Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro neck and neck ahead of Brazil election, Nexus poll shows

Live updates

1. 21d ago

   Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied in Nexus Poll as Campaign Opens

   President Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro are neck and neck in a Nexus poll as the Brazilian presidential campaign begins. While Lula previously held a lead, recent data shows that gap has shrunk. Both candidates are currently campaigning in Rio de Janeiro, where they held rival rallies. Lula appeared at Moca Bonita Stadium to promote his reelection, while Flávio Bolsonaro focused his messaging on hardline public security promises.

   Why it matters

   The election determines the next leader of South America's largest economy. This contest pits the incumbent president against a candidate emphasizing strict law enforcement. Rio de Janeiro has become a primary battleground for both campaigns.

   What is confirmed

   • Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro are neck and neck in a Nexus poll.
   • Both candidates held rival campaign rallies in Rio de Janeiro.
   • President Lula held a reelection rally at Moca Bonita Stadium.

   Still unconfirmed

   • Flávio Bolsonaro is doubling down on hardline public security promises.
   • Lula's lead over Bolsonaro has shrunk as the campaign opened.

   What to watch next

   • Release of subsequent polling data to confirm the trend of a shrinking lead
   • Specific policy proposals for public security from the Bolsonaro campaign
   Sources used for this update (5)

   1. Reuters — Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro neck and neck ahead of Brazil election, Nexus poll shows
   2. Bloomberg — Lula’s Lead Over Bolsonaro Shrinks as Campaign Opens, Poll Shows
   3. The Lufkin Daily News — Brazilian President Lula holds reelection campaign rally at Moca Bonita Stadium in Rio de Janeiro
   4. Yahoo — Flávio Bolsonaro campaigns in Rio and doubles down on hardline public security promises
   5. France 24 — Presidential campaign heats up in Brazil, as Lula and F. Bolsonaro hold rival rallies
   confidence 80%