Welcome to our 4 Nations Face-Off projections, where you will find each country’s rosters with projected values, chances of winning each game and their chances of winning the tournament. All projections are rounded to the nearest whole number. You can read more about the model at the bottom of the page. The projections will be updated after each game.
Last updated: February 11, 2025, 9:45 a.m. EST
Rosters
Methodology
Starting at the player level, we create a projected Offensive Rating and Defensive Rating for each player — a linear weight model that combines each player’s production and play-driving ability using various box-score and on-ice metrics. That projection is based on the player’s performance in each metric over…