible 50 years ago. This atmospheric condition fuels widespread destruction and trauma across the continent. The situation highlights a tension between scientific findings and current media narratives.
Still unconfirmed
- Major news outlets are avoiding mentions of climate change during their coverage of extreme weather since the start of Donald Trump's second term.
What to watch next
- Reports on the containment or spread of fires in France and Spain
- New data on temperature anomalies caused by the heat dome
confidence 70%Sources used for this update (4)
- www.theguardian.com — Europe burns: a visual guide to the wildfires
- www.timesfreepress.com — Times Opinion: Major news outlets are pretending weather isn’t affected by climate
- consent.yahoo.com — Ransom notes for Nancy Guthrie released by the Pima County Sheriff's Department
- tass.com — Teenage girl dies, two more children wounded after Ukraine drone attack in Belgorod Region
-
Scientific Evidence Confronts Climate Denialism Amid Extremes
A National Academy of Sciences report uses scientific evidence to counter political climate denialism regarding extreme weather. This follows reports that human-driven climate change caused the current European heat dome. These temperatures were nearly impossible 50 years ago.
What's confirmed:
- Human-driven climate change caused the heat dome driving unprecedented temperatures across Europe.
- Current European temperature conditions would have been virtually impossible 50 years ago.
- A National Academy of Sciences report uses scientific evidence to confront political climate denialism.
Still unconfirmed:
- Strong El Niño conditions this year might provide relief to record low water reservoirs in the West.
- The National Weather Service predicts above-average rainfall through October in much of the Southwest and along the Colorado River.
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (5)
- How the UK’s most powerful woman overcame fraud row and beat Starmer’s boys’ club
- Parents to get benefits top-up to encourage their children into apprenticeships
- As climate extremes collide, attribution science evolves
- Western water reservoirs fall to record low levels
- Trucker protests: Ford says ‘it’s time’ to let Ottawa residents ‘get back to their lives’
-
Human-Driven Climate Change Linked to Europe's Record Heat
A heat dome is driving unprecedented temperatures across Europe. Analysis indicates these conditions would have been virtually impossible 50 years ago. Human-driven climate change is identified as the cause.
What's confirmed:
- Human-driven climate change made the record-breaking heat wave in Europe far more likely.
- The current heat wave would have been virtually impossible 50 years ago.
- Heat domes can make high temperatures more extreme and prolonged.
Still unconfirmed:
- A dangerous heat dome will engulf the central and eastern U.S. this week.
- Back-to-back heat waves testify to existing climate damage.
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (6)
- Climate change fueled the extreme heat in Europe. New England is next.
- Europe’s record-shattering heat wave would have been ‘virtually impossible’ just...
- What makes a 'heat dome' and what does it mean?
- A heat dome will engulf World Cup games in the eastern US this week. Here’s what to expect
- Study: Europe Heat Wave “Virtually Impossible” Without Human-Made Climate Change
- Europe's historic heatwave was virtually impossible without climate change
-
Heat Dome Drives Record Temperatures Across Europe
A massive heat dome is causing unprecedented and record-breaking temperatures across Europe. Experts attribute the current sweltering conditions to this phenomenon and the effects of climate change. The extreme heat has already resulted in fatalities in France.
What's confirmed:
- A heat dome is causing record temperatures across Europe.
- Experts state that climate change has made these stagnant and sweltering conditions more common.
- Three people have died in France during the heatwave.
- Temperatures are forecast to exceed 40C in Europe.
Still unconfirmed:
- Temperatures are forecast to reach 44C.
- This is the second time in two months Europe has sweltered under a heat-dome driven furnace.
- The heat dome is trapping triple-digit temperatures over Europe.
confidence 90%Sources used for this update (16)
- Europe suffers under record heatwave as temperatures forecast to reach 44C | Extreme heat
- What to Know About Heat in Europe This Week
- 3 die in France as temperatures to exceed 40C in European heatwave
- Europe swelters under a ‘heat-dome driven furnace’ for the second time in two months
- Temperatures to exceed 40C in European heatwave as three die in France
- What is the Heat Dome Causing Europe’s Record Temperatures?
- What is a ‘heat dome’ and how long do they last?
- Extreme heat is melting national records across Europe, with more coming Thursday
- Dangerous heat dome traps triple-digit temps over Europe. We explain
- How a heat dome is formed and why experts blame one for Europe's ... - WBUR
- What is the Heat Dome Causing Europe's Record Temperatures?
- What is the Heat Dome Causing Europe's Record Temperatures?