30-year Treasury bond yield rises to highest level since 2007

Live updates

1. 2d ago

   US 30-year Treasury yield reaches highest level since 2002

   The US 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.613% intraday, marking its highest level since June 2002. This peak follows six consecutive days of increases as a deepening bond selloff spreads from Washington to overseas markets. Investors are pricing in additional Federal Reserve rate hikes due to strong economic data and rising oil prices. While the 30-year yield surged, stocks and corporate credit have remained steady. The trend reflects a broader global reassessment of inflation, government borrowing, and central bank policy outlooks.

   Why it matters

   Long-term Treasury yields influence global borrowing costs and domestic mortgage rates. A selloff in these bonds pushes yields higher, increasing the cost for the government to fund its debt. This movement often signals investor expectations for prolonged inflation or tighter monetary policy.

   What is confirmed

   • The US 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.613% intraday.
   • The 30-year yield is at its highest level since 2002.
   • The 30-year yield rose for six straight days.
   • A bond selloff starting in Washington has spread to international markets.

   Still unconfirmed

   • A weak jobs report failed to lower yields and instead pushed them higher.
   • Rising oil prices and strong economic data are driving investors to price in more Fed rate hikes.

   What to watch next

   • Federal Reserve announcements on interest rate adjustments
   • Changes in US oil prices
   • Future US employment reports
   Sources used for this update (4)

   1. en.asiatoday.co.kr — U.S. 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.613% intraday, highest since 2002 as bond selloff spreads - ASIATODAY
   2. mezha.net — US Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs as Mortgage Rates Top 7%
   3. finance.yahoo.com — Global Bond Selloff Pushes U.S. Treasury Yields to 24-Year Highs
   4. primexbt.com — US 30-year Treasury yield hits highest since 2002 as bond sell-off deepens
   confidence 95%
2. 4d ago

   US and UK Bond Yields Surge to Multi-Decade Highs

   Global borrowing costs continue to climb as relentless sell-offs push US Treasury and UK government debt yields to multi-decade peaks. The US benchmark 10-year yield reached its highest level since 2002 during an unrelenting bond market downturn. Meanwhile, UK 30-year gilt yields crossed six percent for the first time since 1998 amid escalating fiscal concerns and worldwide inflation risks. In domestic housing markets, average long-term US mortgage rates hovered above seven percent to mark a three-year high.

   Why it matters

   Bond yields have faced prolonged upward pressure due to persistent inflation, robust economic growth, and massive government borrowing programs. These developments reflect tighter monetary conditions globally, with international markets experiencing severe spillover effects from rising yields. Central bank rate expectations remain elevated as traders grapple with expanding debt supplies.

   What is confirmed

   • The US benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to its highest level since 2002.
   • The average long-term US mortgage rate remained above 7% to reach its highest level in nearly three years.
   • UK 30-year gilt yields topped 6% for the first time since 1998.

   Still unconfirmed

   • UK five-year yields reached their highest level since July 2008.

   What to watch next

   • Monitor upcoming economic indicators for shifts in inflation and growth trajectories.
   • Track future Federal Reserve policy expectations regarding interest rates.
   Sources used for this update (5)

   1. finance.yahoo.com — Treasury 10-Year Yield Hits Highest Since 2002 on Rate Outlook
   2. www.latimes.com — Mortgage rates rise to the highest level in nearly 3 years at ...
   3. serrarigroup.com — UK 30-Year Gilt Yield Breaks 6% for First Time Since 1998
   4. brusselssignal.eu — UK borrowing costs rise to highest level since 1998
   5. edition.cnn.com — Bond market bust: The 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2002 | CNN Business
   confidence 100%
3. 6d ago

   30-Year Treasury Yield Eases After Reaching Multi-Decade High

   The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield retreated on Wednesday following lighter-than-expected domestic inflation figures, bringing temporary relief to a bond market that had pushed borrowing costs to their highest levels since 2002. Persistent inflation worries, expanding debt supply, and expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve had previously driven long-term yields upward despite falling oil prices. International markets experienced spillover effects as rising yields constrained investor sentiment abroad, causing equity declines in South Korea. Traders continue to monitor economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy expectations for future rate trajectories.

   Why it matters

   U.S. Treasury yields touched multi-decade highs amid heavy selling pressure driven by concerns over inflation and federal debt supply. While easing oil prices offered some relief late in the week, traders continued pricing in potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. The resulting spike in American borrowing costs reverberated across global financial markets, pressuring international equities as investors weighed tightening monetary conditions.

   What is confirmed

   • The 30-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since 2002 amid inflation concerns, rising debt supply, and a hawkish Federal Reserve outlook.
   • Treasury yields declined on Wednesday following the release of lighter-than-expected U.S. inflation data.
   • U.S. Treasury yields set fresh multi-decade highs on Friday even as easing oil prices offered some relief, with traders still pricing in further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.
   • Korean shares retreated Wednesday as rising U.S. Treasury yields raised concerns over higher borrowing costs and dampened investor sentiment.

   Still unconfirmed

   • Stocks were buoyed by continued enthusiasm for the AI trade during the bond selloff.

   What to watch next

   • Upcoming U.S. economic data releases and their impact on Federal Reserve rate expectations
   • Further movements in international stock indices responding to U.S. borrowing costs
   Sources used for this update (6)

   1. www.cnbc.com — 10-year Treasury yield is little changed to end a volatile week
   2. boereport.com — Bond yields hit multi-decade highs despite oil pullback
   3. fred.stlouisfed.org — Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS....
   4. www.straitstimes.com — US 30-year treasury yield hits highest since 2002
   5. www.cnbc.com — U.S. Treasurys pressure eases after 30-year yield hits post-2002 high
   6. www.koreatimes.co.kr — Seoul stocks fall for 3rd day as Treasury yields rise
   confidence 100%
4. 8d ago

   30-Year Treasury Yield Rises to Highest Level Since 2004

   The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond climbed to 5.41 percent, marking its highest level since 2004. This surge forms part of a broader global bond selloff that has also pushed benchmark 10-year Treasury yields to their highest marks since 2007. Government borrowing costs continue to climb amid investor anxiety over persistent inflation, rising oil prices, and upcoming economic data releases. Meanwhile, international markets have reacted to the soaring U.S. rates, with the South Korean won sliding and chip-stock selling driving down the KOSPI.

   Why it matters

   The massive repricing of government debt reflects deep market anxiety over inflation, government borrowing, and potential Federal Reserve policy paths. As borrowing costs reach levels not seen in two decades, equity markets face mounting pressure and investors remain divided on whether strong growth or stubborn inflation drives the shift. International exchanges are feeling the spillover effects of these elevated U.S. yields.

   What is confirmed

   • The 30-year Treasury yield rose by more than 10 basis points to 5.41 percent.
   • The 30-year yield reached its highest level since 2004.
   • U.S. Treasury yields hit their highest levels since 2007.
   • The KOSPI fell 2.70 percent to 6,889.74 on chip-stock selling.
   • The South Korean won slid to 1,365.10.

   Still unconfirmed

   • Investors are split on whether strong economic growth or persistent inflation is driving the move in Treasury yields.

   What to watch next

   • Fresh economic data releases scheduled for later in the week
   • Further movements in global bond markets and stock indices
   Sources used for this update (9)

   1. www.theepochtimes.com — 10-Year Treasury Bond Surges to Highest Yield Since 2007 | The Epoch Times
   2. en.sedaily.com — U.S. Treasury Yields Hit Highest Since 2007, Won Slides to 1,365 - Seoul Economic Daily
   3. www.cnbc.com — Treasury yields edge higher amid pressure on global government bonds
   4. primexbt.com — 10-year Treasury yield hits 5.23%, highest since 2007, as bond market rattles stocks
   5. www.rivieraradio.mc — US 30-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2004 | Riviera Radio
   6. www.breitbart.com — 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises To 19-Year High
   7. www.hindustantimes.com — US Treasury yields hit 2007 highs: Why rising bond rates are worrying investors
   8. en.wikipedia.org — 30 (number) - Wikipedia
   9. number.academy — Number 30 facts
   confidence 95%
5. 10d ago

   US Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs As Bond Selloff Deepens

   United States Treasury yields have surged to multi-year highs, driven by a deep global bond selloff. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to approximately 5.10% to 5.18%, reaching levels not seen since July 2007. Meanwhile, 30-year Treasury notes yielded up to 5.44%, with some reports placing figures at 5.53%. This massive repricing of government debt stems from hot purchasing managers' index data, a weak five-year note auction, a Middle East oil scare, and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Stock prices have shown resilience despite these soaring interest rates, though debt-hungry artificial intelligence infrastructure companies face increased financial risks.

   Why it matters

   The spike in borrowing costs follows an extended bond selloff fueled by persistent inflation, fiscal concerns, and expectations of additional Federal Reserve rate hikes. This macro reset places the benchmark borrowing rate at the center of a broader economic debate. As yields settle near 5% across maturities, financing costs for corporate borrowers and infrastructure expansions are climbing significantly.

   What is confirmed

   • The 10-year Treasury yield rose to roughly 5.10% to 5.18%, marking its highest level since July 2007.
   • The 30-year Treasury notes yielded up to 5.44%, representing their highest level since June 2007.
   • The global bond selloff was driven by hot PMI data, a weak five-year note auction, a Middle East oil scare, and hawkish Fed signals.

   Still unconfirmed

   • 53% of surveyed specialists expect the 30-year Treasury yield to top 6% this year.
   • Foreign exchange trader Sho Nakajima notes that stock prices remained resilient despite the strong headwind of soaring interest rates.

   What to watch next

   • Federal Reserve policy decisions and future rate hike signals
   • Movement in 30-year Treasury yields toward the 6% threshold
   • The impact of higher borrowing costs on debt-hungry artificial intelligence data center companies
   Sources used for this update (9)

   1. www.tekedia.com — 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.10%: U.S. Bond Yields Reach Highest Level Since 2007
   2. note.com — The Biggest Tail Risk Shifts from AI Bubble to Interest Rates—Stock Prices Remain Resilient Even at 5.53% for 30-Year Bonds, While -408 Lurks Beneath | September 27…
   3. www.cnbc.com — Debt-hungry AI companies face increased risk as bond yields spike
   4. www.aol.com — Treasury Yields Hit 20-Year Highs. Here’s Where Smart Income Investors Should Pivot Today
   5. note.com — US 10-year at 5.18%, BEI remains flat: A deep dive into the week of the US-China tariff agreement and whether long-term interest rates fall with rate hikes
   6. en.sedaily.com — 5% Treasury Yields Become New Normal, With 30-Year Seen Topping 6%
   7. finance.yahoo.com — 30-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2004 — what it means for stocks: Chart of the Day
   8. primexbt.com — US 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2007 as Global Bond Selloff Deepens
   9. www.cnbc.com — 10-year Treasury yield continues to rise from 19-year high
   confidence 95%
6. 11d ago

   US 30-Year Treasury Yields Hit Highest Level Since 2004

   The yield on the US 30-year Treasury bond has surged past 5.5%, reaching its highest level in 22 years. This spike follows an extended bond selloff fueled by fiscal concerns, inflation, and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. The rise in long-term rates is impacting the real economy, pushing US mortgage rates above 7%. While US yields stabilized or edged higher during recent European trade, Eurozone government bond yields fell alongside declining oil prices.

   Why it matters

   High Treasury yields typically lower the value of existing bonds and increase borrowing costs for consumers and corporations. This trend has pressured specific equity sectors, such as power producers, and affected global bond markets.

   What is confirmed

   • The US 30-year Treasury bond yield reached its highest level since 2004.
   • The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond has soared past 5.5%.
   • US mortgage rates have climbed above 7%.
   • Eurozone government bond yields fell as oil prices declined.

   Still unconfirmed

   • The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.47% on September 24.

   What to watch next

   • Federal Reserve decisions on future interest rate hikes
   • Changes in US economic indicators affecting bond selloffs
   Sources used for this update (5)

   1. finance.yahoo.com — US 30-Year Yield Hits Highest Since 2004 as Bond Selloff Deepens
   2. www.marketscreener.com — Eurozone Bond Yields Fall as Oil Prices Decline; U.S. Treasury Yields Stabilize -- 2nd Update
   3. news.jkn.co.kr — US 30-Year Treasury Yields Surge Past 5.5% — Highest in 22 Years Since 2004 ...
   4. finance.yahoo.com — Duke Energy (DUK) Hits a 52-Week Low as the 30-Year Treasury Reaches a 2004 High
   5. www.marketscreener.com — Eurozone Bond Yields Fall as Oil Prices Decline; U.S. Treasury Yields Edge Higher -- Update
   confidence 90%
7. 14d ago

   30-Year Treasury Yields Near 2007 Highs as Margin Debt Hits Record

   U.S. 30-year Treasury bond yields remain near their highest levels since 2007, closing six basis points below that peak. This environment is driving down shares of power producers and eroding the investment case for gold and silver. Concurrently, U.S. margin debt for stock purchases has reached a record $1.454 trillion. While the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes pressure markets, the U.S. bond market is performing better than counterparts in other countries, which have seen steeper losses. The Bank of Japan recently raised rates to a 31-year high of 1.25% on a 7-2 vote.

   Why it matters

   High Treasury yields increase borrowing costs for corporations and governments, often leading to a rotation away from non-yielding assets like precious metals. The record level of margin debt indicates high investor leverage, which can increase volatility if market sentiment shifts. A widening interest rate gap between the Fed and the Bank of Japan continues to influence currency carry trades.

   What is confirmed

   • The 30-year Treasury bond yield closed six basis points below its highest level since 2007.
   • U.S. margin debt for buying stocks reached a record high of $1.454 trillion.
   • The Bank of Japan raised rates to 1.25% on a 7-2 vote, a 31-year high.
   • Shares of power producers fell as Treasury yields lingered near multiyear highs.

   Still unconfirmed

   • A market crash is not imminent despite record margin debt.

   What to watch next

   • S&P 500 performance over the next three months relative to the Goldman Sachs 2% decline average.
   • Further shifts in the 275bp interest rate gap between the Fed and the Bank of Japan.
   • Changes in gold and silver prices if Treasury yields sustain 5% levels.
   Sources used for this update (5)

   1. discoveryalert.com — Why 5% Treasury Yields Signal a Gold and Silver Peak
   2. note.com — Debt for buying stocks in the US has reached a record high of $1.454 trillion; however, it is a mistake to conclude that a crash is imminent
   3. www.marketscreener.com — Utilities Down as Treasury Yields Linger Near Multiyear Highs - Utilities Roundup
   4. www.tradingnews.com — USDJPY (157.45) Coils Below 157.536 Fibonacci as 275bp Fed-BOJ Gap Keeps Carry Alive — 159.45 in View
   5. www.nytimes.com — What’s Behind Bessent’s Boasts About the U.S. Bond Market
   confidence 90%
8. 16d ago

   30-Year Treasury Yields Hit Highest Level Since 2007 Amid Fed Rate Hike

   The Federal Reserve has implemented its first interest rate hike since 2023, contributing to a surge in 30-year Treasury bond yields to their highest level since 2007. This shift is pressuring gold and silver prices while oil has surpassed 100 dollars. Rising borrowing costs and persistent inflation are altering capital flows, with total government debt approaching global GDP. Market participants are now monitoring the S&P 500, which Goldman Sachs notes has historically averaged a 2% decline in the three months following the start of a Fed hiking cycle.

   Why it matters

   High long-term yields increase mortgage rates and monthly costs for homebuyers. The US Treasury is attempting to stabilize the market through a buyback of 20-30 year maturities. Total federal debt has already exceeded 40 trillion dollars.

   What is confirmed

   • The Federal Reserve has increased interest rates for the first time since 2023.
   • Oil prices have topped 100 dollars.

   Still unconfirmed

   • A market shakeup is looming as capital flows shift and inflation remains stodgy.

   What to watch next

   • S&P 500 performance over the next three months
   • Results of the US Treasury long-term bond buyback
   • Further Federal Reserve rate adjustment decisions
   Sources used for this update (5)

   1. news.sbs.co.kr — Where Will Money Go in an Era of Inflation? Why the 'Shift of Capital' Is Accelerating
   2. www.zawya.com — Six months on, oil tops $100 as gold, silver face rate pressure
   3. investinglive.com — Fed's first hike since 2023: what history says about the S&P 500 over the next year
   4. www.newindianexpress.com — Why public debt is threatening private pockets
   5. www.stl.news — Fed Rate Hike Ripples Through U.S. Markets
   confidence 80%
9. 17d ago

   US Treasury Yields Drive Mortgage Rates Toward 7 Percent

   Rising long-term US Treasury yields are pushing mortgage rates toward 7 percent, reducing homebuyer purchasing power and increasing monthly costs. This spike in yields has triggered a shift toward defensive investment strategies, such as high-dividend low-volatility ETFs. The US Treasury is preparing a second long-term bond buyback targeting 20-30 year maturities to manage the market. These developments follow a period where the benchmark 10-year yield reached its highest level since 2007 and total federal debt exceeded 40 trillion dollars.

   Why it matters

   High yields increase the cost of borrowing for consumers and the cost of servicing debt for the government. European investors have already begun reducing exposure to US bonds due to these risks. The Federal Reserve recently implemented its first interest rate hike in over three years.

   What is confirmed

   • US mortgage rates are nearing 7 percent.
   • The US Treasury is planning a second long-term bond buyback for 20-30 year maturities.

   Still unconfirmed

   • A sharp rise in long-term Treasury yields is increasing interest in the Invesco S&P 500 High Dividend Low-Volatility Dividend ETF.

   What to watch next

   • Execution of the second long-term Treasury bond buyback
   • Federal Reserve updates on interest rate outlook
   • Changes in FPI flows affecting US yields
   Sources used for this update (6)

   1. uk.finance.yahoo.com — AI’s Wobbly House of Cards Puts Markets and US Economy at Risk
   2. www.thenewsherald.com — Struggling US home buyers, and market, face new hurdles as mortgage rates near 7%
   3. www.outlookmoney.com — Stock Market This Week: Crude, US Yields, FPI Flows And Key Economic Data To Watch
   4. en.infomaxai.com — [New York Bond Market - Weekly]Second Long-Term Bond Buyback Looms as Middle East, Europe Variables Draw Attention
   5. finance.biggo.com — Bond Market Alarm Puts Invesco Low-Volatility Dividend ETF Back in the Spotlight
   6. finance.biggo.com — Jordi Visser: Crypto Wasn't Built for You — It Was Built for AI Agents, and the Breakout Has Already Started
   confidence 90%
10. 18d ago

    US Treasury Yields Remain High As European Investors Reassess Risk

    European financial institutions are reassessing risks tied to United States government debt as Treasury yields remain near multi-year highs. The benchmark 10-year United States Treasury yield hovered around 5 percent on Friday following a rise to its highest level since 2007 earlier in the week. This elevation persists despite the Federal Reserve enacting its first interest rate hike in more than three years and the United States Treasury expanding buybacks of longer-dated securities. Consequently, total United States federal debt has surpassed 40 trillion United States dollars, prompting some European investors to reduce their exposure to American government bonds.

    Why it matters

    Long-term borrowing costs stay elevated even as central banks shift monetary policy, challenging the traditional view of Treasuries as risk-free assets. European investors have raised concerns regarding the broader American fiscal outlook. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve completed its first interest rate hike in more than three years.

    What is confirmed

    • The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hovered around 5 percent on Friday after hitting its highest level since 2007 earlier in the week.
    • U.S. federal debt has surpassed 40 trillion U.S. dollars.

    Still unconfirmed

    • European financial institutions are increasingly reassessing risks associated with U.S. government debt as Treasury yields remain near multi-year highs.

    What to watch next

    • Further actions by European financial institutions regarding their U.S. government bond holdings
    • Shifts in the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and broader long-term borrowing costs
    Sources used for this update (6)

    1. note.com — On a day when the indices rose, only one-third of the stocks gained
    2. www.rte.ie — Bonds, rising yields and global sell offs: Explained
    3. note.com — 【US Market Weekly】9/14-9/18 S&P 500 -0.08% Weekly | Semiconductors rose despite the first rate hike in 3 years, next week is a blank week
    4. www.aol.com — If a Recession Is Coming, History Says This 1 No-Brainer ETF Is the Smartest Buy Right Now
    5. www.chinaview.cn — Economic Watch: European investors grow wary of U.S. Treasury risks
    6. en.ce.cn — European investors grow wary of U.S. Treasury risks
    confidence 90%
11. 19d ago

    US Mortgage Rates Brush 7% Amid Global Bond Selloff

    United States mortgage rates climbed for the fourth consecutive week, driving average long-term home loan rates to just below 7%. This marks the highest level in over 19 months, reaching heights not seen since Donald Trump took office. The domestic housing slump unfolds alongside a massive global bond selloff that has pushed borrowing costs to multi-decade highs across major economies including the United Kingdom and Japan. Conversely, Chinese bond yields sit near record lows while that economy operates in its own cycle.

    Why it matters

    Global borrowing costs are surging to multi-decade highs as part of a widespread bond selloff affecting major international economies. While the United States faces severe borrowing constraints and a bleak housing market, China stands apart with yields near record lows. Homebuyers and sellers across the United States face mounting pressure as home loan rates near the 7% threshold.

    What is confirmed

    • Mortgage rates climbed for the fourth week in a row to reach their highest level since Donald Trump took office.
    • The average long-term U.S. home loan rate sits just below 7%, marking its highest level in over 19 months.
    • A global bond selloff pushed borrowing costs to multi-decade highs across major economies such as the U.S., UK, and Japan.
    • China is bucking the global trend with bond yields sitting near record lows.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Homebuyers could soon face a 7% mortgage rate.

    What to watch next

    • Whether average U.S. mortgage rates cross the 7% threshold
    • Further central bank policy shifts amid the global bond selloff
    Sources used for this update (3)

    1. finance.yahoo.com — Mortgage rates climb for fourth-straight week to hit highest level since Trump took office
    2. finance.yahoo.com — Bond Yields Are Surging Around the World — But China Is Bucking the Trend: ‘The Economy Is in Its Own World’
    3. www.journalgazette.net — US mortgage rates brush 7%, weighing on buyers, sellers amid bleak housing market
    confidence 100%
12. 20d ago

    US Bond Yields Hold at 2007 Highs as Oil and Inflation Pressure Markets

    US Treasury yields remain at their highest levels since 2007, with the 10-year note holding above 5 percent. The spike coincides with West Texas Intermediate oil reaching $103 after Saudi Arabia canceled oil cargoes to Europe amid the war involving Iran. American households face an estimated bill of $1,700 from the combined hit of rising energy and borrowing costs, forcing consumers to draw down their savings. Meanwhile, weekly mortgage applications declined as the 30-year fixed rate hit its highest level since May 2025, and equity indexes moved higher ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision.

    Why it matters

    The surge in bond yields reflects a convergence of pressures, including stubborn inflation, ballooning federal deficits, and AI-related corporate borrowing. Long-term bondholders face a structural shift because traditional rescue measures from the Federal Reserve are not expected on the horizon. Bitcoin and other risk assets have declined alongside bonds as pipeline closures and international conflict drive up energy prices.

    What is confirmed

    • The 10-year US Treasury yield reached 5.04 percent, which is the highest level since 2007.
    • WTI oil hit $103 after Saudi Arabia canceled Europe's oil cargoes.
    • Weekly mortgage applications in the US declined as the 30-year fixed rate hit its highest level since May 2025.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The estimated bill for consumers hit by the one-two punch of oil and rates from the Iran war is $1,700 per household.

    What to watch next

    • The upcoming Federal Reserve interest-rate decision.
    • Further developments regarding oil pipeline closures and European cargo cancellations.
    Sources used for this update (6)

    1. www.cnbc.com — Consumers hit by one-two punch of oil and rates from Iran war. The estimated bill is $1,700 per household
    2. cryptobriefing.com — US bond yields surge past 5% on toxic mix of inflation, AI spending, and ballooning deficits
    3. 247wallst.com — Saudi Arabia Canceled Europe’s Oil Cargoes, WTI Hit $103, and Treasury Yields Reached 5%. Here’s Why Bitcoin Fell With Bonds
    4. finance.yahoo.com — Weekly Mortgage Applications Drop as 30-Year Interest Rate Hits Highest Since May 2025
    5. www.cnbctv18.com — US stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise ahead of Fed rate decision
    6. finance.yahoo.com — The 10-Year Treasury Broke 5% and Long Bond Holders Are Not Getting Rescued
    confidence 95%
13. 21d ago

    US 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields hit highest levels since 2007

    The 10-year US Treasury yield peaked at 5.041 percent on Tuesday, its highest intraday mark since July 2007. The 30-year yield reached 5.3 percent, also a level unseen since 2007. Treasury Secretary Bessent attributed the rise to global factors. These surges are driven by stubborn inflation, rising oil prices, and expectations that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates. The spike in yields is increasing borrowing costs for millions of Americans and continuing to pressure mortgage rates and equity markets.

    Why it matters

    Treasury yields serve as a benchmark for global borrowing costs. When these rates rise, they typically push up mortgage rates and corporate loan costs. This current volatility coincides with a 30-year high for Japanese 10-year government bond yields.

    What is confirmed

    • The 10-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday.
    • The 10-year Treasury yield peaked at 5.041 percent Tuesday morning.
    • Inflation, oil prices, and Federal Reserve rate hike expectations are driving the rise in yields.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Treasury Secretary Bessent attributes the yield rise to global factors.
    • The 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.3 percent.
    • The 10-year Japanese government bond yield reached 3.035 percent.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve decision on interest rate hikes
    • Changes in US oil prices
    • Updated US home sales data
    Sources used for this update (6)

    1. www.hindustantimes.com — Why are US mortgage rates rising again as 10-year Treasury yields hit a 19-year high?
    2. cryptobriefing.com — US Treasury Secretary Bessent attributes yield rise to global factors as 10-year tops 5%
    3. finance.yahoo.com — 10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007
    4. news.sbs.co.kr — 10-Year Japanese Government Bond Yield Hits 30-Year High Amid Rate Hike Outlook
    5. www.aol.com — Benchmark bond yield reaches highest level in nearly 20 years
    6. finance.yahoo.com — Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs: ETFs to Gain
    confidence 90%
14. 22d ago

    US 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Level Since 2007

    The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield climbed above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007. This surge follows a continued selloff in government debt driven by stubborn inflation, rising oil prices, and high public debt. Markets are now pricing in a 92% probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. This volatility has already pressured equity markets and contributed to a slowdown in US home sales, which have dropped to their slowest pace in over a year as mortgage rates and home prices climb.

    Why it matters

    Treasury yields typically rise when investors demand higher returns to offset inflation or perceived risk. Because these yields influence borrowing costs across the economy, the spike directly impacts mortgage rates and corporate capital costs. The current trend reflects investor anxiety ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision.

    What is confirmed

    • The 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 5%, hitting its highest level since 2007.
    • US home sales have weakened to their slowest pace in more than a year.
    • Rising mortgage rates and home prices are contributing to the decline in home sales.
    • Investors are pricing in a Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

    Still unconfirmed

    • There is a 92% chance of a Fed rate hike.
    • Corporate demand for capital and big public debts are squeezing government bond holders.

    What to watch next

    • The Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision on interest rates.
    • Further movement in oil prices and inflation data.
    • Changes in US home sales volume as mortgage rates fluctuate.
    Sources used for this update (6)

    1. www.hindustantimes.com — Surging bond yields presage pain—and not just for bond investors
    2. www.themorningsun.com — US home sales weaken to slowest pace in more than a year as mortgage rates, home prices climb
    3. www.cnbctv18.com — US 10-year Treasury yield hits 5%, highest since 2023, ahead of Fed decision
    4. coincentral.com — Bond Market Flashes Red: Treasury Yields Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2007
    5. swarajyamag.com — US Bond Market Rout Intensifies With 10-Year Yields Reaching Highest Level Since 2007
    6. www.baystreet.ca — U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Level Since 2007
    confidence 90%
15. 25d ago

    30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 2007 High Amid Inflation Surges

    The 30-year US Treasury bond yield reached 5.35 percent, its highest level since June 2007. Rising oil prices over 105 dollars per barrel and strong inflation data have pushed the 10-year yield past 5 percent. Investors are pricing in a Federal Reserve interest rate hike for September, with some estimates placing the probability at 88 percent. These conditions triggered a global government bond selloff and caused stock markets to slide as energy costs climbed. Bank of America reports 14.2 billion dollars in US equity fund outflows over three weeks.

    Why it matters

    High Treasury yields typically increase borrowing costs across the economy and reduce the attractiveness of stocks. This volatility stems from August inflation data and surging energy prices. Markets are now reacting to the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve monetary tightening.

    What is confirmed

    • The 30-year US Treasury bond yield climbed to 5.35 percent.
    • Oil prices surpassed 105 dollars per barrel.
    • The 10-year Treasury yield crossed 5 percent.

    Still unconfirmed

    • September Federal Reserve rate hike odds reached 88 percent.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve interest rate decision for September
    • Upcoming inflation data releases
    • Further movements in the 10-year Treasury yield toward 6 percent
    Sources used for this update (4)

    1. finance.yahoo.com — Bitcoin Selloff Risk Returns as US PPI Hits 5.4% and Rate Hike Odds Near 60%
    2. blockonomi.com — 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges Past 5% Following Hot August Inflation Data
    3. cryptobriefing.com — Bank of America reports $14.2B withdrawn from US stock funds in three weeks
    4. finance.biggo.com — Only Worried When the 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 6%? Survey Reveals Traders' Personal Portfolio Tolerance Far Higher Than Expected
    confidence 80%
16. 26d ago

    30-Year Treasury Yield Rises to Highest Level Since 2007

    The 30-year US Treasury bond yield climbed to 5.35 percent, reaching its highest level since June 2007. Global government bond selloffs accelerated as surging oil prices past $105 per barrel and hot inflation data drove traders to price in a potential Federal Reserve interest-rate hike as soon as next week. Stock markets slid across regions as rising energy costs and widening bond yields weighed heavily on investor sentiment, even as multi-year high yields attracted buyers to a 30-year bond auction.

    Why it matters

    The sharp repricing of government debt follows escalating Middle East tensions that have driven up crude prices and revived fears of persistent inflation. Market participants are recalibrating monetary policy expectations ahead of an upcoming European Central Bank decision and Federal Reserve meetings. Secretary Scott Bessent previously attempted to curb rising borrowing costs through expanded Treasury buyback operations, but persistent macroeconomic pressures continue to push yields upward.

    What is confirmed

    • The US 30-year bond yield hit 5.35 percent, marking its highest level since June 2007.
    • Stocks slid as a hot inflation print and rising oil prices topping $105 per barrel dragged down market sentiment.
    • Surging oil prices and hot inflation data pushed traders to price in a Federal Reserve rate hike as soon as next week.
    • Yields on 10-year German Bunds and US Treasurys hit fresh multi-year highs during European midday trade ahead of an ECB decision.

    Still unconfirmed

    • There is a 38 percent probability that the Fed will pause rate hikes in its next three meetings.
    • Traders are pricing in a 70 percent probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next.

    What to watch next

    • The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision and meeting announcements next week
    • The European Central Bank policy decision
    • Demand levels and auction results for ongoing U.S. Treasury issuances
    Sources used for this update (8)

    1. cryptobriefing.com — US 30-year bond yield, highest since June 2007
    2. www.aol.com — Bond Market Flashes a Rare Warning Signal: What History Says Happens to Stocks Next
    3. www.marketscreener.com — Global Bond Yields Hit Multiyear Highs Ahead of ECB Decision, U.S. Treasury Buybacks -- Update
    4. cryptobriefing.com — Yields on US government bonds rise as traders expect Fed rate hike
    5. www.marketscreener.com — Stocks Slide, 30-Year Treasury Yields at Post-2007 High as Oil Tops $105 -- 2nd Update
    6. www.cnbctv18.com — US 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.34%, highest since 2007, as oil fuels rate-hike bets
    7. economictimes.indiatimes.com — US bond yields climb to multi-year highs as oil surge revives bets on higher Fed rates
    8. www.canadianmortgagetrends.com — U.S. yields at multi-year highs attract buyers to 30-year auction
    confidence 95%
17. 28d ago

    US Treasury triples bond buyback to $6 billion as yields climb

    The US Treasury will purchase up to $6 billion in 10- to 20-year bonds on September 10, tripling the size of its previous operation. This move by Secretary Scott Bessent aims to curb rising borrowing costs. While 10-year bond auctions showed strong demand, yields on those securities reached a 19-year high. Simultaneously, European stock markets fell Wednesday due to a combination of soaring oil prices and widening bond yields driven by Middle East tensions. Investors initially reacted to the increased buyback announcement with disappointment.

    Why it matters

    Rising yields follow a global bond sell-off and US federal debt exceeding $40 trillion. These market pressures coincide with the six-month mark of the Hormuz war. Persistent inflation and economic activity are complicating Federal Reserve policy decisions.

    What is confirmed

    • The US Treasury will buy up to $6 billion in 10- to 20-year Treasury bonds during its September 10 operation.
    • The current buyback operation is triple the size of the previous one.
    • The 10-year Treasury bond yield reached its highest level in 19 years.
    • European stock prices declined Wednesday afternoon amid rising oil prices and widening bond yields.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Bond investor Gundlach suggests long-dated yields may face a fresh selloff if the Federal Reserve maintains current rates.

    What to watch next

    • The outcome of the September 10 Treasury buyback operation
    • Federal Reserve decisions regarding the funds rate
    Sources used for this update (7)

    1. www.marketscreener.com — Europe slumps amid oil surge and elevated yields
    2. www.straitstimes.com — ST Explains: Why are bond yields rising and how does it affect me?
    3. finance.yahoo.com — US Treasury to buy up to $6 billion in Sept 10 buyback operation
    4. www.marketscreener.com — U.S. 10-Year Treasury Auction Shows Strong Demand
    5. www.livemint.com — US Treasury triples bond buyback to $6 billion: Why markets saw the move as a disappointment
    6. finance.yahoo.com — US Treasury Triples Long-Dated Debt Buyback to $6 Billion
    7. www.theglobeandmail.com — DoubleLine’s Gundlach says long-dated yields set for fresh selloff if Fed stays on hold
    confidence 95%
18. 29d ago

    30-Year Treasury Yields Hit Highest Level Since 2007

    The 30-year Treasury yield has reached its highest level since 2007 amid a global bond sell-off and borrowing costs hitting multi-decade highs. This turmoil follows the U.S. federal debt crossing $40 trillion and coincides with the six-month mark of the Hormuz war. In response to rising yields and debasement concerns, Bitcoin jumped 22.4% following an increase in Treasury buybacks, while gold rose approximately 5%. China's PBOC continued its buying streak, adding 650,000 ounces of gold in August to support its reserves.

    Why it matters

    Rising government debt is shifting the focus of bubble risks from corporations to the public sector. A global trend of increasing borrowing costs is putting pressure on multiple economies, including Britain, which is facing its highest borrowing rates since 1998. Investors are increasingly treating gold and Bitcoin as hedges against currency debasement.

    What is confirmed

    • The 30-year Treasury yield reached its highest level since 2007.
    • U.S. federal debt has exceeded $40 trillion.
    • Bitcoin's correlation with gold reached its highest level since 2020.
    • Bitcoin rose 22.4% and gold rose approximately 5% following the Treasury's increase in long-maturity buybacks.
    • The PBOC added 650,000 ounces of gold in August, marking 22 consecutive months of purchases.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The current financial volatility is occurring six months into the Hormuz war.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve decisions on interest rate hikes
    • The upcoming British Budget and its impact on borrowing rates
    • Further shifts in the correlation between Bitcoin, gold, and tech stocks
    Sources used for this update (6)

    1. www.briefs.co — China Boosts Gold Reserves by 650,000 Ounces During August Rally
    2. finance.biggo.com — 5% Treasury Yield Is the Make-or-Break Line for the AI Boom: Expert Says Government Debt Could Be the Bubble's Terminator
    3. usethebitcoin.com — Bitcoin Gold Correlation Surges as Debasement Trade Gains Momentum
    4. www.briefs.co — Bitcoin's Biggest Week Since 2024 Came After Treasury's Buyback Boost
    5. www.baltictimes.com — August in the Financial Markets: Fed Signals, a Global Rise in Bond Yields, and New Records in the Semiconductor Market
    6. sg.finance.yahoo.com — Britain pays highest borrowing rate since 1998
    confidence 85%
19. 30d ago

    US Doubles Long-Dated Buybacks as Treasury Yields Hit Two-Decade High

    The Treasury Department doubled long-dated buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation between September and November to shore up market liquidity and ease 20-year high 10-year and 30-year yields. President Donald Trump escalated pressure for interest rate cuts, threatening to halt trade with major deficit countries. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs expects global stocks to return just 5% to 9% over the next 12 months as bond yields and oil prices climb. The U.S. bond turmoil coincides with federal debt exceeding $40 trillion.

    Why it matters

    Soaring borrowing costs threaten international technology investments and reflect structural pressure from massive national debt loads. High yields and energy prices have simultaneously supported the U.S. dollar while dragging down global equity return expectations. Similar yield spikes previously forced out a UK prime minister, increasing political stakes for governments managing high deficits.

    What is confirmed

    • The Treasury is boosting long-dated buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation from September to November.
    • Goldman Sachs expects global stocks to return just 5% to 9% over the next 12 months.

    Still unconfirmed

    • President Donald Trump will halt trade with major deficit countries if interest rates do not come down.
    • U.S. 10-year Treasury yields will climb toward 6% according to Rick Bensignor.
    • AI agents rather than humans will drive the next phase of cryptocurrency.
    • American economist Arthur Laffer warned Andy Burnham against another Budget tax raid.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release
    • The Bank of England meeting on September 17
    Sources used for this update (14)

    1. www.briefs.co — Treasury Doubles Long-Dated Buybacks After Two-Decade High Yields
    2. en.sedaily.com — Goldman Sachs Sees Global Stocks Rising Just 5% to 9%
    3. finance.biggo.com — Jordi Visser Says Bond Market Crash Fears Are a Trap — AI Agents, Not Humans, Will Drive Crypto's Next Phase
    4. en.sedaily.com — Bond Yields Toppled a UK Government. A Bigger Shock May Follow
    5. conservativepost.co.uk — CLOWNING STREET: WEEK 7 – This Week’s Madness from ‘No Answer Andy’ and His Labour Circus
    6. conservativepost.co.uk — Labour warned: Stop taxing Britain “to death” and start growing it as borrowing costs hit near 20-year high
    7. finance.yahoo.com — What is driving Europe’s yield decoupling?
    8. en.sedaily.com — U.S. Scrambles to Push Rates Down as Structural Fixes Fail
    9. finance.biggo.com — Trump Threatens to Cut Off Trade Unless Rates Fall—U.S. Cornered by $40 Trillion Debt
    10. www.briefs.co — UK employers tip back toward permanent hires as confidence flickers
    11. www.briefs.co — Go Inc. Says Ride Volume Holding Up Despite Tokyo Fare Hikes
    12. www.straitstimes.com — As long bond yields rise, where should investors turn?
    confidence 90%
20. 32d ago

    30-year Treasury bond yield rises to highest level since 2007

    The 30-year US Treasury bond yield reached 5.33%, its highest level since 2007. Long-term investors are reducing their holdings of US Treasuries as federal debt exceeds $40 trillion. This volatility coincides with a global selloff affecting European and Asian markets. The current bond turmoil and high energy prices are supporting the US Dollar.

    Why it matters

    The surge in Treasury yields reflects concerns about the US government's ability to manage its debt, which has surpassed $40 trillion. Global bond markets are experiencing turmoil, with investors reducing their holdings of long-term US Treasuries. This situation has implications for borrowing costs, the dollar, and financial stability.

    What is confirmed

    • US debt has crossed $40 trillion
    • The 30-year Treasury yield briefly exceeded 5% in May and July, highest since 2007
    • Foreign ownership of US Treasuries fell to around 40% by mid-2025
    • Concerns about defence spending are fuelling turmoil in global bond markets

    Still unconfirmed

    • Britain is "taxing itself to death" as investors lose faith in the Government's ability to manage public finances

    What to watch next

    • US Treasury's next steps to address the bond market volatility
    • The impact of high energy prices on the global economy
    • The Bank of England's response to concerns about defence spending
    Sources used for this update (6)

    1. www.theglobeandmail.com — Amid a sell-off, Canadian bonds are ‘well-behaved’
    2. finance.yahoo.com — Bank of England chief: Defence spending fears fuelling bond turmoil
    3. finance.yahoo.com — US Debt Hit $40 Trillion. So Where Is Bitcoin’s Debasement Trade?
    4. finance.yahoo.com — Britain ‘taxing itself to death’ as investors lose faith
    5. www.briefs.co — 30-year Treasury Yield Clears 5% in May and July, Highest Since 2007
    6. www.briefs.co — Foreign investors still buy plenty of Treasuries, but who is buying has flipped
    confidence 90%
21. 33d ago

    30-Year Treasury Yields Hit 2007 Highs as Long-Term Demand Drops

    The 30-year US Treasury bond yield has reached 5.33%, its highest level since 2007. Long-term investors are reducing their holdings of US Treasuries as federal debt exceeds $40 trillion. This volatility coincides with a global selloff affecting European and Asian markets. While Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attempted to stabilize the market through a buyback program, these efforts have failed to stop the surge. The current bond turmoil and high energy prices are supporting the US Dollar, keeping the Pound to Dollar exchange rate near three-week lows around 1.3500.

    Why it matters

    Rising yields typically signal investor concern over inflation or government solvency. The Trump administration wants lower rates, but the Federal Reserve may increase policy rates to fight persistent inflation. This environment creates a divide between government borrowing costs and benefits for retirees.

    What is confirmed

    • The 30-year US Treasury bond yield reached 5.33%.
    • US federal debt has topped $40 trillion.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The Pound to Dollar exchange rate remained close to three-week lows around 1.3500.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve decisions on policy rate hikes
    • Further changes in foreign purchase levels of US Treasuries
    Sources used for this update (4)

    1. inews.co.uk — How retirees can now get £3,000 a year more from the same pension pot
    2. cryptobriefing.com — US Treasuries face reduced demand from long-term investors amid rising yields
    3. www.iberkshires.com — The Retired Investor: High Noon for the Bond Vigilantes
    4. www.currencynews.co.uk — Pound-to-Dollar Forecast: Bond Turmoil, Energy Prices Support USD
    confidence 90%
22. 34d ago

    US 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Level Since 2007

    The 30-year US Treasury bond yield has reached 5.33%, the highest since 2007, amid a global selloff. Investors are demanding higher returns due to $40 trillion in US debt, rising oil prices, persistent inflation, and renewed US-Iran hostilities. Yields are climbing across US, European, and Asian markets. While Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent used a buyback program to stabilize the market, recent surges have erased those gains. The Trump administration seeks lower rates, but the Federal Reserve may raise policy rates to combat inflation.

    Why it matters

    Higher bond yields increase the cost of government borrowing and can pressure global financial stability. This volatility is compounded by Japan's high debt-to-GDP ratio and increased borrowing for AI. Diverging goals between the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve create additional market uncertainty.

    What is confirmed

    • The 30-year US Treasury bond yield reached 5.33%, its highest level since 2007.
    • Government bond yields are rising sharply across major global economies.
    • The Trump administration wants lower rates while the Federal Reserve may raise policy rates to fight inflation.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The Bank of England's chief economist says the bank must raise interest rates to maintain market confidence.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve decisions on policy rates
    • Bank of England interest rate announcements
    • Further updates on US-Iran hostilities
    Sources used for this update (5)

    1. www.marketscreener.com — The Fed vs. the Treasury
    2. asiatimes.com — Two bond bombs, one fuse: US, Japan hurtling toward a reckoning
    3. www.hindustantimes.com — Why is the US bond market under pressure? Japan, Fed rates, AI borrowing and $40T debt explained
    4. www.aol.com — Bank of England must raise interest rates, says chief economist
    5. www.donga.com — Global bond yields surge as risks mount
    confidence 85%
23. 35d ago

    US 30-Year Treasury Yields Hit Highest Levels Since 2007 Amid Global Selloff

    The 30-year US Treasury bond yield has reached 5.33%, the highest level since 2007, as part of a global bond selloff. Yields surged Tuesday and Wednesday across US, European, and Asian markets. Investors are demanding higher returns due to rising oil prices, persistent inflation, and mounting government debt. This trend follows renewed hostilities between the US and Iran. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has attempted to reassure markets and previously expanded a buyback program to stop the rise, but recent jumps have erased those gains.

    Why it matters

    The US national debt has surpassed $40 trillion, increasing pressure on government borrowing. Higher long-term rates raise borrowing costs for American businesses and households. This volatility occurs while investors speculate on Federal Reserve interest rate moves despite 3.7% inflation.

    What is confirmed

    • The 30-year US Treasury bond yield is at 5.33%, its highest level since 2007.
    • Bond yields rose on Tuesday and Wednesday across US, European, and Asian markets.
    • Hostilities between the US and Iran have increased oil prices and inflation risks.
    • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expanded a buyback program last month to try to halt rising yields.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Global bond yields reached their highest levels since the 2008 financial crisis on Tuesday.
    • The 30-year US Treasury yield's current run above 5% is the longest since 2006.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve decisions on interest rate hikes
    • Further escalation or de-escalation of US-Iran hostilities
    • Impact of the Treasury buyback program on long-term yields
    Sources used for this update (7)

    1. www.cnbc.com — Global bond yields soar to multi-decade highs as Middle East turmoil reignites inflation fears
    2. biz.heraldcorp.com — US 30-year Treasury yield's run above 5% longest since 2006
    3. biz.heraldcorp.com — Bessent plays down bond market alarm as long-term yields hit multi-year highs
    4. www.aol.com — Worldwide Indicator Flashing Red As Global Debt Deluge Spooks Investors
    5. www.cnbc.com — 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hits highest level since November 2023 as global bond sell-off continues
    6. finance.yahoo.com — Bessent's Bond Gains Wiped Out as 30-Year Yields Jump Once Again
    7. www.marketscreener.com — Europe Joins Global Bond Selloff as Middle East Hostilities Lift Oil Prices -- Update
    confidence 90%
24. 36d ago

    30-year Treasury bond yield hits 5.33%, highest since 2007

    The 30-year US Treasury bond yield has risen to 5.33%, its highest level since 2007. This increase coincides with the US national debt surpassing $40 trillion and comes as investors question whether the Fed will raise interest rates despite 3.7% inflation. The yield surge has triggered volatility in Bitcoin and concerns about potential market turmoil in September.

    Why it matters

    The rising bond yields have significant implications for the US economy, particularly as the country faces high inflation and a substantial national debt. The yield increase could also impact global markets, as investors seek higher returns in a competitive investment landscape. The situation is being closely watched by analysts and investors, who are assessing its potential effects on equities and other assets.

    What is confirmed

    • The 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.33%, its highest since 2007.
    • US national debt has crossed $40 trillion.
    • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced plans to double government debt buybacks to $4 billion.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Some brokerages argue that US equities may resist higher yields due to AI growth and strong balance sheets.

    What to watch next

    • Fed interest rate decision
    • September market performance
    • US inflation rate update
    Sources used for this update (5)

    1. www.forbes.com — Why Home Prices Refuse To Fall As Sales Hit A Two-Year Low
    2. cryptobriefing.com — Bitcoin faces volatility as US bond yields approach 20-year high
    3. www.berkshireeagle.com — High noon for the bond vigilantes
    4. www.wsws.org — Interest rate rises adding to surging US debt
    5. www.newindianexpress.com — Finance ministry flags global bond yield rise, warns of pressure on rupee
    confidence 90%
25. 37d ago

    30-Year Treasury Yields Hit Highest Level Since 2007

    The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds has surged to levels not seen since 2007, with reports placing the figure between 5.23% and 5.34%. This spike coincides with the US national debt crossing $40 trillion. While bond investors express skepticism that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will raise rates despite 3.7% inflation, analysts warn of potential market turmoil in September. Some brokerages argue that US equities may resist these higher yields due to AI growth and strong balance sheets, though a 10-year yield above 5% to 5.25% remains a critical threshold for a possible sell-off.

    Why it matters

    Rising yields increase the cost for the US government to refinance its debt, with annual interest payments now approaching $1.5 trillion. This fiscal pressure is part of a broader trend where G7 bond yields have hit their highest levels since 2004. The situation creates a tension between the Federal Reserve's mandate for price stability and the government's mounting borrowing costs.

    What is confirmed

    • The US national debt has crossed $40 trillion.
    • 30-year Treasury yields have reached their highest level since 2007.

    Still unconfirmed

    • A US 10-year Treasury yield above 5% to 5.25% could trigger a sustained equity sell-off.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve decisions on interest rate changes in September
    • Official updates on the US national debt total
    • Data on 10-year Treasury yield movements relative to the 5% threshold
    Sources used for this update (8)

    1. www.aol.com — Peter Schiff says Trump’s ‘numbing the pain’ of America’s $40T debt problem — protect your retirement before crisis hits
    2. cyprus-mail.com — Why the US may be heading for a financial crisis
    3. startupfortune.com — G7 Bond Yields Surge to Highest Level Since 2004 as Debt Bills Balloon
    4. cryptobriefing.com — Bond investors express skepticism over potential Fed rate hikes under Kevin Warsh
    5. en.sedaily.com — Warnings of September Bond Turmoil: Is Korea Ready?
    6. news.webindia123.com — US equities may withstand higher yields as growth, AI and strong balance sheets cushion valuations: Emkay
    7. www.wealthprofessional.ca — Federal deficit shrinks while provincial red ink piles up
    8. www.afr.com — Gold and bitcoin rallied, but is last year’s hottest trade really back?
    confidence 80%