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● TRACKER Updated 3d ago · 33 sources tracked

Gold hits over 3-month high ahead of US inflation data, Fed chair speech

Spot gold rose on Friday as oil prices slipped and investors awaited a key U.S. inflation report. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated that inflation remains too high and interest rates might need to climb. The consumer price index release served as the final data point before the Federal Reserve meets on September 15 to 16. Meanwhile, a global bond market selloff has pushed borrowing costs to their highest in years across major financial hubs from Tokyo and Sydney to London and New York.

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What changed

Gold prices moved higher ahead of U.S. inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh regarding potential rate increases.

Live updates

  1. Gold Gains on Softer Oil as Markets Await Fed Rate Decision

    Spot gold rose on Friday as oil prices slipped and investors awaited a key U.S. inflation report. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated that inflation remains too high and interest rates might need to climb. The consumer price index release served as the final data point before the Federal Reserve meets on September 15 to 16. Meanwhile, a global bond market selloff has pushed borrowing costs to their highest in years across major financial hubs from Tokyo and Sydney to London and New York.

    Why it matters

    Global financial markets are reacting to persistent inflation pressures and tightening monetary policy. Bond yields have surged internationally, adding stress to borrowing costs. The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting will determine whether central bankers respond to strong labor data and inflation with further rate increases.

    What is confirmed

    • Spot gold rose on Friday as oil prices slipped and investors awaited a key U.S. inflation report.
    • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stated that inflation remains too high and rates may need to rise.
    • A bond market selloff has pushed borrowing costs to their highest in years from Tokyo and Sydney to London and New York.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Kevin Warsh may push for an interest rate hike rather than a cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.

    What to watch next

    • The Federal Reserve interest rate decision and policy meeting on September 15 to 16.
    • Further statements from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh on monetary policy.
    Sources used for this update (6)
    1. startupfortune.com — This Week's Inflation Data Will Decide If the Fed Hikes Rates
    2. www.lse.co.uk — GRAPHIC-Take Five: Good evening, Mr Bond
    3. ca.finance.yahoo.com — Autodesk, Inc. ADSK Stock Forecast & Price Target
    4. www.cnbc.com — Gold gains on softer oil prices, U.S. inflation data in focus
    5. www.briefs.co — Warsh sharpens inflation fight message, says rates might need to climb
    6. www.afr.com — Wall Street rallies as oil retreats, bond market steadies
    confidence 90%
  2. US Stocks Diverge After Blowout Jobs Report Boosts Fed Hike Bets

    US stock futures diverged and Wall Street opened muted on Friday following a stronger-than-expected August jobs report. The robust employment data fueled market expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its upcoming meeting on September 15 to 16. The Dow Jones fell 0.19 percent, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged higher as traders digested the latest labor signals. Meanwhile, London's blue-chip index slipped 0.43 points to close at 10,831.09, and the FTSE 250 gained 0.4 percent to reach 24,584.71.

    Why it matters

    Investors have closely monitored employment figures and upcoming inflation releases to gauge the trajectory of central bank monetary policy. Recent market positioning and rate hike bets intensified following a speech late last month by Fed Chair Warsh. Financial markets continue to weigh these economic indicators to predict whether the central bank will alter rates during its mid-September gathering.

    What is confirmed

    • The Dow fell 0.19 percent following stronger-than-expected jobs data.
    • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged higher as investors assessed labor market signals.
    • London's blue-chip index slipped 0.43 points to 10,831.09.
    • The FTSE 250 gained 0.4 percent to 24,584.71.
    • The Fed's next meeting is scheduled for September 15 to 16.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Investors are pouring over upcoming inflation data for additional signals on the interest rate trajectory.

    What to watch next

    • Upcoming US inflation data releases
    • The Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for September 15 to 16
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. uk.finance.yahoo.com — Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures diverge after blowout jobs report
    2. economictimes.indiatimes.com — Dow Jones| Nasdaq | S&P 500 | US Stock Market Today |Live Updates: US stocks subdued after jobs report fuels rate-hike bets
    3. www.share-talk.com — Share Talk Weekly Stock Market News Review, Sunday 6th September 2026
    4. www.khaleejtimes.com — Wall St Week Ahead: Investors to pour over inflation data for signals on rate trajectory
    confidence 100%
  3. Gold Rises Ahead of U.S. Jobs Report and Fed Policy Clues

    Gold prices gained momentum as the dollar and Treasury yields softened on Thursday. Markets across Asia and Europe rebounded from recent lows, finding relief from a global bond selloff. Investors globally are holding steady positions in anticipation of crucial U.S. nonfarm payrolls and employment data. This upcoming economic data is expected to shape the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decisions. Stock futures and Treasury yields remained little changed in early European trade on Friday as traders awaited the jobs report.

    Why it matters

    Global financial markets experienced recent volatility, marked by a bond selloff and a drop in European equities to one-month lows over three sessions. Federal Reserve official Waller acted to soothe bond markets, helping yields retreat. Market participants are closely monitoring U.S. economic metrics to gauge the timing and direction of monetary policy adjustments.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold firmed on Thursday as the dollar and Treasury yields eased.
    • European stocks rose on Thursday after three straight sessions of losses.
    • Asian shares tracked Wall Street higher ahead of U.S. jobs data.
    • U.S. stock futures nudged higher and Treasury yields edged lower in early European trade on Friday.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Federal Reserve official Waller cooled rate pressures to bring relief to bond markets.

    What to watch next

    • Release of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls and jobs data.
    • Subsequent Federal Reserve policy announcements and interest rate decisions.
    Sources used for this update (4)
    1. www.cnbc.com — Gold rises as dollar and yields ease, with U.S. nonfarm payrolls report in spotlight
    2. www.marketscreener.com — European stocks recover from one-month lows as bond yields retreat
    3. www.aol.com — Asian shares climb ahead of US jobs data, Fed's Waller soothes bonds
    4. www.marketscreener.com — U.S. Stock Futures, Treasurys Little Moved Ahead of Jobs Data
    confidence 90%
  4. Gold hits over 3-month high ahead of US inflation data, Fed chair speech

    Gold prices surged to over a 3-month high as US-Iran tensions drove oil prices up, fueling inflation fears and boosting the precious metal's appeal. Markets are now focused on upcoming US inflation data and a speech by the Federal Reserve chair, which could influence interest rate decisions. Gold's rise is attributed to its safe-haven status amid geopolitical tensions.

    Why it matters

    The ongoing US-Iran military attacks have led to increased oil prices, stoking inflation fears and driving investors to safe-haven assets like gold. This situation has also impacted global stock markets, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 experiencing declines. The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike is currently priced at around 70% for the September 16 Fed meeting.

    What is confirmed

    • Oil prices surged 3% due to the latest US-Iran flare-up.
    • The Australian share market slipped while house prices are falling in most of the nation's capital cities.
    • Gold prices have bounced back over 1% as the US dollar and Treasury yields retreated from recent highs.

    Still unconfirmed

    • US stocks gained on Wednesday, with the Russell 2000 outperforming while the Nasdaq lagged but finished in the green.

    What to watch next

    • US inflation data release
    • Federal Reserve chair speech
    • September 16 Fed meeting
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. www.abc.net.au — Oil prices surge on latest US-Iran flare-up, ASX slips as housing slump continues — as it happened
    2. fnarena.com — The Overnight Report: Yields Up, Markets Down
    3. english.aawsat.com — Gold Hits Over 3-week Low as Mideast Tensions Fan Rate-hike Fears
    4. www.cnbc.com — Gold rebounds over 1% as U.S. dollar, yields pull back from highs
    5. www.newsquawk.com — Newsquawk Daily Asia-Pac Opening News - 3rd September 2026
    confidence 75%
  5. Gold holds gains as US-Iran conflict spikes oil prices and rate-hike bets

    Gold remains elevated as renewed US-Iran military attacks drive oil prices higher and increase the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Markets are currently pricing a ~70% chance of a 25bp increase at the September 16 Fed meeting. While Treasury actions previously pushed gold and Bitcoin higher, new geopolitical tensions are fueling inflation fears. US stocks have declined in response, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.5% and the S&P 500 dropping 0.4% shortly after the opening bell.

    Why it matters

    Investors are weighing the safe-haven appeal of gold against the bearish impact of rising bond yields. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh previously warned that inflation exceeds the 2% target. This creates a conflict between geopolitical instability and the likelihood of tighter monetary policy.

    What is confirmed

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5% shortly after the opening bell.
    • The S&P 500 declined 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.3%.
    • US and Iran have resumed military attacks.
    • Bond yields and oil prices rose following renewed US-Iran military tensions.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Markets are pricing approximately 70% odds of a 25bp rate hike on September 16.
    • JPMorgan traders have shifted to short-term caution ahead of the September 16 Fed decision.

    What to watch next

    • US inflation data release
    • Federal Reserve Chair speech
    • Federal Reserve interest rate decision on September 16
    Sources used for this update (6)
    1. www.thehindubusinessline.com — Sensex today | Stock Market Highlights: Benchmark indices trade in the red in late session, Sensex down 307.24 points at 76,957.27
    2. economictimes.indiatimes.com — Dow Jones| Nasdaq | US Stock Market Today | Live: US stocks trade lower as Iran war escalation sends oil prices up
    3. www.cnbctv18.com — Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq drop as US strikes Iran, Fed rate-hike bets jump
    4. www.globalbankingandfinance.com — Yields rise, oil jumps; US and Iran resume military attacks
    5. www.briefs.co — JPMorgan Traders Shift to Short-Term Caution Ahead of Sept. 16 Fed Decision
    6. www.briefs.co — Kalshi Bans George Santos for Life, Fines Him $71,356 Over State of the Union Bets
    confidence 90%
  6. Gold gains 5% amid US dollar debasement fears

    Gold prices rose 5% as Treasury actions sparked fears of dollar debasement. This recovery follows a previous decline triggered by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, who warned that inflation remains above the 2% target and signaled a potential interest rate increase in September. Markets are now balancing these bullish Treasury concerns against bearish inflation warnings from the Fed. Bitcoin also jumped 23% in tandem with the precious metal. Investors are awaiting upcoming US inflation data and further speeches from the Federal Reserve Chair to determine the next price direction.

    Why it matters

    Gold typically moves inversely to US interest rates and the dollar's strength. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh recently stated the central bank has "work to do" because inflation is not meaningfully slowing. A September rate hike is currently priced into the market at a 50% probability.

    What is confirmed

    • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh warned of a potential interest rate increase in September.
    • Kevin Warsh stated that inflation remains above the 2% target.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Gold prices gained 5% and Bitcoin jumped 23% due to Treasury moves sparking dollar debasement fears.
    • The US is hosting G20 finance talks in Asheville, North Carolina, on Monday and Tuesday.
    • France faces a budget crisis and political gridlock that may increase borrowing costs.

    What to watch next

    • Release of US inflation data
    • Upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh
    • Outcomes of the G20 finance talks in Asheville
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. money.rediff.com — Read Stories From New+delhi
    2. www.share-talk.com — Share Talk Weekly Stock Market News Review, Sunday 30th August 2026
    3. www.briefs.co — Bitcoin and Gold Jump as Treasury Moves Fuel Dollar Concerns
    4. www.briefs.co — France Faces Budget Crisis as Political Gridlock Threatens Stability
    5. www.briefs.co — Fed Chair Warns of Potential September Rate Increase Amid Inflation Concerns
    6. www.abc.net.au — Markets live updates: Bank stocks keep ASX afloat, Wall Street slides on inflation worries
    7. timesofindia.indiatimes.com — Gold, Silver Rate Today Live Updates: Gold faces fresh volatility after Rs 6,000 weekly plunge; US jobs data, Fed in focus
    8. english.aawsat.com — US Hosts G20 Finance Talks with Growth, Iran Pressure on Agenda
    confidence 80%
  7. Gold prices fall after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signals potential rate hikes

    Gold prices dropped more than 1% on Friday, 28 August, reversing recent gains after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh hinted at interest rate hikes during his Jackson Hole Economic Symposium speech. Warsh warned that inflation is not meaningfully slowing and reiterated a firm 2% inflation target, stating the central bank has "work to do" if confidence in cooling inflation is lacking. Spot gold traded at $4,594.61 per ounce by 1203 GMT, down from a three-month high of $4,696.18 reached Tuesday. Markets now price a 50% chance of a September rate hike.

    Why it matters

    The Federal Reserve is balancing monetary policy against inflation targets and labor data. Gold typically faces pressure when interest rates rise because it provides no yield. Recent US Treasury support for long-duration bonds previously pushed prices toward their three-month peak.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices fell by more than 1% on Friday, 28 August.
    • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh warned that inflation is not meaningfully slowing.
    • Spot gold reached a three-month high of $4,696.18 on Tuesday.
    • Kevin Warsh stated the central bank's 2% inflation goal remains a firm and fixed target.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Markets price a 50% chance of a September Fed rate hike.
    • US non-farm payrolls data underwent a downward revision.

    What to watch next

    • The Federal Reserve's official interest rate decision in September
    • Further US inflation data releases to verify if inflation is slowing
    Sources used for this update (6)
    1. economictimes.indiatimes.com — Sensex Today | Nifty50 | Stock Market LIVE Updates: Sensex jumps over 200 pts, Nifty above 24,100; Infosys, Eternal rise 2% each
    2. www.livemint.com — Gold prices down 1% following Fed's Kevin Warsh hints at rate hike, trading at ₹1,56,780/10 gm — Check details
    3. english.aawsat.com — Gold Inches Lower ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Remarks
    4. www.aol.co.uk — Stocks rise as Fed chairman fuels US rate-hike bets
    5. www.briefs.co — Fed's Warsh Cautions Markets Against Premature Celebration Over Cooling Inflation
    6. www.briefs.co — Fed's September Rate Decision Hangs in Balance After Hawkish Signals
    confidence 95%
  8. Gold consolidates near $4,600 as markets await Fed Chair speech

    Gold prices are trading in a range-bound consolidation near $4,600 per ounce following a brief dip below that level on Wednesday. The price pressure followed the release of US PCE inflation data, which was higher than expected and increased the likelihood of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. Investors are now focusing on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium this Friday for policy guidance. Despite the inflation data, gold continues to see interest from central bank demand and ETF inflows.

    Why it matters

    Gold recently hit its highest price since May 14, driven by geopolitical tensions and fiscal pressure. The metal typically reacts to US interest rate expectations because higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. A clarification of policy at Jackson Hole is expected to resolve current market uncertainty regarding rate hike odds.

    What is confirmed

    • Gold prices are trading near $4,600 per ounce.
    • US PCE inflation data was higher than expected.
    • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to speak at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium this Friday.

    Still unconfirmed

    • Markets see a 36% chance of a rate increase in September.
    • Core PCE rose 0.2% in July.

    What to watch next

    • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech on Friday
    • Nvidia earnings results
    • Changes in US Treasury yields following the Jackson Hole symposium
    Sources used for this update (8)
    1. timesofindia.indiatimes.com — Gold, Silver Rate Today Live Updates: Gold snaps 4-day rally, falls Rs 600 to Rs 1.66 lakh/10g amid profit booking
    2. economictimes.indiatimes.com — Dow Jones| Nasdaq | S&P 500 | US Stock Market Today |Live Updates: US stocks muted ahead of Nvidia results, hot inflation fuels rate-hike bets
    3. www.aol.com — Trading Day: Hot inflation cools sentiment
    4. www.briefs.co — Inflation Data Leaves Bond Market Largely Unfazed
    5. www.briefs.co — As Jackson Hole Looms, Fed Chief's Quiet Approach Draws Fire
    6. www.tradingkey.com — Gold Price Forecast: Hotter-Than-Expected PCE Inflation Pressures Gold, Will Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Spark a New Rally?
    7. www.briefs.co — Gold Holds Steady as Investors Await Fed Guidance
    8. www.briefs.co — Fed Policymakers Divided on Rate Hike Timing Before Warsh Address
    confidence 90%
  9. Gold steadies after hitting three-month peak ahead of US inflation data

    Spot gold prices stabilized around $4,645.67 per ounce on Tuesday after reaching their highest level since May 14. The rally paused Wednesday as investors awaited upcoming US inflation data and a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. While spot prices leveled off, US gold futures rose 0.1% to $4,702.00. Market participants are currently balancing bond market jitters and geopolitical tensions involving Iran and Canada against anticipation for Nvidia earnings. IG analyst Tony Sycamore suggests buyers may support gold as it moves toward resistance at $4,900 to $5,000.

    Why it matters

    Gold often serves as a hedge during periods of economic uncertainty or currency weakness. Current price action is tied to expectations regarding US monetary policy and trade disputes. The Federal Reserve's response to inflation data typically dictates gold's trajectory.

    What is confirmed

    • Spot gold hit its highest level in more than three months on Tuesday.
    • US gold futures rose 0.1% to $4,702.00.
    • Investors are awaiting US inflation data and a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh.
    • Bitcoin prices exceeded $80,000.

    Still unconfirmed

    • The US may impose heavy sanctions on Iran and any country trading with it.

    What to watch next

    • Release of US inflation data
    • Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech
    • Nvidia earnings report
    Sources used for this update (5)
    1. www.theguardian.com — Gold hits highest level in three months as traders worry about US inflation and bond market jitters – business live
    2. finance.yahoo.com — Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq hold steady as US-Canada trade tensions heat up
    3. english.aawsat.com — Gold Steadies after Hitting over 3-month Peak, US Inflation Data Looms
    4. finance.yahoo.com — Nasdaq rises as Wall Street gets relief from falling yields
    5. www.cnbc.com — Gold rally takes a breather ahead of U.S. inflation data
    confidence 95%
  10. Gold reaches 3-month high as markets await US inflation data and Fed speech

    Spot gold rose 0.9 per cent to US$4,643.63 per ounce, hitting a high not seen in over three months. The price increase follows a softer US dollar and investor anticipation of upcoming US inflation data and a speech from the Federal Reserve chair. While gold gains, other markets show volatility: the S&P 500 fell 0.27% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.63% on Monday as investors weighed rising tensions with Iran. Oil prices fluctuated, hitting a three-week high before falling 1% on expectations of tougher US sanctions against Iran.

    Why it matters

    Market volatility is driven by a combination of geopolitical instability in the Hormuz region and critical US economic indicators. Investors are focusing on the PCE inflation report and Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech to determine future monetary policy. These factors are testing market stability during a high-stakes week.

    What is confirmed

    • Spot gold rose 0.9 per cent to US$4,643.63 per ounce.
    • Gold reached its highest price level in over three months.
    • The S&P 500 fell 0.27% and the Nasdaq fell 0.63% on Monday.
    • Oil prices hit a three-week high before falling 1%.

    Still unconfirmed

    • A deeper oil threat exists in the Hormuz crisis that could outlast the war.

    What to watch next

    • Release of the US PCE inflation report
    • Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech
    • Official US announcement regarding sanctions on Iran
    Sources used for this update (10)
    1. qz.com — Oil prices hit three-week high amid Iran war, UAE trade freeze
    2. Fox News — Hormuz crisis hides a deeper oil threat that could outlast the war
    3. Reuters — Oil falls 1% ahead of US announcement to impose further sanctions on Iran
    4. CNBC — Oil prices fall as investors await 'toughest' U.S. sanctions on Iran
    5. Reuters — Gold hits over 3-month high ahead of US inflation data, Fed chair speech
    6. www.econotimes.com — Asia Roundup: Dollar hovers near multi-month lows, Asian shares dips, Gold hits over 3-month high, Oil falls -August 24th,2026
    7. economictimes.indiatimes.com — Dow Jones| Nasdaq | S&P 500 | US Stock Market Today | Live Updates: S&P 500, Nasdaq slip as Iran tensions test markets in high-stakes week
    8. www.businesstimes.com.sg — Gold hits over 3-month high ahead of US inflation data and Fed chair speech
    9. www.straitstimes.com — Gold hits over 3-month high ahead of US inflation data, Fed chair speech
    10. www.businesstimes.com.sg — Gold hits over 3-month high ahead of US inflation data, Fed chair’s speech
    confidence 90%