The coronavirus infection rate in the United States is down nearly 45% in the past two weeks.
Former COVID-19 hotspots like California and Texas have seen their infection rates drop by more than 50% in recent weeks.
Only five states have not seen a huge drop in COVID-19 infections in recent weeks, a list that includes New York and Vermont.
In a scenario that played out exactly as health experts predicted, the rate of coronavirus infection began to rise in January following the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays. At its peak on January 8, the United States recorded more than 300,000 coronavirus infections in 24 hours. Around the same time, the 7-day average of COVID-19 infections was close to 260,000 per day.
The good news, however, is that the rate of coronavirus infection in the United States has declined steadily over the past six weeks. In the past two weeks alone, the rate of coronavirus infection has fallen by almost 45%. During this same period, the death rate from coronavirus has declined by 32%.
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There are, however, five states where the rate of coronavirus infection has not dropped drastically. According to the New York Times, infection rates in New York City, Alaska, Vermont, Wyoming and South Dakota remain extremely high.
To be clear, the infection rate in those states has declined significantly since early January, but the decline in new infections has not been as steep as elsewhere.
Take New York, for example. The state is currently registering around 7,400 new cases of COVID per day, a rate similar to what the state was experiencing in early December. In contrast, the infection rate in most other states is about the same as it was in early to mid-October.
Alaska, meanwhile, has seen its COVID-19 infection rate increase by 8% in the past two weeks. That said, Alaska’s population is so small that the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases in the state is still quite low.
Of the five states listed above, Vermont faces the biggest uphill battle. As it stands, the rate of coronavirus infection in Vermont is roughly where it was in early January, when it was increasing. Similar to Alaska, however, Vermont has a relatively small population, which means the cumulative number of infections – just 134 yesterday – remains low.
That said, there is finally a reason to believe that the worst of the coronavirus pandemic is behind us. States with massive populations – like California and Texas – have seen their coronavirus infection rates drop by 50% and 67% in the past two weeks.
Coupled with an ever-improving vaccine rollout, many people are now hoping that life could return to normal in May.
At this point, Dr Marty Makary of Johns Hopkins recently wrote an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal and said the following:
There is reason to believe that the country is heading towards an extremely low level of infection. As more and more people have been infected, most of whom have mild or no symptoms, fewer Americans remain infected. On the current trajectory, I predict Covid will be all but gone by April, allowing Americans to resume normal lives.
Makary bases his theory on the fact that the total number of coronavirus infections in the United States – including asymptomatic infections – is four to five times higher than the official tally of 28.1 million.
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A lifelong Mac user and avid Apple enthusiast, Yoni Heisler has been writing about Apple and the tech industry in general for over 6 years. His writings have been published in Edible Apple, Network World, MacLife, Macworld UK and most recently TUAW. When not writing and analyzing the latest happenings with Apple, Yoni enjoys watching improv shows in Chicago, playing football, and cultivating new TV show addictions, the most recent examples being The Walking. Dead and Broad City.